Biggest changeRegulators may refuse to approve our current or an updated COVID-19 vaccine candidate containing an updated variant strain in Japan and elsewhere. • Regulatory authorities may change views and recommendations, which could lead to more challenging regulatory paths to approvals and to more expensive clinical and commercial efforts. • Even with the approval in Japan of our partnered next generation COVID-19 vaccine candidate, ARCT-154, we might not achieve any sales in Japan. • Regulatory authorities may change views and recommendations, which could lead to more challenging regulatory paths to approvals and to more expensive clinical and commercial efforts. • There is significant competition in the development of a vaccine against COVID-19, some competitors’ vaccines are already widely accepted in the market, and many of our competitors have substantially greater financial, scientific and other resources than we have. • If we are unable to generate successful results from preclinical and clinical studies of our product candidates, or experience significant delays in doing so, our business may be materially harmed. • Our platform focuses on nucleic acid technology, and mRNA drug products in particular, which are relatively new and any adverse results from nucleic acid or mRNA technologies in the industry could significantly impact our ability to develop and commercialize marketable products. • Changes to our drug product format could significantly impact our timeline to commercialize our products. • We may not be successful in our efforts to identify or discover potential product candidates. • We may find it difficult to identify and enroll patients in our clinical studies, and the limited number of patients who have the diseases for which certain of our product candidates are being studied could delay or prevent clinical studies of certain of our product candidates. • If any of our product candidates cause undesirable side effects or have other properties impacting safety, their regulatory approval could be prevented, delayed or limited. • Even if we obtain regulatory approval for a product candidate, we will still face extensive regulatory requirements and our products may face future development and regulatory difficulties. • If we fail to comply with environmental, health and safety laws and regulations, we could become subject to fines or penalties or incur costs that could have a material adverse effect on the success of our business. • Manufacturing issues may arise that could increase product and regulatory approval costs or delay or hinder commercialization. 46 • If our strategic alliances are unsuccessful or are terminated, we may be unable to commercialize certain product candidates and generate revenues. • If the contract manufacturers we rely on to produce the supply of our preclinical and clinical product candidates, including materials for the manufacture of our product candidates, do not timely deliver adequate quantities of quality materials, development and commercialization of our product candidates would be hindered. • Any disruption in the supply chain of raw materials for, or in the manufacturing capacity and timing for the manufacture of drug substance or drug product for, our product candidates may cause a delay in developing and commercializing these product candidates and limit the revenues that we could generate. • If the contract research organizations and clinical trial sites we rely on to conduct, supervise and monitor our clinical trials perform in an unsatisfactory manner, it may harm our business. • If we are unable to obtain or protect intellectual property rights related to our products and product candidates, we may not be able to compete effectively in our markets. • Claims that we infringe the intellectual property rights of others, especially in the crowded and competitive field of mRNA patents, may prevent or delay our development and commercialization efforts. • If we fail to obtain licenses to necessary intellectual property or do not comply with our obligations in license agreements, we could lose important rights. • We may be involved in lawsuits to protect or enforce our patents or to defend against third party intellectual property claims, which could be expensive, time consuming and unsuccessful. • U.S.
Biggest changeDespite the approval of KOSTAIVE in Europe, KOSTAIVE has not, and might never, achieve commercialization in Europe. • There is significant competition in the development of a vaccine against COVID-19, some competitors’ vaccines are already widely accepted in the market, and many of our competitors have substantially greater financial, scientific and other resources than we have. • If we are unable to generate successful results from preclinical and clinical studies of our product candidates, or experience significant delays in doing so, our business may be materially harmed. 34 • Our platform focuses on nucleic acid technology, and mRNA drug products in particular, which are relatively new and any adverse results from nucleic acid or mRNA technologies in the industry could significantly impact our ability to develop and commercialize marketable products. • Changes to our drug product format could significantly impact our timeline to commercialize our products. • We may not be successful in our efforts to identify or discover potential product candidates. • We may find it difficult to identify and enroll patients in our clinical studies, and the limited number of patients who have the diseases for which certain of our product candidates are being studied could delay or prevent clinical studies of certain of our product candidates. • If any of our product candidates cause undesirable side effects or have other properties impacting safety, their regulatory approval could be prevented, delayed or limited. • Even if we obtain regulatory approval for a product candidate, we will still face extensive regulatory requirements and our products may face future development and regulatory difficulties. • If we fail to comply with environmental, health and safety laws and regulations, we could become subject to fines or penalties or incur costs that could have a material adverse effect on the success of our business. • Manufacturing issues may arise that could increase product and regulatory approval costs or delay or hinder commercialization. • The commercial success of our product candidates will depend in part upon the acceptance of our product candidates by the medical community, including physicians, patients and healthcare payors. • If our strategic alliances are unsuccessful or are terminated, we may be unable to commercialize certain product candidates and generate revenues. • If the contract manufacturers we rely on to produce the supply of our preclinical and clinical product candidates, including materials for the manufacture of our product candidates, do not timely deliver adequate quantities of quality materials, development and commercialization of our product candidates would be hindered. • Any disruption in the supply chain of raw materials for, or in the manufacturing capacity and timing for the manufacture of drug substance or drug product for, our product candidates may cause a delay in developing and commercializing these product candidates and limit the revenues that we could generate. • If the contract research organizations and clinical trial sites we rely on to conduct, supervise and monitor our clinical trials perform in an unsatisfactory manner, it may harm our business. • If we are unable to obtain or protect intellectual property rights related to our products and product candidates, we may not be able to compete effectively in our markets. • Claims that we infringe the intellectual property rights of others, especially in the crowded and competitive field of mRNA patents, may prevent or delay our development and commercialization efforts. • If we fail to obtain licenses to necessary intellectual property or do not comply with our obligations in license agreements, we could lose important rights. • We may be involved in lawsuits to protect or enforce our patents or to defend against third party intellectual property claims, which could be expensive, time consuming and unsuccessful. • U.S.
The market price of our common stock has been, and is expected to continue to be, highly volatile and investors may not be able to resell shares at or above the price at which they purchased the shares. The trading price of our common stock is likely to continue to be volatile.
The market price of our common stock has been, and is expected to continue to be, highly volatile and investors may not be able to resell shares at or above the price at which they purchased the shares. The trading price of our common stock has been and is likely to continue to be volatile.
FCA liability is potentially significant in the healthcare industry because the statute provides for treble damages and mandatory penalties. The civil monetary penalties statute, which imposes penalties against any person or entity who, among other things, is determined to have presented or caused to be presented a claim to a federal healthcare program that the person knows or should know is for an item or service that was not provided as claimed or is false or fraudulent. The federal Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996 (“HIPAA”), which imposes civil and criminal penalties for, among other things, knowingly and willfully executing, or attempting to execute, a scheme to defraud any healthcare benefit program or obtain, by means of false or fraudulent pretenses, representations or promises, any money or property owned by, or under the custody or control of, any healthcare benefit program, regardless of the payor (e.g., public or private), knowingly and willfully embezzling or stealing from a health care benefit program, willfully obstructing a criminal investigation of a healthcare offense and knowingly and willfully falsifying, concealing or covering up a material fact or making any materially false statements in connection with the delivery of, or payment for, healthcare benefits, items or services relating to healthcare. 70 HIPAA, as amended by the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health Act of 2009 (“HITECH”), and its implementing regulations, which imposes certain requirements on certain types of individuals and entities, such as healthcare providers, health plans and healthcare clearing houses, known as “covered entities,” as well as their “business associates,” independent contractors or agents of covered entities that receive or obtain individually identifiable health information in connection with providing a service on behalf of a covered entity, relating to the privacy, security and transmission of individually identifiable health information. The federal Physician Payments Sunshine Act, which requires certain manufacturers of drugs, devices, biologics and medical supplies for which payment is available under Medicare, Medicaid or the Children’s Health Insurance Program, with specific exceptions, to report annually to CMS, information related to payments or other transfers of value made to physicians, and further requires applicable manufacturers and applicable group purchasing organizations to report annually to CMS ownership and investment interests held by physicians and their immediate family members.
FCA liability is potentially significant in the healthcare industry because the statute provides for treble damages and mandatory penalties. • The civil monetary penalties statute, which imposes penalties against any person or entity who, among other things, is determined to have presented or caused to be presented a claim to a federal healthcare program that the person knows or should know is for an item or service that was not provided as claimed or is false or fraudulent. • The federal Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996 (“HIPAA”), which imposes civil and criminal penalties for, among other things, knowingly and willfully executing, or attempting to execute, a scheme to defraud any healthcare benefit program or obtain, by means of false or fraudulent pretenses, representations or promises, any money or property owned by, or under the custody or control of, any healthcare benefit program, regardless of the payor (e.g., public or private), knowingly and willfully embezzling or stealing from a health care benefit program, willfully obstructing a criminal investigation of a healthcare offense and knowingly and willfully falsifying, concealing or covering up a material fact or making any materially false statements in connection with the delivery of, or payment for, healthcare benefits, items or services relating to healthcare. • HIPAA, as amended by the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health Act of 2009 (“HITECH”), and its implementing regulations, which imposes certain requirements on certain types of individuals and entities, such as healthcare providers, health plans and healthcare clearing houses, known as “covered entities,” as well as their “business associates,” independent contractors or agents of covered entities that receive or obtain individually identifiable health information in connection with providing a service on behalf of a covered entity, relating to the privacy, security and transmission of individually identifiable health information. • The federal Physician Payments Sunshine Act, which requires certain manufacturers of drugs, devices, biologics and medical supplies for which payment is available under Medicare, Medicaid or the Children’s Health Insurance Program, with specific exceptions, to report annually to CMS, information related to payments or other transfers of value made to physicians, and further requires applicable manufacturers and applicable group purchasing organizations to report annually to CMS ownership and 58 investment interests held by physicians and their immediate family members.
We anticipate that our expenses will increase substantially if and as we: continue our research and development of our product candidates, both independently and under our strategic alliance agreements; seek to identify additional targets and product candidates; acquire or in-license other products and technologies; advance product candidates into and through clinical trials; seek marketing approvals for any product candidates that successfully complete clinical trials; establish a sales, marketing and distribution infrastructure to commercialize any products for which we may obtain marketing approval; maintain, expand and protect our intellectual property portfolio; hire additional clinical, regulatory, research, executive and administrative personnel; and create additional infrastructure to support our operations and our product development and planned future commercialization efforts.
We anticipate that our expenses will increase substantially if and as we: • continue our research and development of our product candidates, both independently and under our strategic alliance agreements; • seek to identify additional targets and product candidates; • acquire or in-license other products and technologies; • advance product candidates into and through clinical trials; • seek marketing approvals for any product candidates that successfully complete clinical trials; • establish a sales, marketing and distribution infrastructure to commercialize any products for which we may obtain marketing approval; • maintain, expand and protect our intellectual property portfolio; • hire additional clinical, regulatory, research, executive and administrative personnel; and 36 • create additional infrastructure to support our operations and our product development and planned future commercialization efforts.
The success of our product candidates will depend on several factors, including the following: successfully designing preclinical studies which may be predictive of clinical outcomes; successful enrollment in clinical trials and completion of preclinical and clinical studies with favorable results; receipt of marketing approvals from applicable regulatory authorities; obtaining and maintaining patent and trade secret protection for future product candidates; 54 establishing and maintaining manufacturing relationships with third parties or establishing our own manufacturing capability; and successfully commercializing our products, if approved, including successfully establishing a sales force, marketing and distribution infrastructure, whether alone or in collaboration with others.
The success of our product candidates will depend on several factors, including the following: • successfully designing preclinical studies which may be predictive of clinical outcomes; • successful enrollment in clinical trials and completion of preclinical and clinical studies with favorable results; • receipt of marketing approvals from applicable regulatory authorities; • obtaining and maintaining patent and trade secret protection for future product candidates; • establishing and maintaining manufacturing relationships with third parties or establishing our own manufacturing capability; and • successfully commercializing our products, if approved, including successfully establishing a sales force, marketing and distribution infrastructure, whether alone or in collaboration with others.
It is also still unclear if the vaccines will enable adequate long-term protection, as (i) many vaccinated individuals have become ill due to “breakthrough infections” and have transmitted the virus to many others, (ii) there are millions of individuals who refuse to be vaccinated or who cannot be vaccinated due to pre-existing conditions, (iii) it is unclear how long the vaccine protection will last, and (iv) genetic mutations or variants of the virus already have had, and are expected to continue to have, an adverse impact on the efficacy of available vaccines.
It is also still unclear if the vaccines will enable adequate long-term protection, as (i) many vaccinated individuals have become ill due to “breakthrough infections” and have transmitted the virus to many others, (ii) there are millions of individuals who refuse to be vaccinated or who cannot be vaccinated due to pre-existing 40 conditions, (iii) it is unclear how long the vaccine protection will last, and (iv) genetic mutations or variants of the virus already have had, and are expected to continue to have, an adverse impact on the efficacy of available vaccines.
If these outside parties terminate their engagements with us or do not successfully carry out their contractual duties, meet expected deadlines or conduct our studies in accordance with regulatory requirements or our stated 63 study plans and protocols, we will not be able to complete, or may be delayed in completing, the necessary preclinical studies to enable us or our strategic alliance partners to select viable product candidates for IND submissions and will not be able to, or may be delayed in our efforts to, successfully develop and commercialize such product candidates.
If these outside parties terminate their engagements with us or do not successfully carry out their contractual duties, meet expected deadlines or conduct our studies in accordance with regulatory requirements or our stated study plans and protocols, we will not be able to complete, or may be delayed in completing, the necessary preclinical studies to enable us or our strategic alliance partners to select viable product candidates for IND submissions and will not be able to, or may be delayed in our efforts to, successfully develop and commercialize such product candidates.
If we do not accurately evaluate the commercial potential or target market for a particular product candidate, we may relinquish valuable rights to that product candidate through strategic alliance, licensing or other royalty arrangements in cases in which it would have been more advantageous for us to retain sole development and commercialization rights to such product candidate, or we may allocate internal resources to a product candidate in a therapeutic area in which it would have been more advantageous to enter into a partnering arrangement.
If we do not accurately evaluate the commercial potential or target market for a particular product candidate, we may 47 relinquish valuable rights to that product candidate through strategic alliance, licensing or other royalty arrangements in cases in which it would have been more advantageous for us to retain sole development and commercialization rights to such product candidate, or we may allocate internal resources to a product candidate in a therapeutic area in which it would have been more advantageous to enter into a partnering arrangement.
The ACA included a number of provisions that may reduce the profitability of drug products, including revising the rebate methodology for covered outpatient drugs under the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program, extending 71 Medicaid rebates to individuals enrolled in Medicaid managed care plans, and requiring drug manufacturers to pay an annual fee based on their market share of prior year total sales of branded programs to certain federal health care programs.
The ACA included a number of provisions that may reduce the profitability of drug products, including revising the rebate methodology for covered outpatient drugs under the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program, extending Medicaid rebates to individuals enrolled in Medicaid managed care plans, and requiring drug manufacturers to pay an annual fee based on their market share of prior year total sales of branded programs to certain federal health care programs.
Therefore, even if we and CSL Seqirus can get through the extremely costly, long and risky process of developing and obtaining regulatory approval to market a vaccine, it may not be commercially successful. This failure could be due to reduced demand for COVID-19 vaccines, lower prices, distribution problems, competitors’ products or many other reasons.
Therefore, even if we and CSL Seqirus can get through the extremely costly, long and risky process of developing and obtaining regulatory approval to market a vaccine globally, it may not be commercially successful. This failure could be due to reduced demand for COVID-19 vaccines, lower prices, distribution problems, competitors’ products or many other reasons.
If we are unable to establish effective alliances to enable the sale of our product 60 candidates, if approved, to healthcare professionals and in geographical regions, including the United States, that will not be covered by our own marketing and sales force, or if our potential future strategic alliance partners do not successfully commercialize the product candidates that may be approved, our ability to generate revenues from product sales will be adversely affected.
If we are unable to establish effective alliances to enable the sale of our product candidates, if approved, to healthcare professionals and in geographical regions, including the United States, that will not be covered by our own marketing and sales force, or if our potential future strategic alliance partners do not successfully commercialize the product candidates that may be approved, our ability to generate revenues from product sales will be adversely affected.
The FDA may also require a risk evaluation and mitigation strategy as a condition of approval of our product candidates, which could include requirements for a medication guide, physician communication plans or additional elements to ensure safe use, such as restricted distribution 58 methods, patient registries and other risk minimization tools.
The FDA may also require a risk evaluation and mitigation strategy as a condition of approval of our product candidates, which could include requirements for a medication guide, physician communication plans or additional elements to ensure safe use, such as restricted distribution methods, patient registries and other risk minimization tools.
If the U.S. government decides to 67 exercise these rights, it is not required to engage us as its contractor in connection with doing so. To the extent any of our current or future intellectual property is generated through the use of U.S. government funding, the provisions of the Bayh-Dole Act may similarly apply.
If the U.S. government decides to exercise these rights, it is not required to engage us as its contractor in connection with doing so. To the extent any of our current or future intellectual property is generated through the use of U.S. government funding, the provisions of the Bayh-Dole Act may similarly apply.
Furthermore, if any competitors are successful in producing a more efficacious vaccine or other treatment for COVID-19, or if any competitors are able to manufacture and distribute any such vaccines or treatments with greater efficiency, there may be a diversion of potential governmental and other funding away from us and toward such other parties.
Furthermore, if any competitors are successful in producing a more efficacious vaccine or other treatment for COVID-19, or if any competitors are able 41 to manufacture and distribute any such vaccines or treatments with greater efficiency, there may be a diversion of potential governmental and other funding away from us and toward such other parties.
As a result, we may not be able to address these techniques proactively or implement adequate preventative measures. If our computer systems are compromised, we could be subject to fines, damages, litigation and enforcement actions, 72 and we could lose trade secrets, the occurrence of which could harm our business.
As a result, we may not be able to address these techniques proactively or implement adequate preventative measures. If our computer systems are compromised, we could be subject to fines, damages, litigation and enforcement actions, and we could lose trade secrets, the occurrence of which could harm our business.
It is uncertain if and to what extent various states will conform to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. To the extent that we continue to generate taxable losses for United States federal income tax purposes, unused NOLs will carry forward to offset future taxable income (subject to any 51 applicable limitations), if any.
It is uncertain if and to what extent various states will conform to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. To the extent that we continue to generate taxable losses for United States federal income tax purposes, unused NOLs will carry forward to offset future taxable income (subject to any applicable limitations), if any.
If we pursued these activities on our own, it would significantly increase our capital and infrastructure 50 requirements, might limit the indications we are able to pursue for our drug products and our product candidates, and could prevent us from effectively developing and commercializing our drug products and our product candidates.
If we pursued these activities on our own, it would significantly increase our capital and infrastructure requirements, might limit the indications we are able to pursue for our drug products and our product candidates, and could prevent us from effectively developing and commercializing our drug products and our product candidates.
RISKS RELATED TO THE DEVELOPMENT AND COMMERCIALIZATION OF PRODUCT CANDIDATES We are highly dependent upon our relationship with CSL Seqirus to further research, manufacture and commercialize self-amplifying mRNA vaccines against COVID-19, influenza and three other respiratory infectious diseases.
RISKS RELATED TO THE DEVELOPMENT AND COMMERCIALIZATION OF PRODUCT CANDIDATES We are highly dependent upon our relationship with CSL Seqirus to further research, manufacture and commercialize self-amplifying mRNA vaccines against COVID-19, influenza and three other infectious diseases.
Any inability to 56 timely and successfully complete preclinical and clinical development, whether independently or with our strategic alliance partners, could result in additional costs to us or impair our ability to generate revenues from product sales, regulatory and commercialization milestones and royalties.
Any inability to timely and successfully complete preclinical and clinical development, whether independently or with our strategic alliance partners, could result in additional costs to us or impair our ability to generate revenues from product sales, regulatory and commercialization milestones and royalties.
These laws may impact, among other things, our proposed sales, marketing and education programs. In addition, we may be subject to patient privacy regulation by the federal government and by the U.S. states and foreign jurisdictions in which we conduct our business.
These laws may impact, among other things, our proposed sales, marketing and education 57 programs. In addition, we may be subject to patient privacy regulation by the federal government and by the U.S. states and foreign jurisdictions in which we conduct our business.
In particular, we are subject to various risks resulting from inherent unknowns and uncertainties in the drug development process, as well as changing economic, political, industry, regulatory, business and financial conditions. The risks and uncertainties described below are not the only ones we face.
In particular, we are subject to various risks resulting from inherent unknowns and uncertainties in the drug development and commercialization process, as well as changing economic, political, industry, regulatory, business and financial conditions. The risks and uncertainties described below are not the only ones we face.
Significant clinical trial delays also could shorten any periods during which we may have the exclusive right to commercialize our product candidates or could allow our competitors to bring products to market before we do, which would impair our ability to successfully commercialize our product candidates.
Significant clinical trial delays also could shorten any periods during which we may have the exclusive right to commercialize our product candidates or could allow our competitors to bring products to market 44 before we do, which would impair our ability to successfully commercialize our product candidates.
In addition, we may incur substantial costs in order to comply with current or future environmental, health and safety laws and regulations. These current or 59 future laws and regulations may impair our research, development or production efforts. Failure to comply with these laws and regulations also may result in substantial fines, penalties or other sanctions.
In addition, we may incur substantial costs in order to comply with current or future environmental, health and safety laws and regulations. These current or future laws and regulations may impair our research, development or production efforts. Failure to comply with these laws and regulations also may result in substantial fines, penalties or other sanctions.
If we fail to obtain any of these licenses at a reasonable cost and on reasonable terms, we would be unable to further develop and commercialize one or more of our product candidates, which could harm our business significantly.
If we fail to obtain any of 55 these licenses at a reasonable cost and on reasonable terms, we would be unable to further develop and commercialize one or more of our product candidates, which could harm our business significantly.
Moreover, preclinical and clinical data are often susceptible to varying interpretations and analyses, and many companies that have believed their product candidates performed satisfactorily in preclinical studies and clinical trials have nonetheless failed to obtain marketing approval for their products.
Moreover, preclinical and clinical data are often susceptible to varying interpretations and analyses, and many companies that have believed 43 their product candidates performed satisfactorily in preclinical studies and clinical trials have nonetheless failed to obtain marketing approval for their products.
In November 2022, we entered into the CSL Collaboration Agreement with CSL Seqirus, for the research, manufacture and global commercialization of self-amplifying mRNA vaccines against COVID-19, influenza and three other respiratory infectious diseases.
In November 2022, we entered into the CSL Collaboration Agreement with CSL Seqirus, for the research, manufacture and global commercialization of self-amplifying mRNA vaccines against COVID-19, influenza and three other infectious diseases.
Government agencies have special contracting authority that gives them the ability to terminate and/or modify their contracts with us. • Our business is subject to audit by the U.S.
Government agencies have special contracting authority that gives them the ability to terminate and/or modify their contracts with us. 35 • Our business is subject to audit by the U.S.
If the prevalence of COVID-19 and public concern about the virus continues to decline, the potential market opportunity will shrink for our COVID-19 vaccine under our collaboration with CSL Seqirus. As further COVID-19 vaccines are approved, production of existing COVID-19 vaccines improves and the COVID-19 impact transitions from pandemic to endemic stage, there may be downward pressure on prices.
If the prevalence of COVID-19 and public concern about the virus continues to decline, the potential market opportunity will shrink for KOSTAIVE under our collaboration with CSL Seqirus. As further COVID-19 vaccines are approved, production of existing COVID-19 vaccines improves and the COVID-19 impact transitions from pandemic to endemic stage, there may be downward pressure on prices.
We have never generated any revenue from product sales, have generated only limited collaboration and grant revenue since inception, and may never be profitable in the long term.
We have not generated any revenue from product sales, have generated only limited collaboration and grant revenue since inception, and may never be profitable in the long term.
New investors could also be issued securities with rights superior to those of our existing shareholders. On December 23, 2022, we entered into a Controlled Equity Offering℠ Sales Agreement (the “Sales Agreement”) with Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. (“Cantor”) and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC (“Wells Fargo”), relating to shares of our common stock.
New investors could also be issued securities with rights superior to those of our existing shareholders. On December 23, 2022, we entered into a Controlled Equity Offering℠ Sales Agreement (as amended, the “Sales Agreement”) with Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. (“Cantor”) and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC (“Wells Fargo”), relating to shares of our common stock.
In such event, it could become more difficult to dispose of, or obtain accurate price quotations for our common stock and there would likely also be 77 a reduction in our coverage by securities analysts and the news media, which could cause the price of our common stock to decline further. Item 1B. Unresolve d Staff Comments None.
In such event, it could become more difficult to dispose of, or obtain accurate price quotations for our common stock and there would likely also be a reduction in our coverage by securities analysts and the news media, which could cause the price of our common stock to decline further. 65 Item 1B. Unresolve d Staff Comments None.
We expect our research and development expenses to substantially increase in connection with our ongoing activities, particularly as we advance our product candidates towards and through clinical trials. We may need to raise additional capital to support our operations and such funding may not be available to us on acceptable terms, or at all.
We expect our research and development expenses to substantially increase in connection with our ongoing activities, particularly as we advance our product candidates towards and through clinical trials. We expect that we will need to raise additional capital to support our operations and such funding may not be available to us on acceptable terms, or at all.
Our share price could be subject to wide fluctuations in response to a variety of factors, including but not limited to the following factors: adverse results or delays in preclinical studies or clinical trials; inability to obtain additional funding; any delay in filing an application for authorization to commence a clinical trial of, or for authorization or approval to market, any of our product candidates and any adverse development or perceived adverse development with respect to the FDA’s review of that IND or BLA; failure to maintain our existing strategic alliances or enter into new alliances; failure of our strategic alliance partners to elect to develop and commercialize product candidates under our alliance agreements or the termination of any programs under our alliance agreements; failure by us or our licensors and strategic alliance partners to prosecute, maintain or enforce our intellectual property rights; failure to successfully and timely develop and commercialize our product candidates; 75 failure to successfully and timely develop and validate manufacturing processes and product presentations; changes in laws or regulations applicable to our preclinical and clinical development activities, product candidates or future products; inability to obtain adequate product supply for our product candidates or the inability to do so at acceptable prices; adverse regulatory decisions; introduction of new products, services or technologies by our competitors; failure to meet or exceed financial projections we may provide to the public; failure to meet or exceed the estimates and projections of the investment community; the perception of the pharmaceutical industry by the public, legislatures, regulators and the investment community; announcements of significant acquisitions, strategic partnerships, joint ventures or capital commitments by us, our strategic alliance partners or our competitors; disputes or other developments relating to proprietary rights, including patents, litigation matters and our ability to obtain patent protection for our technologies; additions or departures of key scientific or management personnel; significant lawsuits, including patent or licensing matters; changes in the market valuations of similar companies; sales of our common stock by us or our shareholders in the future; and trading volume of our common stock.
Our share price could be subject to wide fluctuations in response to a variety of factors, including but not limited to the following factors: • adverse results or delays in preclinical studies or clinical trials; • inability to obtain additional funding; • any delay in filing an application for authorization to commence a clinical trial of, or for authorization or approval to market, any of our product candidates and any adverse development or perceived adverse development with respect to the FDA’s review of that IND or BLA; • failure to maintain our existing strategic alliances or enter into new alliances; • failure of our strategic alliance partners to elect to develop and commercialize product candidates under our alliance agreements or the termination of any programs under our alliance agreements; • failure by us or our licensors and strategic alliance partners to prosecute, maintain or enforce our intellectual property rights; • failure to successfully and timely develop and commercialize our product candidates; • failure to successfully and timely develop and validate manufacturing processes and product presentations; • changes in laws or regulations applicable to our preclinical and clinical development activities, product candidates or future products; • inability to obtain adequate product supply for our product candidates or the inability to do so at acceptable prices; • adverse regulatory decisions; • introduction of new products, services or technologies by our competitors; 63 • failure to meet or exceed financial projections we may provide to the public; • failure to meet or exceed the estimates and projections of the investment community; • disappointing commercial sales, or profit share or royalty revenue amounts; • the perception of the pharmaceutical industry by the public, legislatures, regulators and the investment community; • announcements of significant acquisitions, strategic partnerships, joint ventures or capital commitments by us, our strategic alliance partners or our competitors; • disputes or other developments relating to proprietary rights, including patents, litigation matters and our ability to obtain patent protection for our technologies; • additions or departures of key scientific or management personnel; • significant lawsuits, including patent or licensing matters; • changes in the market valuations of similar companies; • sales of our common stock by us or our shareholders in the future; and • trading volume of our common stock.
Consequently, any predictions about our future success or viability, or any evaluation of our business and prospects, is difficult and may not be accurate. In 2023 we recognized a significant portion of our revenue from non-recurring milestone payments and license revenue under our collaboration agreement with CSL Seqirus.
Consequently, any predictions about our future success or viability, or any evaluation of our business and prospects, is difficult and may not be accurate. In 2024 we recognized a significant portion of our revenue from non-recurring milestone payments and license revenue under our collaboration agreement with CSL Seqirus.
Although we intend to establish a sales organization if we are able to obtain approval to market any product candidates for niche markets in the United States, we will also consider the option to enter into strategic alliances for future product candidates in the United States if commercialization requirements exceed our available resources.
Although we might establish a sales organization if we are able to obtain approval to market any product candidates for niche markets in the United States, we will also consider the option to enter into strategic alliances for future product candidates in the United States if commercialization requirements exceed our available resources.
As part of our assessment of the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2023, management identified a material weakness related to information technology general controls (“ITGCs”) for information systems and applications that are relevant to the preparation of the consolidated financial statements.
As previously reported, as part of our assessment of the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2023, management identified a material weakness related to information technology general controls (“ITGCs”) for information systems and applications that are relevant to the preparation of the consolidated financial statements.
In accordance with the terms of the Sales Agreement, we may offer and sell shares of our common stock having an aggregate offering price of up to $200,000,000 from time to time through Cantor or Wells Fargo, each acting as our sales agent.
In accordance with the terms of the Sales Agreement, we may offer and sell shares of our common stock having an aggregate offering price of up to $200,000,000 from time to time through Cantor, Wells Fargo, or William Blair, each acting as our sales agent.
All Loans shall bear interest during an Event of Default (as defined in the Credit Agreement) at a rate equal to 2.00% above the interest rate applicable immediately prior to the occurrence of the Event of Default (as defined in the Credit Agreement). As of December 31, 2023, we had no outstanding balance under the Credit Agreement.
All Loans shall bear interest during an Event of Default (as defined in the Credit Agreement) at a rate equal to 2.00% above the interest rate applicable immediately prior to the occurrence of the Event of Default (as defined in the Credit Agreement). As of December 31, 2024, we had no outstanding balance under the Credit Agreement.
Any exercise by the government of any of the foregoing rights could harm our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. 68 RISKS RELATED TO OUR BUSINESS OPERATIONS AND INDUSTRY We may need to expand our organization and may experience difficulties in managing this growth, which could disrupt our operations.
Any exercise by the government of any of the foregoing rights could harm our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. 56 RISKS RELATED TO OUR BUSINESS OPERATIONS AND INDUSTRY We may need to expand our organization and may experience difficulties in managing this growth, which could disrupt our operations.
If our remediations of these material weaknesses are not effective, or if we experience additional material weaknesses or otherwise fail to maintain an effective system of internal control over financial reporting or adequate disclosure controls and procedures, we may not be able to accurately and timely report our financial results, in which case our business may be harmed, investors may lose confidence in the accuracy and completeness of our financial reports, and the price of our common stock may decline.
If our remediations of this material weakness are not effective, or if we experience additional material weaknesses or otherwise fail to maintain an effective system of internal control over financial reporting or adequate disclosure controls and procedures, we may not be able to accurately and timely report our financial results, in which case our business may be harmed, investors may lose confidence in the accuracy and completeness of our financial reports, and the price of our common stock may decline.
The degree of market acceptance of any product candidates will depend on a number of factors, including: demonstration of clinical safety and efficacy compared to other products; the relative convenience, ease of administration and acceptance by physicians, patients and healthcare payors; the prevalence and severity of any adverse events; limitations or warnings contained in the FDA-approved label for such products; availability of alternative treatments; pricing and cost-effectiveness; the effectiveness of our, or any of our collaborators’, sales and marketing strategies; our ability to obtain hospital or payor formulary approval; our ability to obtain and maintain sufficient coverage from healthcare payors and adequate reimbursement; and the willingness of patients to pay out-of-pocket in the absence or inadequacy of coverage by healthcare payors.
The degree of market acceptance of any product candidates will depend on a number of factors, including: • demonstration of clinical safety and efficacy compared to other products; • the relative convenience, ease of administration and acceptance by physicians, patients and healthcare payors; • the prevalence and severity of any adverse events; • limitations or warnings contained in the FDA-approved label for such products; • availability of alternative treatments; • pricing and cost-effectiveness; • the commercial packaging and product presentation preferences; • the effectiveness of our, or any of our collaborators’, sales and marketing strategies; • our ability to obtain hospital or payor formulary approval; 48 • our ability to obtain and maintain sufficient coverage from healthcare payors and adequate reimbursement; and • the willingness of patients to pay out-of-pocket in the absence or inadequacy of coverage by healthcare payors.
The extent and timing of any product revenue is highly unpredictable because regulatory authorities may not complete their review processes in a timely manner, or we may not be able to obtain regulatory approval for many reasons including: regulatory authorities disagreeing with the design or implementation of our clinical trials; such authorities may disagree with our interpretation of data from preclinical studies or clinical trials; such authorities may not accept clinical data from trials which are conducted at clinical facilities or in countries where the standard of care is potentially different from that of the United States, such as our phase 1/2/3 clinical trial of ARCT-154 conducted in Vietnam; unfavorable or unclear results from our clinical trials or results that may not meet the level of statistical significance required by the FDA or foreign regulatory agencies for approval; serious and unexpected drug-related side effects experienced by participants in our clinical trials or by individuals using drugs similar to our product candidates; the population studied in the clinical trial may not be sufficiently broad or representative to assure safety in the full population for which we seek approval; we may be unable to demonstrate that a product candidate’s clinical and other benefits outweigh its safety risks; such authorities may not agree that the data collected from clinical trials of our product candidates are acceptable or sufficient to support the submission of an NDA or other submission or to obtain regulatory approval in the United States or elsewhere, and such authorities may impose requirements for additional preclinical studies or clinical trials; such authorities may disagree regarding the formulation, labeling and/or the specifications of our product candidates; such authorities may find deficiencies in the manufacturing processes or facilities of manufacturers with which we contract for clinical and commercial supplies; or regulations or interpretations of such authorities may significantly change in a manner rendering our or any of our potential future collaborators’ clinical data insufficient for approval.
The extent and timing of any product revenue is highly unpredictable because regulatory authorities may not complete their review processes in a timely manner, or we may not be able to obtain regulatory approval for many reasons including: • regulatory authorities disagreeing with the design or implementation of our clinical trials; • such authorities may disagree with our interpretation of data from preclinical studies or clinical trials; • such authorities may not accept clinical data from trials which are conducted at clinical facilities or in countries where the standard of care is potentially different from that of the United States, such as our phase 1/2/3 clinical trial of ARCT-154 conducted in Vietnam; • unfavorable or unclear results from our clinical trials or results that may not meet the level of statistical significance required by the FDA or foreign regulatory agencies for approval; • serious and unexpected drug-related side effects experienced by participants in our clinical trials or by individuals using drugs similar to our product candidates; • the population studied in the clinical trial may not be sufficiently broad or representative to assure safety in the full population for which we seek approval; • we may be unable to demonstrate that a product candidate’s clinical and other benefits outweigh its safety risks; • such authorities may not agree that the data collected from clinical trials of our product candidates are acceptable or sufficient to support the submission of an NDA or other submission or to obtain regulatory approval in the United States or elsewhere, and such authorities may impose requirements for additional preclinical studies or clinical trials; • such authorities may disagree regarding the formulation, labeling and/or the specifications of our product candidates; • such authorities may find deficiencies in the manufacturing processes or facilities of manufacturers with which we contract for clinical and commercial supplies; or • regulations or interpretations of such authorities may significantly change in a manner rendering our or any of our potential future collaborators’ clinical data insufficient for approval. 46 Additional delays may result if an FDA advisory committee recommends restrictions on approval or recommends non-approval.
Government, and a negative audit could adversely affect our business. • We have identified material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting, and determined that our disclosure controls and procedures were not effective.
Government, and a negative audit could adversely affect our business. • We have identified a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting, and determined that our disclosure controls and procedures were not effective.
Even if we complete the necessary preclinical studies and clinical trials, we obtain regulatory approval to commercialize a product candidate and we cannot, therefore, predict the timing of any revenue from a future product.
Even if we complete the necessary preclinical studies and clinical trials, we are required to obtain regulatory approval to commercialize a product candidate and we cannot, therefore, predict the timing of any revenue from a future product.
If we cannot successfully defend against product liability claims, we could incur substantial liability and costs.
If we cannot 59 successfully defend against product liability claims, we could incur substantial liability and costs.
If we obtain approval to commercialize any approved products outside of the United States, we expect that we will be subject to additional risks related to entering into international business relationships, including: different regulatory requirements for drug approvals in foreign countries; differing payor reimbursement regimes, governmental payors or patient self-pay systems and price controls; reduced protection for intellectual property rights; unexpected changes in tariffs, trade barriers and regulatory requirements; economic weakness, including inflation, or political instability in particular foreign economies and markets; compliance with tax, employment, immigration and labor laws for employees living or traveling abroad; foreign taxes, including withholding of payroll taxes; foreign currency fluctuations, which could result in increased operating expenses and reduced revenues, and other obligations incident to doing business in another country; workforce uncertainty in countries where labor unrest is more common than in the United States; production shortages resulting from any events affecting raw material supply or manufacturing capabilities abroad; and business interruptions resulting from geopolitical actions, including war and terrorism, or natural disasters including earthquakes, typhoons, floods and fires.
As a result, we are and expect that we will be subject to additional risks related to entering into international business relationships, including: • different regulatory requirements for drug approvals in foreign countries; • differing payor reimbursement regimes, governmental payors or patient self-pay systems and price controls; • reduced protection for intellectual property rights; • unexpected changes in tariffs, trade barriers and regulatory requirements; • economic weakness, including inflation, or political instability in particular foreign economies and markets; 49 • compliance with tax, employment, immigration and labor laws for employees living or traveling abroad; • foreign taxes, including withholding of payroll taxes; • foreign currency fluctuations, which could result in increased operating expenses and reduced revenues, and other obligations incident to doing business in another country; • workforce uncertainty in countries where labor unrest is more common than in the United States; • production shortages resulting from any events affecting raw material supply or manufacturing capabilities abroad; and • business interruptions resulting from geopolitical actions, including war and terrorism, or natural disasters including earthquakes, typhoons, floods and fires.
As of December 31, 2023, we had unrestricted cash and cash equivalents of $292.0 million, which we expect should be sufficient to fund currently planned operations for the near future. But if our plans change or we face unexpected circumstances, our capital resources may be depleted more rapidly than we currently anticipate.
As of December 31, 2024, we had unrestricted cash and cash equivalents of $237.0 million, which we expect should be sufficient to fund currently planned operations for the near future. But if our plans change or we face unexpected circumstances, our capital resources may be depleted more rapidly than we currently anticipate.
Even with the partnering of our COVID-19 program, we are already at a significant competitive disadvantage to those companies with vaccines on the market, as well as many other competitors pursuing vaccine candidates. Many other competitors have significantly greater product candidate development, manufacturing and marketing resources than we do.
Even with the partnering of our COVID-19 program and initial commercialization in Japan, we are already at a significant competitive disadvantage to those companies with vaccines on the market, as well as many other competitors pursuing vaccine candidates. Many other competitors have significantly greater product candidate development, manufacturing and marketing resources than we do.
There is significant competition in the development of a vaccine against COVID-19, some competitors’ vaccines are already widely accepted in the market, and many of our competitors have substantially greater financial, scientific and other resources than we have.
There is significant competition in the COVID-19 vaccine market, some competitors’ vaccines are already widely accepted in the market, and many of our competitors have substantially greater financial, scientific and other resources than we have.
Our ability to generate revenues from product sales depends heavily on our success in: completing our research and development of product candidates; 48 initiating and completing clinical trials for product candidates with favorable results; seeking, obtaining, and maintaining marketing approvals for product candidates that successfully complete clinical trials; establishing and maintaining supply and manufacturing relationships with capable parties; launching and commercializing product candidates for which we may obtain marketing approval, with an alliance partner or, if launched independently, successfully establishing a sales force, marketing and distribution infrastructure; maintaining, protecting and expanding our intellectual property portfolio; and attracting, hiring and retaining qualified personnel.
Our ability to generate revenues from product sales depends heavily on our success in: • the commercialization efforts of our collaboration partner, CSL Seqirus; • completing our research and development of product candidates; • initiating and completing clinical trials for product candidates with favorable results; • seeking, obtaining, and maintaining marketing approvals for product candidates that successfully complete clinical trials; • establishing and maintaining supply and manufacturing relationships with capable parties; • launching and commercializing product candidates for which we may obtain marketing approval, with an alliance partner or, if launched independently, successfully establishing a sales force, marketing and distribution infrastructure; • maintaining, protecting and expanding our intellectual property portfolio; and • attracting, hiring and retaining qualified personnel.
Exposure to interest rate risk results from our debt obligations, including the credit agreement entered into on April 21, 2023 by our wholly-owned subsidiary, Arcturus Therapeutics, Inc., and Wells Fargo Bank, National Association (the “Credit Agreement”), providing for a revolving credit line evidenced by a revolving line of credit note (the “Note”).
Exposure to interest rate risk results from our debt obligations, including the credit agreement entered into on April 21, 2023 and amended on June 26, 2024 by our wholly-owned subsidiary, Arcturus Therapeutics, Inc., and Wells Fargo Bank, National Association (as amended, the “Credit Agreement”), providing for a revolving credit line evidenced by a revolving line of credit note (the “Note”).
As of December 31, 2023, we had approximately 180 employees. In the future we may expand our employee base to increase our managerial, scientific, operational, commercial, financial and other resources and we may hire more consultants and contractors.
As of December 31, 2024, we had approximately 176 employees. In the future we may expand our employee base to increase our managerial, scientific, operational, commercial, financial and other resources and we may hire more consultants and contractors.
Our manufacturing process for our current COVID-19 vaccine candidates include a step for lyophilization to enhance the stability of the vaccine product. The additional step of lyophilization adds time and costs to the overall production output, which could adversely impact the production volumes and profitability of our COVID-19 vaccines if approval to market a vaccine is achieved.
Our manufacturing process for KOSTAIVE includes a step for lyophilization to enhance the stability of the vaccine product. The additional step of lyophilization adds time and costs to the overall production output, which could adversely impact the production volumes and profitability of our COVID-19 vaccines if approval to market a vaccine is achieved.
Our future payments from CSL Seqirus are dependent on our ability to execute by meeting key product development and other milestones within the contract. We have not recognized any revenue from product sales since our inception. As of December 31, 2023, we had an accumulated deficit of $367.9 million.
Our future payments from CSL Seqirus are dependent on our ability to execute by meeting key product development and other milestones within the contract. We have not recognized any revenue from product sales since our inception. As of December 31, 2024, we had an accumulated deficit of $448.8 million.
Other than the approval of ARCT-154 in Japan, we have no products approved for commercial marketing and all of our product candidates are in preclinical or clinical development.
Other than the approval of KOSTAIVE in Japan and Europe, we have no products approved for commercial marketing and all of our product candidates are in preclinical or clinical development.
Our ability to ultimately recognize revenue from our strategic relationships will depend upon the ability and willingness of our alliance partners to successfully meet their respective responsibilities under our agreements with them. 62 Our ability to recognize revenues from strategic alliances may be impaired by several factors, including: an alliance partner may shift its priorities and resources away from our programs due to a change in its business strategies, or a merger, acquisition, sale or downsizing of its company or business unit; an alliance partner may cease development in therapeutic areas which are the subject of our strategic alliances; an alliance partner may change the success criteria for a particular program or potential product candidate thereby delaying or ceasing development of such program or candidate; a significant delay in initiation of certain development activities by an alliance partner will also delay payment to us of milestones tied to such activities, thereby impacting our ability to fund our own activities; an alliance partner could develop a product that competes, either directly or indirectly, with our product candidate; an alliance partner with commercialization obligations may not commit sufficient financial or human resources to the marketing, distribution or sale of a product; an alliance partner with manufacturing responsibilities may encounter regulatory, resource or quality issues and be unable to meet demand requirements; an alliance partner may exercise its rights under the agreement to terminate a strategic alliance; a dispute may arise between us and an alliance partner concerning the research, development or commercialization of a program or product candidate resulting in a delay in payments of milestones or royalties, or the termination of a program, and possibly resulting in costly litigation or arbitration which may divert management attention and resources; and an alliance partner may use our proprietary information or intellectual property in such a way as to invite litigation from a third party or fail to maintain or prosecute intellectual property rights such that our rights in such property are jeopardized.
Our ability to recognize revenues from strategic alliances may be impaired by several factors, including: • an alliance partner may shift its priorities and resources away from our programs due to a change in its business strategies whether or not permitted under agreement with them, or a merger, acquisition, sale or downsizing of its company or business unit; • an alliance partner may cease development in therapeutic areas which are the subject of our strategic alliances; • an alliance partner may change the success criteria for a particular program or potential product candidate thereby delaying or ceasing development of such program or candidate; 51 • a significant delay in initiation of certain development activities by an alliance partner will also delay payment to us of milestones tied to such activities, thereby impacting our ability to fund our own activities; • an alliance partner with commercialization obligations may not commit sufficient financial or human resources to the marketing, distribution or sale of a product; • an alliance partner with manufacturing responsibilities may encounter regulatory, resource or quality issues and be unable to meet demand requirements; • an alliance partner may exercise its rights under the agreement to terminate a strategic alliance; • a dispute may arise between us and an alliance partner concerning the research, development or commercialization of a program or product candidate resulting in a delay in payments of milestones or royalties, or the termination of a program, and possibly resulting in costly litigation or arbitration which may divert management attention and resources; and • an alliance partner may use our proprietary information or intellectual property in such a way as to invite litigation from a third party or fail to maintain or prosecute intellectual property rights such that our rights in such property are jeopardized.
We are subject to a number of risks associated with our dependence on our relationships with our collaboration partners, including: • our collaboration partners may terminate their collaboration agreements with us for reasons specified in the collaboration agreements, including our breach; • the need for us to identify and secure on commercially reasonable terms the services of third parties to perform key activities, including development and commercialization activities, currently performed by our collaboration partners in the event that a collaboration partner was to terminate its collaboration with us; • adverse decisions by a collaboration partner regarding the amount and timing of resource expenditures for the commercialization, distribution, and sale of our drug products; • failure by a collaboration partner to perform its duties under its collaboration agreement with us (e.g., its failure to comply with regulatory requirements; • failure by a collaboration partner to timely deliver accurate and complete financial information to us or to maintain adequate and effective internal control over its financial reporting may negatively affect our ability to meet our financial reporting obligations as required by the SEC; • collaboration partners’ and their affiliates’ development and commercialization of products that compete directly or indirectly with our products or products candidates; • decisions by a collaboration partner to prioritize other of its current or future products more highly than our drug products or our product candidates when it performs its duties; • possible disagreements with a collaboration partner as to the timing, nature and extent of our development plans or distribution and sales and marketing plans; and • the financial returns to us, if any, under our collaboration agreements depend in large part on the achievement of milestones and generation of product sales, and if our partners fail to perform or satisfy their obligations under the collaboration agreement, the development and commercialization of our drug products could be delayed, hindered or may not occur and our business and prospects could be materially and adversely affected.
We are subject to a number of risks associated with our dependence on our relationships with our collaboration partners, including: • our collaboration partners may terminate their collaboration agreements with us for reasons specified in the collaboration agreements, including our breach; • the need for us to identify and secure on commercially reasonable terms the services of third parties to perform key activities, including development and commercialization activities, currently performed by our collaboration partners in the event that a collaboration partner was to terminate its collaboration with us; • disagreements with our collaboration partners regarding the satisfaction of milestones; • adverse decisions by a collaboration partner regarding the amount and timing of resource expenditures for the commercialization, distribution, and sale of our drug products; • failure by a collaboration partner to perform its duties under its collaboration agreement with us (e.g., its failure to comply with regulatory requirements); • failure by a collaboration partner to timely deliver accurate and complete financial information to us or to maintain adequate and effective internal control over its financial reporting may negatively affect our ability to meet our financial reporting obligations as required by the SEC; • collaboration partners’ and their affiliates’ development and commercialization of products that compete directly or indirectly with our products or products candidates; • decisions by a collaboration partner to prioritize other of its current or future products more highly than our drug products or our product candidates; • possible disagreements with a collaboration partner as to the timing, nature and extent of our development plans or distribution and sales and marketing plans; and • the financial returns to us, if any, under our collaboration agreements depend in large part on the achievement of milestones and generation of product sales, and if our partners fail to perform or satisfy their obligations under the collaboration agreement, the development and commercialization of our drug products could be delayed, hindered or may not occur and our business and prospects could be materially and adversely affected. 38 Due to these factors and other possible disagreements with our collaboration partners, we may be delayed or prevented from further developing, manufacturing or commercializing our drug products or our product candidates or we may become involved in litigation or arbitration, which would be time consuming and expensive.
Our continued development efforts for our COVID-19 vaccine could face increased research and development costs, including for clinical trials, non-clinical studies and CMC, when updating COVID-19 vaccines containing new variants of concern based on WHO and FDA recommendations.
KOSTAIVE could face increased research and development costs, including for clinical trials, non-clinical studies and CMC, when updating COVID-19 vaccines containing new variants of concern based on WHO and FDA recommendations.
The effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2023 has been audited by Ernst & Young LLP, an independent registered public accounting firm, as stated in their report which is included elsewhere herein. For further discussion of the material weaknesses identified and our remedial efforts, see Item 9A. Controls and Procedures.
The effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2024 has been audited by Deloitte & Touche LLP, an independent registered public accounting firm, as stated in their report which is included elsewhere herein. For further discussion of the material weakness identified and our remedial efforts, see Item 9A. Controls and Procedures.
If any of our product candidates receives marketing approval, and causes serious, unexpected, or undesired side effects, a number of potentially significant negative consequences could result after we begin commercialization, including: regulatory authorities may withdraw, suspend, or limit their approval of the product or impose restrictions on its distribution in the form of a modified risk evaluation and mitigation strategy; 57 regulatory authorities may require the addition of labeling statements, such as warnings or contraindications; we may be required to change the way the product is administered or conduct additional clinical trials or post-marketing surveillance; we could be sued and held liable for harm caused to patients; or our reputation may suffer.
With a limited number of patients and limited duration of exposure in such trials, rare and severe side effects of our product candidates may not be uncovered until a significantly larger number of patients are exposed to the product candidate. 45 If any of our product candidates receives marketing approval, and causes serious, unexpected, or undesired side effects, a number of potentially significant negative consequences could result after we begin commercialization, including: • regulatory authorities may withdraw, suspend, or limit their approval of the product or impose restrictions on its distribution in the form of a modified risk evaluation and mitigation strategy; • regulatory authorities may require the addition of labeling statements, such as warnings or contraindications; • we may be required to change the way the product is administered or conduct additional clinical trials or post-marketing surveillance; • we could be sued and held liable for harm caused to patients; or • our reputation may suffer.
You should carefully consider the fuller risk factor disclosure set forth in this Annual Report, in addition to the other information herein, including the section of this report titled “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and our financial statements and related notes. • We have a limited operating history, have incurred significant losses since our inception (with the exception of fiscal year 2022) and anticipate that we will continue to incur significant losses for the foreseeable future. • We have never generated any revenue from product sales, have generated only limited collaboration and grant revenue since inception, and may never be profitable in the long term. 45 • We expect that we will need to raise additional capital in the future, which may not be available on acceptable terms, or at all. • We are dependent upon relationships with our collaboration partners, and the failure of these relationships could negatively affect our business and results of operations. • We are exposed to interest rate risk, including under our loan agreements. • Our debt contains customary default clauses, a breach of which may result in acceleration of the repayment of some or all of this debt. • We are highly dependent upon our relationship with CSL Seqirus to further research, manufacture and commercialize self-amplifying mRNA vaccines against COVID-19, influenza and three other respiratory infectious diseases. • Even if our COVID-19 vaccine candidate is commercialized, it might not have a profitable commercial market. • Our partnered next generation COVID-19 vaccine candidate, ARCT-154, only has marketing approval in Japan and may never achieve marketing approval in any other countries.
You should carefully consider the fuller risk factor disclosure set forth in this Annual Report, in addition to the other information herein, including the section of this report titled “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and our financial statements and related notes. • We have a limited operating history, have incurred significant losses since our inception (with the exception of fiscal year 2022) and anticipate that we will continue to incur significant losses for the foreseeable future. • We have not generated any revenue from product sales, have generated only limited collaboration and grant revenue since inception, and may never be profitable in the long term. • We expect that we will need to raise additional capital in the future, which may not be available on acceptable terms, or at all. • We are dependent upon relationships with our collaboration partners, and the failure of these relationships could negatively affect our business and results of operations. • We are exposed to interest rate risk, including under our loan agreements. • Our debt contains customary default clauses, a breach of which may result in acceleration of the repayment of some or all of this debt. • We are highly dependent upon our relationship with CSL Seqirus to further research, manufacture and commercialize self-amplifying mRNA vaccines against COVID-19, influenza and three other infectious diseases. • KOSTAIVE might not have a profitable commercial market. • KOSTAIVE only has marketing approval in Japan and Europe and may never achieve marketing approval in any other countries. • Regulatory authorities may change views and recommendations, which could lead to more challenging regulatory paths to approvals and to more expensive clinical and commercial efforts. • Even with the commercialization of KOSTAIVE in Japan, there might not be meaningful sales in Japan.
Failure to obtain timely formulary approval will limit our commercial success. 61 There have been a number of legislative and regulatory proposals to change the healthcare system in the United States and in some foreign jurisdictions that could affect our ability to sell products profitably. These legislative and/or regulatory changes may negatively impact the reimbursement for drug products, following approval.
There have been a number of legislative and regulatory proposals to change the healthcare system in the United States and in some foreign jurisdictions that could affect our ability to sell products profitably. These legislative and/or regulatory changes may negatively impact the reimbursement for drug products, following approval.
We may be unable to raise sufficient amounts of additional capital when needed and on acceptable terms, which could require us to: significantly delay, scale back or discontinue the development or commercialization of any future product candidates; seek strategic alliances for research and development programs or clinical trials at an earlier stage than otherwise would be desirable or on terms that are less favorable than might otherwise be available; or relinquish or license on unfavorable terms, our rights to technologies or any future product candidates that we otherwise would seek to develop or commercialize ourselves. 49 We are dependent upon relationships with our collaboration partners, and the failure of these relationships could negatively affect our business and results of operations.
We may be unable to raise sufficient amounts of additional capital when needed and on acceptable terms, which could require us to: • significantly delay, scale back or discontinue the development or commercialization of any current or future product candidates; • seek strategic alliances for research and development programs or clinical trials at an earlier stage than otherwise would be desirable or on terms that are less favorable than might otherwise be available; or • relinquish or license on unfavorable terms, our rights to technologies or any future or current product candidates that we otherwise would seek to develop or commercialize ourselves.
If we are unable to successfully remediate our existing material weaknesses or any future material weakness or other deficiencies in our internal control over financial reporting: the accuracy and timing of our financial reporting may be adversely affected; our liquidity, our access to capital markets and the perceptions of our creditworthiness; we may be unable to maintain compliance with applicable securities laws, Nasdaq listing requirements, and the covenants under our debt instruments regarding the timely filing of periodic reports; we may be subject to regulatory investigations and penalties; and investors may lose confidence in our financial reporting.
As such, we concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures were not effective as of December 31, 2024. 62 If we are unable to successfully remediate our existing material weakness or any future material weakness or other deficiencies in our internal control over financial reporting: the accuracy and timing of our financial reporting may be adversely affected; our liquidity, our access to capital markets and the perceptions of our creditworthiness; we may be unable to maintain compliance with applicable securities laws, Nasdaq listing requirements, and the covenants under our debt instruments regarding the timely filing of periodic reports; we may be subject to regulatory investigations and penalties; and investors may lose confidence in our financial reporting.
In addition, we could suffer serious reputational harm if allegations of impropriety were made against us. We have identified material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting, and determined that our disclosure controls were not effective.
In addition, we could suffer serious reputational harm if allegations of impropriety were made against us. We have identified a material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting, and determined that our disclosure controls were not effective as of December 31, 2023 and December 31, 2024.
If we cannot, with and through our partner, develop and commercialize a vaccine that adequately addresses some of these shortcomings of vaccines currently on the market, we cannot expect to have commercial success. 52 Our partnered next generation COVID-19 vaccine candidate, ARCT-154, only has marketing approval in Japan and may never achieve marketing approval in any other countries.
If we cannot, with and through our partner, develop and commercialize a vaccine that adequately addresses some of these shortcomings of vaccines currently on the market, we cannot expect to have commercial success. KOSTAIVE only has marketing approval in Japan and Europe and may never achieve marketing approval in any other countries.
The fulfillment of our obligations under the CSL Collaboration Agreement may require significant deployment of our resources, which could disrupt or delay our ability to pursue other programs, including our platform development and development of other product candidates. Even if our COVID-19 vaccine candidate is commercialized, it might not have a profitable commercial market.
The fulfillment of our obligations under the CSL Collaboration Agreement may require significant deployment of our resources, which could disrupt or delay our ability to pursue other programs, including our platform development and development of other product candidates. KOSTAIVE might not have a profitable commercial market.
If the contract manufacturers we rely on to produce the supply of our preclinical and clinical product candidates, including materials for the manufacture of our product candidates do not timely deliver adequate quantities of quality materials, development and commercialization of our product candidates would be hindered.
If the contract manufacturers we rely on to produce the supply of our preclinical and clinical product candidates, including materials for the manufacture of our product candidates do not timely deliver adequate quantities of quality materials, development and commercialization of our product candidates would be hindered. 52 We rely on outside contractors to produce the supply of our preclinical and clinical product candidates, and we intend to rely on outside contractors to produce future clinical supplies of product candidates and commercial supplies of any approved product candidates.
We evaluate and implement such attributes based on our considerations of regulatory and commercial potential, along with scientific feasibility. There can be no assurance that the format and processes of any of our products is sufficient to achieve regulatory approval for commercialization per planned timelines.
We evaluate and implement the product presentation attributes based on our considerations of regulatory and commercial potential, along with scientific feasibility. There can be no assurance that the product presentation or characteristics of any of our products will be sufficient to achieve regulatory approval or commercialization per planned timelines.
Additional delays may result if an FDA advisory committee recommends restrictions on approval or recommends non-approval. In addition, we or our strategic alliance partners may experience delays or rejections based upon additional government regulation from future legislation or administrative action, or changes in regulatory agency policy during the period of product development, clinical trials and the review process.
In addition, we or our strategic alliance partners may experience delays or rejections based upon additional government regulation from future legislation or administrative action, or changes in regulatory agency policy during the period of product development, clinical trials and the review process.
In addition, companies trading in the stock market in general, and Nasdaq in particular, have experienced extreme price and volume fluctuations that have often been unrelated or disproportionate to the operating performance of these companies. Broad market and industry factors may negatively affect the market price of our common stock, regardless of our actual operating performance.
In addition, companies trading in the stock market in general, and Nasdaq in particular, have experienced extreme price and volume fluctuations that have often been unrelated or disproportionate to the operating performance of these companies, particularly companies in our industry.
In that case, we may not be able to identify and successfully implement an alternative product development strategy. Changes to our drug product format could significantly impact our timeline to commercialize our products. Each of our products, including our COVID-19 vaccine candidates, has a certain drug product format and utilizes certain manufacturing processes.
In that case, we may not be able to identify and successfully implement an alternative product development strategy. Changes to our drug product presentation could significantly impact our timeline to commercialize our products. Each of our products, including KOSTAIVE, has a certain drug product presentation.
Thus, even if we succeed in bringing a product to market, it may not be considered medically necessary or cost-effective, and the amount reimbursed for any products may be insufficient to allow us to sell our products on a competitive basis.
Thus, even if we succeed in bringing a product to market, it may not be considered medically necessary or cost-effective, and the amount reimbursed for any products may be insufficient to allow us to sell our products on a competitive basis. 50 In addition, we cannot be certain if and when we will obtain formulary approval to allow us to sell any products into our target markets.
Sales of a substantial number of shares of our common stock in the public market by our existing shareholders could cause our share price to fall. If our existing shareholders sell, or indicate an intention to sell, substantial amounts of our common stock in the public market, the trading price of our common stock could decline significantly.
If our existing shareholders sell, or indicate an intention to sell, substantial amounts of our common stock in the public market, the trading price of our common stock could decline significantly.
There are significant corporate governance and executive compensation related provisions in the Dodd-Frank Act that require the SEC to adopt additional rules and regulations in these areas such as “say on pay” and proxy access.
In July 2010, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (the “Dodd-Frank Act”) was enacted. There are significant corporate governance and executive compensation related provisions in the Dodd-Frank Act that require the SEC to adopt additional rules and regulations in these areas such as “say on pay” and proxy access.
Even if one or more of the product candidates that we independently develop is approved for commercial sale, we anticipate incurring significant costs associated with commercializing any approved product. Even if we are able to generate revenues from the sale of any approved products, we may not become profitable and may need to obtain additional funding to continue operations.
Even if our internal product candidates are approved for commercial sale, or KOSTAIVE continues to achieve approvals in more countries, we anticipate incurring significant costs associated with commercializing any approved product. Even if we generate revenues from the sale of any approved products, we may not become profitable and may need to obtain additional funding to continue operations.
We may identify significant impurities, which could result in increased scrutiny by the regulatory agencies, delays in clinical programs and regulatory approval, increases in our operating expenses, or failure to obtain or maintain approval for product candidates or any approved products.
We may identify significant impurities, which could result in increased scrutiny by the regulatory agencies, delays in clinical programs and regulatory approval, increases in our operating expenses, or failure to obtain or maintain approval for product candidates or any approved products. The robustness of our manufacturing supply chain to support commercial distribution has not been meaningfully tested.
If clinical trials of our product candidates fail to demonstrate safety and efficacy to the satisfaction of regulatory authorities or do not otherwise produce positive results, we may incur additional costs or experience delays in completing, or ultimately be unable to complete, the development and commercialization of our product candidates. 55 Before obtaining marketing approval from regulatory authorities for the sale of product candidates, we or our strategic alliance partners must conduct extensive clinical trials to demonstrate the safety and efficacy of the product candidates in humans.
If clinical trials of our product candidates fail to demonstrate safety and efficacy to the satisfaction of regulatory authorities or do not otherwise produce positive results, we may incur additional costs or experience delays in completing, or ultimately be unable to complete, the development and commercialization of our product candidates.
Switching vendors may involve substantial costs and is likely to result in a delay in our desired clinical and commercial timelines. 64 In addition, if our alliance partners elect to control manufacturing for certain programs, we may lose control over the manufacturing activities for the product candidate, which would reduce our level of manufacturing process development and would make the success of such programs dependent on our partners’ ability to manufacture timely and properly.
In addition, if our alliance partners elect to control manufacturing for certain programs, we may lose control over the manufacturing activities for the product candidate, which would reduce our level of manufacturing process 53 development and would make the success of such programs dependent on our partners’ ability to manufacture timely and properly.
If the patent applications we hold or have in-licensed with respect to our programs or product candidates fail to issue or are invalidated or if their breadth or strength of protection is threatened, it could dissuade companies from collaborating with us to develop product candidates, and threaten our ability to commercialize, future products. 65 If we do not prevail in any challenge to our intellectual property rights, we could be required to cease using the related technology or to license rights to it from the prevailing party.
If the patent applications we hold or have in-licensed with respect to our programs or product candidates fail to issue or are invalidated or if their breadth or strength of protection is threatened, it could dissuade companies from collaborating with us to develop product candidates, and threaten our ability to commercialize, future products.