Biggest changeThe acquisition of Cigna's business in Asia contributed $1,434 million in 2022. • Commercial casualty grew primarily in North America, Europe, and Asia, driven by strong new business and retention, including exposure and rate increases. • Workers' compensation growth was due to exposure increases in North America. • Financial lines grew on a constant dollar basis primarily from renewal retention, including exposure and positive rate increases in North America, Asia, and Latin America. • Surety increased due to strong new business and renewal retention in North America. • Commercial multiple peril increased due to strong new business and renewal retention, including exposure and positive rate increases in North America. • Property and other short-tail lines grew globally due to strong new business and renewal retention, including positive rate increases and increased exposure. • Agriculture increased due to underlying growth in crop insurance, reflecting higher commodity prices, higher reported acreage from policyholders, and policy count growth, partially offset by a return of premium to the U.S. government in the first quarter of 2022 of $161 million. • Personal lines grew in most regions reflecting new business, strong renewal retention, and both rate and exposure increases, primarily in high net worth homeowners and automobile in North America, high net worth and specialty lines in Asia, and specialty lines and automobile in Latin America.
Biggest changeGrowth was partially offset by the unfavorable impact of planned corrective underwriting actions in North America in the fourth quarter of 2023. 54 Table of Contents • Commercial multiple peril increased due to strong premium retention, including both rate and exposure increases, and strong new business in North America. • Surety growth reflects strong new business in North America. • Agriculture growth reflects lower premium cessions to the U.S. government of $386 million due to higher losses experienced in certain states in 2023 and strong new business in Chubb Agribusiness. • Personal lines grew principally in North America and Latin America, with growth strongest in homeowners.
As shown in our loss triangle disclosure, the vast majority (almost 95 percent) of Personal Lines net ultimate losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses are typically paid within five years of the accident date and 80 percent within two years.
As shown in our loss triangle disclosure, the vast majority (almost 95 percent) of Personal Lines net ultimate losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses are typically paid within five years of the accident date and almost 80 percent within two years.
Letters A, B, C, D, E and F included in the table are references for calculating the ratios above. 64 Table of Contents North America Commercial P&C Insurance North America Personal P&C Insurance North America Agricultural Insurance Overseas General Insurance Global Reinsurance Corporate Total P&C For the Year Ended December 31, 2021 (in millions of U.S. dollars except for ratios) Numerator Losses and loss expenses A $ 10,015 $ 2,924 $ 1,962 $ 5,143 $ 632 $ 572 $ 21,248 Catastrophe losses and related adjustments Catastrophe losses, net of related adjustments (1,112) (679) (40) (358) (212) — (2,401) Reinstatement premiums collected (expensed) on catastrophe losses — (16) (2) — 28 — 10 Catastrophe losses, gross of related adjustments (1,112) (663) (38) (358) (240) — (2,411) PPD and related adjustments PPD, net of related adjustments - favorable (unfavorable) 762 305 (10) 441 (3) (569) 926 Net premiums earned adjustments on PPD - unfavorable (favorable) 67 — (25) — — — 42 Expense adjustments - unfavorable (favorable) 6 — (3) — — — 3 PPD reinstatement premiums - unfavorable (favorable) 6 (1) — 7 3 — 15 PPD, gross of related adjustments - favorable (unfavorable) 841 304 (38) 448 — (569) 986 CAY loss and loss expense ex CATs B $ 9,744 $ 2,565 $ 1,886 $ 5,233 $ 392 $ 3 $ 19,823 Policy acquisition costs and administrative expenses Policy acquisition costs and administrative expenses C $ 3,134 $ 1,277 $ 121 $ 3,877 $ 235 $ 365 $ 9,009 Expense adjustments - favorable (unfavorable) (6) — 3 — — — (3) Policy acquisition costs and administrative expenses, adjusted D $ 3,128 $ 1,277 $ 124 $ 3,877 $ 235 $ 365 $ 9,006 Denominator Net premiums earned E $ 15,461 $ 4,915 $ 2,338 $ 10,441 $ 798 $ 33,953 Reinstatement premiums (collected) expensed on catastrophe losses — 16 2 — (28) (10) Net premiums earned adjustments on PPD - unfavorable (favorable) 67 — (25) — — 42 PPD reinstatement premiums - unfavorable (favorable) 6 (1) — 7 3 15 Net premiums earned excluding adjustments F $ 15,534 $ 4,930 $ 2,315 $ 10,448 $ 773 $ 34,000 P&C Combined ratio Loss and loss expense ratio A/E 64.8 % 59.5 % 83.9 % 49.3 % 79.2 % 62.6 % Policy acquisition cost and administrative expense ratio C/E 20.2 % 26.0 % 5.2 % 37.1 % 29.5 % 26.5 % P&C Combined ratio 85.0 % 85.5 % 89.1 % 86.4 % 108.7 % 89.1 % CAY P&C Combined ratio ex CATs Loss and loss expense ratio, adjusted B/F 62.7 % 52.0 % 81.5 % 50.1 % 50.7 % 58.3 % Policy acquisition cost and administrative expense ratio, adjusted D/F 20.2 % 25.9 % 5.3 % 37.1 % 30.5 % 26.5 % CAY P&C Combined ratio ex CATs 82.9 % 77.9 % 86.8 % 87.2 % 81.2 % 84.8 % Combined ratio Combined ratio 89.1 % Add: impact of gains and losses on crop derivatives — P&C Combined ratio 89.1 % Note: The ratios above are calculated using whole U.S. dollars.
Letters A, B, C, D, E and F included in the table are references for calculating the ratios above. 70 Table of Contents North America Commercial P&C Insurance North America Personal P&C Insurance North America Agricultural Insurance Overseas General Insurance Global Reinsurance Corporate Total P&C For the Year Ended December 31, 2021 (in millions of U.S. dollars except for ratios) Numerator Losses and loss expenses/policy benefits A $ 10,015 $ 2,924 $ 1,962 $ 5,143 $ 632 $ 572 $ 21,248 Catastrophe losses and related adjustments Catastrophe losses, net of related adjustments (1,112) (679) (40) (358) (212) — (2,401) Reinstatement premiums collected (expensed) on catastrophe losses — (16) (2) — 28 — 10 Catastrophe losses, gross of related adjustments (1,112) (663) (38) (358) (240) — (2,411) PPD and related adjustments PPD, net of related adjustments - favorable (unfavorable) 762 305 (10) 441 (3) (569) 926 Net premiums earned adjustments on PPD - unfavorable (favorable) 67 — (25) — — — 42 Expense adjustments - unfavorable (favorable) 6 — (3) — — — 3 PPD reinstatement premiums - unfavorable (favorable) 6 (1) — 7 3 — 15 PPD, gross of related adjustments - favorable (unfavorable) 841 304 (38) 448 — (569) 986 CAY loss and loss expense ex CATs B $ 9,744 $ 2,565 $ 1,886 $ 5,233 $ 392 $ 3 $ 19,823 Policy acquisition costs and administrative expenses Policy acquisition costs and administrative expenses C $ 3,134 $ 1,277 $ 121 $ 3,877 $ 235 $ 365 $ 9,009 Expense adjustments - favorable (unfavorable) (6) — 3 — — — (3) Policy acquisition costs and administrative expenses, adjusted D $ 3,128 $ 1,277 $ 124 $ 3,877 $ 235 $ 365 $ 9,006 Denominator Net premiums earned E $ 15,461 $ 4,915 $ 2,338 $ 10,441 $ 798 $ 33,953 Reinstatement premiums (collected) expensed on catastrophe losses — 16 2 — (28) (10) Net premiums earned adjustments on PPD - unfavorable (favorable) 67 — (25) — — 42 PPD reinstatement premiums - unfavorable (favorable) 6 (1) — 7 3 15 Net premiums earned excluding adjustments F $ 15,534 $ 4,930 $ 2,315 $ 10,448 $ 773 $ 34,000 P&C Combined ratio Loss and loss expense ratio A/E 64.8 % 59.5 % 83.9 % 49.3 % 79.2 % 62.6 % Policy acquisition cost and administrative expense ratio C/E 20.2 % 26.0 % 5.2 % 37.1 % 29.5 % 26.5 % P&C Combined ratio 85.0 % 85.5 % 89.1 % 86.4 % 108.7 % 89.1 % CAY P&C Combined ratio ex CATs Loss and loss expense ratio, adjusted B/F 62.7 % 52.0 % 81.5 % 50.1 % 50.7 % 58.3 % Policy acquisition cost and administrative expense ratio, adjusted D/F 20.2 % 25.9 % 5.3 % 37.1 % 30.5 % 26.5 % CAY P&C Combined ratio ex CATs 82.9 % 77.9 % 86.8 % 87.2 % 81.2 % 84.8 % Combined ratio Combined ratio 89.1 % Add: impact of gains and losses on crop derivatives — P&C Combined ratio 89.1 % Note: The ratios above are calculated using whole U.S. dollars.
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), include but are not limited to: • actual amount of new and renewal business, premium rates, underwriting margins, market acceptance of our products, and risks associated with the introduction of new products and services and entering new markets; the competitive environment in which we operate, including trends in pricing or in policy terms and conditions, which may differ from our projections and changes in market conditions that could render our business strategies ineffective or obsolete; • losses arising out of natural or man-made catastrophes; actual loss experience from insured or reinsured events and the timing of claim payments; the uncertainties of the loss-reserving and claims-settlement processes, including the difficulties associated with assessing environmental damage and asbestos-related latent injuries, the impact of aggregate-policy-coverage limits, the impact of bankruptcy protection sought by various asbestos producers and other related businesses, and the timing of loss payments; • infection rates and severity of COVID-19 and related risks, and their effects on our business operations and claims activity, and any adverse impact to our insureds, brokers, agents, and employees; actual claims may exceed our best estimate of ultimate insurance losses incurred which could change including as a result of, among other things, the impact of legislative or regulatory actions taken in response to COVID-19; • changes in the distribution or placement of risks due to increased consolidation of insurance and reinsurance brokers; material differences between actual and expected assessments for guaranty funds and mandatory pooling arrangements; the ability to collect reinsurance recoverable, credit developments of reinsurers, and any delays with respect thereto and changes in the cost, quality, or availability of reinsurance; • uncertainties relating to governmental, legislative and regulatory policies, developments, actions, investigations, and treaties; judicial decisions and rulings, new theories of liability, legal tactics, and settlement terms; the effects of data privacy or cyber laws or regulation; global political conditions and possible business disruption or economic contraction that may result from such events; • developments in global financial markets, including changes in interest rates, stock markets, and other financial markets; increased government involvement or intervention in the financial services industry; the cost and availability of financing, and foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; changing rates of inflation; and other general economic and business conditions, including the depth and duration of potential recession; • the availability of borrowings and letters of credit under our credit facilities; the adequacy of collateral supporting funded high deductible programs; the amount of dividends received from subsidiaries; • changes to our assessment as to whether it is more likely than not that we will be required to sell, or have the intent to sell, available for sale fixed maturity investments before their anticipated recovery; • actions that rating agencies may take from time to time, such as financial strength or credit ratings downgrades or placing these ratings on credit watch negative or the equivalent; • the effects of public company bankruptcies and accounting restatements, as well as disclosures by and investigations of public companies relating to possible accounting irregularities, and other corporate governance issues; • acquisitions made performing differently than expected, our failure to realize anticipated expense-related efficiencies or growth from acquisitions, the impact of acquisitions on our pre-existing organization, and risks and uncertainties relating to our planned purchases of additional interests in Huatai Insurance Group Co., Ltd.
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), include but are not limited to: • actual amount of new and renewal business, premium rates, underwriting margins, market acceptance of our products, and risks associated with the introduction of new products and services and entering new markets; the competitive environment in which we operate, including trends in pricing or in policy terms and conditions, which may differ from our projections and changes in market conditions that could render our business strategies ineffective or obsolete; • losses arising out of natural or man-made catastrophes; actual loss experience from insured or reinsured events and the timing of claim payments; the uncertainties of the loss-reserving and claims-settlement processes, including the difficulties associated with assessing environmental damage and asbestos-related latent injuries, the impact of aggregate-policy-coverage limits, the impact of bankruptcy protection sought by various asbestos producers and other related businesses, and the timing of loss payments; • changes in the distribution or placement of risks due to increased consolidation of insurance and reinsurance brokers; material differences between actual and expected assessments for guaranty funds and mandatory pooling arrangements; the ability to collect reinsurance recoverable, credit developments of reinsurers, and any delays with respect thereto and changes in the cost, quality, or availability of reinsurance; • uncertainties relating to governmental, legislative and regulatory policies, developments, actions, investigations, and treaties; judicial decisions and rulings, new theories of liability, legal tactics, and settlement terms; the effects of data privacy or cyber laws or regulation; global political conditions and possible business disruption or economic contraction that may result from such events; • severity of pandemics and related risks, and their effects on our business operations and claims activity, and any adverse impact to our insureds, brokers, agents, and employees; actual claims may exceed our best estimate of ultimate insurance losses incurred which could change including as a result of, among other things, the impact of legislative or regulatory actions taken in response to a pandemic; • developments in global financial markets, including changes in interest rates, stock markets, and other financial markets; increased government involvement or intervention in the financial services industry; the cost and availability of financing, and foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; changing rates of inflation; and other general economic and business conditions, including the depth and duration of potential recession; • the availability of borrowings and letters of credit under our credit facilities; the adequacy of collateral supporting funded high deductible programs; the amount of dividends received from subsidiaries; • changes to our assessment as to whether it is more likely than not that we will be required to sell, or have the intent to sell, available-for-sale fixed maturity investments before their anticipated recovery; • actions that rating agencies may take from time to time, such as financial strength or credit ratings downgrades or placing these ratings on credit watch negative or the equivalent; • the effects of public company bankruptcies and accounting restatements, as well as disclosures by and investigations of public companies relating to possible accounting irregularities, and other corporate governance issues; • acquisitions made performing differently than expected, our failure to realize anticipated expense-related efficiencies or growth from acquisitions, the impact of acquisitions on our pre-existing organization, and risks and uncertainties relating to our outstanding purchases of additional interests in Huatai Insurance Group Co., Ltd.
In addition to routine analytical reviews of ceding company reports to ensure reported claims information appears reasonable, we perform regular underwriting and claims audits of certain ceding companies to ensure reported claims information is accurate, complete, and timely. As appropriate, audit findings are used to adjust claims in the reserving process.
In addition to routine analytical reviews of ceding company reports to ensure reported claims information appears reasonable, we perform regular underwriting and claims audits of ceding companies to ensure reported claims information is accurate, complete, and timely. As appropriate, audit findings are used to adjust claims in the reserving process.
We consider each of the following sensitivity analyses to represent a reasonably likely deviation in the underlying assumption. 40 Table of Contents North America Commercial P&C Insurance - Workers' Compensation Given the long reporting and paid development patterns for workers' compensation business, the development factors used to project actual current losses to ultimate losses for our current exposure require considerable judgment that could be material to consolidated loss and loss expense reserves.
We consider each of the following sensitivity analyses to represent a reasonably likely deviation in the underlying assumption. 43 Table of Contents North America Commercial P&C Insurance - Workers' Compensation Given the long reporting and paid development patterns for workers' compensation business, the development factors used to project actual current losses to ultimate losses for our current exposure require considerable judgment that could be material to consolidated loss and loss expense reserves.
Our assessment also incorporates the impact of a severe economic downturn which, as stated above under Financial Risk, includes an adverse impact to our investment portfolio and to our insurance products sensitive to certain system-wide financial conditions. 74 Table of Contents Global Property Catastrophe Reinsurance Program Chubb’s core property catastrophe reinsurance program provides protection against natural catastrophes impacting its primary property operations (i.e., excluding our Global Reinsurance and Life Insurance segments).
Our assessment also incorporates the impact of a severe economic downturn which, as stated above under Financial Risk, includes an adverse impact to our investment portfolio and to our insurance products sensitive to certain system-wide financial conditions. 80 Table of Contents Global Property Catastrophe Reinsurance Program Chubb’s core property catastrophe reinsurance program provides protection against natural catastrophes impacting its primary property operations (i.e., excluding our Global Reinsurance and Life Insurance segments).
Interest payments related to these obligations total $6.6 billion with $0.5 billion due over the next twelve months. These estimates are based on current exchange rates.
Interest payments related to these obligations total $6.1 billion with $0.5 billion due over the next twelve months. These estimates are based on current exchange rates.
Sensitivity to underlying assumptions While we believe that our reserve for unpaid losses and loss expenses at December 31, 2022, is adequate, new information or emerging trends that differ from our assumptions may lead to future development of losses and loss expenses that is significantly greater or less than the recorded reserve, which could have a material effect on future operating results.
Sensitivity to underlying assumptions While we believe that our reserve for unpaid losses and loss expenses at December 31, 2023, is adequate, new information or emerging trends that differ from our assumptions may lead to future development of losses and loss expenses that is significantly greater or less than the recorded reserve, which could have a material effect on future operating results.
The vast majority of the current liability relates to exposure from recently enacted "reviver" legislation in certain states that allow civil claims relating to molestation to be asserted against policyholders that would otherwise be barred by statutes of limitations. For additional information refer to the “Asbestos and Environmental (A&E)” section and to Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The vast majority of the current liability relates to exposure from recently enacted "reviver" legislation in certain states that allow civil claims relating to molestation to be asserted against policyholders that would otherwise be barred by statutes of limitations. For additional information refer to the “Asbestos and Environmental (A&E)” section and to Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Our minimum rating for initial purchase is BB/B. Fifteen external investment managers are responsible for high-yield security selection and portfolio construction. Our high-yield managers have a conservative approach to credit selection and very low historical default experience. Holdings are highly diversified across industries and generally subject to a 1.5 percent issuer limit as a percentage of high-yield allocation.
Our minimum rating for initial purchase is BB/B. Sixteen external investment managers are responsible for high-yield security selection and portfolio construction. Our high-yield managers have a conservative approach to credit selection and very low historical default experience. Holdings are highly diversified across industries and generally subject to a 1.5 percent issuer limit as a percentage of high-yield allocation.
In addition, Chubb renewed its terrorism coverage (excluding nuclear, biological, chemical and radiation coverage, with an inclusion of coverage for biological and chemical coverage for personal lines) for the United States from April 1, 2022, through March 31, 2023, with the same limits and retention and percentage placed except that the majority of terrorism coverage is on an aggregate basis above our retentions without a reinstatement.
In addition, Chubb renewed its terrorism coverage (excluding nuclear, biological, chemical and radiation coverage, with an inclusion of coverage for biological and chemical coverage for personal lines) for the United States from April 1, 2023, through March 31, 2024, with the same limits and retention and percentage placed except that the majority of terrorism coverage is on an aggregate basis above our retentions without a reinstatement.
However, when a recoverable is expected to be paid in a brief period of time by a highly-rated reinsurer, such as certain property catastrophe claims, a default factor may not be applied; 45 Table of Contents • For balances recoverable from reinsurers that are both unrated by a major rating agency and for which management is unable to determine a credible rating equivalent based on a parent or affiliated company, we may determine a rating equivalent based on our analysis of the reinsurer that considers an assessment of the creditworthiness of the particular entity, industry benchmarks, or other factors as considered appropriate.
However, when a recoverable is expected to be paid in a brief period of time by a highly-rated reinsurer, such as certain property catastrophe claims, a default factor may not be applied; • For balances recoverable from reinsurers that are both unrated by a major rating agency and for which management is unable to determine a credible rating equivalent based on a parent or affiliated company, we may determine a rating equivalent based on our analysis of the reinsurer that considers an assessment of the creditworthiness of the particular entity, industry benchmarks, or other factors as considered appropriate.
These tests reflect current exposures only and exclude potentially mitigating factors such as changes to building codes, public or private risk mitigation, regulation, and public policy. 73 Table of Contents Man-made and other catastrophes We have substantial exposure to losses resulting from man-made catastrophes including terrorism, cyber-attack, financial events, and other catastrophe events, including pandemics.
These tests reflect current exposures only and exclude potentially mitigating factors such as changes to building codes, public or private risk mitigation, regulation, and public policy. 79 Table of Contents Man-made and other catastrophes We have substantial exposure to losses resulting from man-made catastrophes including terrorism, cyber-attack, financial events, and other catastrophe events, including pandemics.
Derivative and structured securities (e.g., credit default swaps and collateralized debt obligations) are not permitted in the high-yield portfolio. 71 Table of Contents Asbestos and Environmental (A&E) Asbestos and environmental (A&E) reserving considerations For asbestos, Chubb faces claims relating to policies issued to manufacturers, distributors, installers, and other parties in the chain of commerce for asbestos and products containing asbestos.
Derivative and structured securities (e.g., credit default swaps and collateralized debt obligations) are not permitted in the high-yield portfolio. 77 Table of Contents Asbestos and Environmental (A&E) Asbestos and environmental (A&E) reserving considerations For asbestos, Chubb faces claims relating to policies issued to manufacturers, distributors, installers, and other parties in the chain of commerce for asbestos and products containing asbestos.
During 2022, we were able to meet all our obligations, including the payments of dividends on our Common Shares, with our net cash flows. We assess which subsidiaries to draw dividends from based on a number of factors. Considerations such as regulatory and legal restrictions as well as the subsidiary's financial condition are paramount to the dividend decision.
During 2023, we were able to meet all our obligations, including the payments of dividends on our Common Shares, with our net cash flows. We assess which subsidiaries to draw dividends from based on a number of factors. Considerations such as regulatory and legal restrictions as well as the subsidiary's financial condition are paramount to the dividend decision.
The facilities noted above require that we maintain certain financial covenants, all of which have been met at December 31, 2022. These covenants include: (i) a minimum consolidated net worth of not less than $41.959 billion; and (ii) a ratio of consolidated debt to total capitalization of not greater than 0.35 to 1.
The facilities noted above require that we maintain certain financial covenants, all of which have been met at December 31, 2023. These covenants include: (i) a minimum consolidated net worth of not less than $41.959 billion; and (ii) a ratio of consolidated debt to total capitalization of not greater than 0.35 to 1.
Chubb renewed its Global Property Catastrophe Reinsurance Program for our North American and International operations effective April 1, 2022, through March 31, 2023, with no material changes in coverage to the expired program. The program consists of three layers in excess of losses retained by Chubb on a per occurrence basis.
Chubb renewed its Global Property Catastrophe Reinsurance Program for our North American and International operations effective April 1, 2023, through March 31, 2024, with no material changes in coverage to the expired program. The program consists of three layers in excess of losses retained by Chubb on a per occurrence basis.
Comparisons between 2021 and 2020 have been omitted from this Form 10-K, but can be found in "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in Part II, Item 7 of our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021. All comparisons in this discussion are to the prior year unless otherwise indicated.
Comparisons between 2022 and 2021 have been omitted from this Form 10-K, but can be found in "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in Part II, Item 7 of our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022. All comparisons in this discussion are to the prior year unless otherwise indicated.
The reserve portfolio for our Chubb Bermuda operations contains exposure to predominantly high excess liability coverage on an occurrence-first-reported basis (typically with attachment points in excess of $325 million and gross limits of up to $150 million) and D&O and other professional liability coverage on a claims-made basis (typically with attachment points in excess of $125 million and gross limits of up to $75 million).
The reserve portfolio for our Chubb Bermuda operations contains exposure to predominantly high excess liability coverage on an occurrence-first-reported basis (typically with attachment points in excess of $325 million and gross limits of up to $150 million) and D&O and other professional liability coverage on a claims-made basis (typically with attachment points in excess of $100 million and gross limits of up to $75 million).
Refer to “Liquidity” and “Capital Resources” for additional information. 38 Table of Contents Critical Accounting Estimates Our Consolidated Financial Statements include amounts that, either by their nature or due to requirements of generally accepted accounting principles in the U.S. (GAAP), are determined using best estimates and assumptions.
Refer to “Liquidity” and “Capital Resources” for additional information. 41 Table of Contents Critical Accounting Estimates Our Consolidated Financial Statements include amounts that, either by their nature or due to requirements of generally accepted accounting principles in the U.S. (U.S. GAAP), are determined using best estimates and assumptions.
Determining management's best estimate Our recorded reserves represent management's best estimate of the provision for unpaid claims as of the balance sheet date, and establishing them involves a process that includes collaboration with various relevant parties in the company. For information on our reserving process, refer to Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Determining management's best estimate Our recorded reserves represent management's best estimate of the provision for unpaid claims as of the balance sheet date, and establishing them involves a process that includes collaboration with various relevant parties in the company. For information on our reserving process, refer to Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
For additional information regarding estimates of future claim payments over the next twelve months, refer to our discussion of Cash Requirements within "Capital Resources". Sources of liquidity include cash from operations, routine sales of investments, and financing arrangements. The following is a discussion of our cash flows for 2022, 2021, and 2020.
For additional information regarding estimates of future claim payments over the next twelve months, refer to our discussion of Cash Requirements within "Capital Resources". Sources of liquidity include cash from operations, routine sales of investments, and financing arrangements. The following is a discussion of our cash flows for 2023, 2022, and 2021.
At December 31, 2022 , our long-term cash requirements under our various contractual obligations and commitments include: • Gross loss payments under insurance and reinsurance contracts - We are obligated to pay claims under insurance and reinsurance contracts for specified loss events covered under those contracts. Total cash requirements are not determinable from underlying contracts and must be estimated.
At December 31, 2023 , our long-term cash requirements under our various contractual obligations and commitments include: • Gross loss payments under insurance and reinsurance contracts - We are obligated to pay claims under insurance and reinsurance contracts for specified loss events covered under those contracts. Total cash requirements are not determinable from underlying contracts and must be estimated.
We believe the items that require the most subjective and complex estimates are: • unpaid loss and loss expense reserves, including long-tail asbestos and environmental (A&E) reserves and non-A&E casualty exposures; • future policy benefits reserves; • the valuation of value of business acquired (VOBA) and amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs and VOBA; • the assessment of risk transfer for certain structured insurance and reinsurance contracts; • reinsurance reco verable, including a valuation allowance for uncollectible reinsurance; • the valuation of our investment portfolio and assessment of valuation allowance for expected credit losses; • the valuation of deferred income taxes; and • the assessment of goodwill for impairment.
We believe the items that require the most subjective and complex estimates are: • unpaid loss and loss expense reserves, including long-tail asbestos and environmental (A&E) reserves and non-A&E casualty exposures; • future policy benefits reserves; • the valuation of value of business acquired (VOBA); • the assessment of risk transfer for certain structured insurance and reinsurance contracts; • reinsurance reco verable, including a valuation allowance for uncollectible reinsurance; • the valuation of our investment portfolio and assessment of valuation allowance for expected credit losses; • the valuation of deferred income taxes; and • the assessment of goodwill for impairment.
The average credit quality of our non-U.S. fixed income securities is A and 45 percent of our holdings are rated AAA or guaranteed by governments or quasi-government agencies. Within the context of these investment portfolios, our government and corporate bond holdings are highly diversified across industries and geographies.
The average credit quality of our non-U.S. fixed income securities is A and 39 percent of our holdings are rated AAA or guaranteed by governments or quasi-government agencies. Within the context of these investment portfolios, our government and corporate bond holdings are highly diversified across industries and geographies.
Unpaid losses and loss expenses As an insurance and reinsurance company, we are required by applicable laws and regulations and GAAP to establish loss and loss expense reserves for the estimated unpaid portion of the ultimate liability for losses and loss expenses under the terms of our policies and agreements with our insured and reinsured customers.
Unpaid losses and loss expenses As an insurance and reinsurance company, we are required by applicable laws and regulations and U.S. GAAP to establish loss and loss expense reserves for the estimated unpaid portion of the ultimate liability for losses and loss expenses under the terms of our policies and agreements with our insured and reinsured customers.
Best financial strength ratings of Chubb fall, we may be faced with the cancellation of premium or be required to post collateral on our underlying obligation associated with this premium. 82 Table of Contents Information provided in connection with outstanding debt of subsidiaries Chubb INA Holdings Inc.
Best financial strength ratings of Chubb fall, we may be faced with the cancellation of premium or be required to post collateral on our underlying obligation associated with this premium. 88 Table of Contents Information provided in connection with outstanding debt of subsidiaries Chubb INA Holdings Inc.
The table below presents our modeled pre-tax estimates of natural catastrophe PML, net of reinsurance, at December 31, 2022, and does not represent our expected catastrophe losses for any one year. Modeled Net Probable Maximum Loss (PML) Pre-tax Worldwide (1) U.S.
The table below presents our modeled pre-tax estimates of natural catastrophe PML, net of reinsurance, at December 31, 2023, and does not represent our expected catastrophe losses for any one year. Modeled Net Probable Maximum Loss (PML) Pre-tax Worldwide (1) U.S.
North America Agricultural Insurance Approximately 58 percent of the reserves for this segment are from the crop related lines, which all have short payout patterns, with the majority of the liabilities expected to be resolved in the ensuing twelve months.
North America Agricultural Insurance Approximately 69 percent of the reserves for this segment are from the crop related lines, which all have short payout patterns, with the majority of the liabilities expected to be resolved in the ensuing twelve months.
For example, a 20 percent shortening or lengthening of the development patterns used for U.S. long-tail lines would cause the loss reserve estimate derived by the reported Bornhuetter-Ferguson method for these lines to change by approximately $205 million.
For example, a 20 percent shortening or lengthening of the development patterns used for U.S. long-tail lines would cause the loss reserve estimate derived by the reported Bornhuetter-Ferguson method for these lines to change by approximately $185 million.
These estimated payments, which are not determinable from the contracts, are gross of fees or premiums from the underlying contracts. These estimated payments are higher than the future policy benefits reserves and GLB liability presented on our Consolidated balance sheets which are discounted and are reflected net of fees and premiums due from the underlying contracts.
These estimated payments, which are not determinable from the contracts, are gross of fees or premiums from the underlying contracts. These estimated payments are higher than the future policy benefits reserves and MRB liability presented on our Consolidated balance sheets which are discounted and are reflected net of fees and premiums due from the underlying contracts.
The following table presents the gross and net 3-year survival ratios for Asbestos and Environmental loss and ALAE reserves: (in years) Gross loss and ALAE reserves Net loss and ALAE reserves Asbestos 4.7 5.1 Environmental 3.3 3.9 The survival ratios provide only a very rough depiction of reserves and are significantly impacted by a number of factors such as aggressive settlement practices, variations in gross to ceded relationships within the asbestos or environmental claims, and levels of coverage provided.
The following table presents the gross and net 3-year survival ratios for Asbestos and Environmental loss and ALAE reserves: (in years) Gross loss and ALAE reserves Net loss and ALAE reserves Asbestos 4.4 4.3 Environmental 3.1 3.4 The survival ratios provide only a very rough depiction of reserves and are significantly impacted by a number of factors such as aggressive settlement practices, variations in gross to ceded relationships within the asbestos or environmental claims, and levels of coverage provided.
Goodwill is assigned to applicable reporting units of acquired entities at the time of acquisition. Our reporting units are the same as our reportable segments. For goodwill balances by reporting units, refer to Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, under item 8.
Goodwill is assigned to applicable reporting units of acquired entities at the time of acquisition. Our reporting units are the same as our reportable segments. For Goodwill balances by reporting units, refer to Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, under item 8.
Department of Agriculture’s Risk Management Agency (RMA), is a federal subsidized insurance program that covers revenue shortfalls or production losses due to natural causes such as drought, excessive moisture, hail, wind, freeze, insects, and disease. These revenue products are defined as providing both commodity price and yield coverages.
Department of Agriculture’s Risk Management Agency (RMA), is a federal subsidized insurance program that covers revenue shortfalls or production losses due to natural causes such as drought, 82 Table of Contents excessive moisture, hail, wind, freeze, insects, and disease. These revenue products are defined as providing both commodity price and yield coverages.
Refer to the respective sections that follow for a discussion of Net investment income, Other (income) expense, Net realized gains (losses), Interest expense, Amortization of purchased intangibles, and Income tax expense. 52 Table of Contents Segment Operating Results – Years Ended December 31, 2022, 2021, and 2020 We operate through six business segments: North America Commercial P&C Insurance, North America Personal P&C Insurance, North America Agricultural Insurance, Overseas General Insurance, Global Reinsurance, and Life Insurance.
Refer to the respective sections that follow for a discussion of Net investment income, Other (income) expense, Net realized gains (losses), Interest expense, Amortization of purchased intangibles, and Income tax expense. 57 Table of Contents Segment Operating Results – Years Ended December 31, 2023, 2022, and 2021 We operate through six business segments: North America Commercial P&C Insurance, North America Personal P&C Insurance, North America Agricultural Insurance, Overseas General Insurance, Global Reinsurance, and Life Insurance.
However, based on the composition (particularly the average credit quality) of the reinsurance recoverable balance at December 31, 2022, we estimate that a ratings downgrade of one notch for all rated reinsurers (e.g., from A to A- or A- to BBB+) could increase our valuation allowance for uncollectible reinsurance by approximately $93 million or approximately 0.5 percent of the gross reinsurance recoverable balance, assuming no other changes relevant to the calculation.
However, based on the composition (particularly the average credit quality) of the reinsurance recoverable balance at December 31, 2023, we estimate that a ratings downgrade of one notch for all rated reinsurers (e.g., from A to A- or A- to BBB+) could increase our valuation allowance for uncollectible reinsurance by approximately $97 million or approximately 0.5 percent of the gross reinsurance recoverable balance, assuming no other changes relevant to the calculation.
As a result of the low frequency/high severity nature of the book, a small difference in the actual vs. expected claim frequency, either positive or negative, could result in a material change to the projected ultimate loss if such change in claim frequency was related to a policy where close to maximum limits were deployed.
As a result of the low frequency/high severity nature of the book, a small difference in the actual vs. expected claim frequency, either positive or negative, could result in a material change to the projected ultimate loss if such change in claim frequency was related to a policy where significant limits were deployed.
Our below-investment grade and non-rated portfolio includes over 1,700 issuers, with the greatest single exposure being $152 million. We manage high-yield bonds as a distinct and separate asset class from investment grade bonds. The allocation to high-yield bonds is explicitly set by internal management and is targeted to securities in the upper tier of credit quality (BB/B).
Our below-investment grade and non-rated portfolio includes over 1,600 issuers, with the greatest single exposure being $168 million. We manage high-yield bonds as a distinct and separate asset class from investment grade bonds. The allocation to high-yield bonds is explicitly set by internal management and is targeted to securities in the upper tier of credit quality (BB/B).
ITEM 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations The following is a discussion of our financial condition and results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021 and comparisons between 2022 and 2021.
ITEM 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations The following is a discussion of our financial condition and results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022 and comparisons between 2023 and 2022.
The remaining favorable development of $1,452 million, including favorable development of $430 million for COVID-related claims, is primarily comprised of 39 percent in long-tail lines, principally from accident years 2020 and 2017 and prior, and 61 percent in short-tail lines, mainly in homeowners, accident and health, property, and surety lines.
The remaining favorable development of $1,452 million, including favorable development of $430 million for COVID-related claims, primarily comprises 39 percent in long-tail lines, principally from accident years 2020 and 2017 and prior, and 61 percent in short-tail lines, mainly in homeowners, accident and health, property, and surety lines.
Therefore, we urge caution in using these very simplistic ratios to gauge reserve adequacy. 72 Table of Contents Catastrophe Management We activel y monitor and manage our catastrophe risk accumulation around the world from natural perils, including setting risk limits based on probable maximum loss (PML), and purchasing catastrophe reinsurance, to ensure sufficient liquidity and capital to meet the expectations of regulators, rating agencies and policyholders, and to provide shareholders with an appropriate risk-adjusted return.
Therefore, we urge caution in using these very simplistic ratios to gauge reserve adequacy. 78 Table of Contents Catastrophe Management We activel y monitor and manage our catastrophe risk accumulation around the world from natural perils, which includes setting risk limits based on probable maximum loss (PML) and purchasing catastrophe reinsurance to ensure sufficient liquidity and capital to meet the expectations of regulators, rating agencies, and policyholders, and to provide shareholders with an appropriate risk-adjusted return.
To date, we have not experienced difficulty accessing our credit facility or establishing additional facilities when needed . 77 Table of Contents To further ensure the sufficiency of funds to settle unforeseen claims, we hold certain invested assets in cash and short-term investments.
To date, we have not experienced difficulty accessing our credit facility or establishing additional facilities when needed . To further ensure the sufficiency of funds to settle unforeseen claims, we hold certain invested assets in cash and short-term investments.
Our syndicated letter of credit facility allows for same day drawings to fund a net pool overdraft should participating Chubb entities withdraw contributed funds from the pool. Capital Resources Capital resources consist of funds deployed or available to be deployed to support our business operations.
Our syndicated letter of credit facility allows for same day drawings to fund a net pool overdraft should participating Chubb entities withdraw contributed funds from the pool. 85 Table of Contents Capital Resources Capital resources consist of funds deployed or available to be deployed to support our business operations.
(Huatai Group), including our ability to receive Chinese insurance regulatory approval and complete the purchases; • risks associated with being a Swiss corporation, including reduced flexibility with respect to certain aspects of capital management and the potential for additional regulatory burdens; share repurchase plans and share cancellations; • loss of the services of any of our executive officers without suitable replacements being recruited in a reasonable time frame; 37 Table of Contents • the ability of our technology resources, including information systems and security, to perform as anticipated such as with respect to preventing material information technology failures or third-party infiltrations or hacking resulting in consequences adverse to Chubb or its customers or partners; the ability of our company to increase use of data analytics and technology as part of our business strategy and adapt to new technologies; and • management’s response to these factors and actual events (including, but not limited to, those described above).
(Huatai Group); • risks associated with being a Swiss corporation, including reduced flexibility with respect to certain aspects of capital management and the potential for additional regulatory burdens; share repurchase plans and share cancellations; • loss of the services of any of our executive officers without suitable replacements being recruited in a reasonable time frame; 40 Table of Contents • the ability of our technology resources, including information systems and security, to perform as anticipated such as with respect to preventing material information technology failures or third-party infiltrations or hacking resulting in consequences adverse to Chubb or its customers or partners; the ability of our company to increase use of data analytics and technology as part of our business strategy and adapt to new technologies; and • management’s response to these factors and actual events (including, but not limited to, those described above).
The judgments involved in projecting the ultimate losses may pertain to the use and interpretation of various standard actuarial reserving methods that place reliance on the extrapolation of actual historical data, loss development patterns, industry data, and other benchmarks as appropriate.
The judgments involved in projecting the ultimate losses may pertain to the use and interpretation of various standard actuarial reserving methods that place reliance on the extrapolation of actual historical data, lo ss development patterns, industry data, and other benchmarks as appropriate.
To the extent the creditworthiness of our reinsurers was to deteriorate due to an adverse event affecting the reinsurance industry, such as a large number of major catastrophes, actual uncollectible amounts could be significantly greater than our valuation allowance for uncollectible reinsurance.
To the extent the creditworthiness of our reinsurers was to deteriorate due to an adverse 50 Table of Contents event affecting the reinsurance industry, such as a large number of major catastrophes, actual uncollectible amounts could be significantly greater than our valuation allowance for uncollectible reinsurance.
Also, issuers of below-investment grade securities usually have higher levels of debt and are more sensitive to adverse economic conditions, such as recession or increasing interest rates, than investment grade issuers. At December 31, 2022, our corporate fixed income investment portfolio included below-investment grade and non-rated securities which, in total, comprised approximately 16 percent of our fixed income portfolio.
Also, issuers of below-investment grade securities usually have higher levels of debt and are more sensitive to adverse economic conditions, such as recession or increasing interest rates, than investment grade issuers. At December 31, 2023, our corporate fixed income investment portfolio included below-investment grade and non-rated securities which, in total, comprised approximately 15 percent of our fixed income portfolio.
At December 31, 2022, the use of different assumptions within our approach could have a material effect on the valuation allowance for uncollectible reinsurance.
At December 31, 2023, the use of different assumptions within our approach could have a material effect on the valuation allowance for uncollectible reinsurance.
The Board will determine the record and payment dates at which the annual dividend may be paid until the date of the 2023 annual general meeting, and is authorized to abstain from distributing a dividend at its discretion. The first three quarterly installments each of $0.83 per share, have been distributed by the Board as expected.
The Board will determine the record and payment dates at which the annual dividend may be paid until the date of the 2024 annual general meeting, and is authorized to abstain from distributing a dividend at its discretion. The first three quarterly installments each of $0.86 per share, have been distributed by the Board as expected.
Each year the RMA issues a final SRA for the subsequent reinsurance year (i.e., the 2023 SRA covers the 2023 reinsurance year from July 1, 2022 through June 30, 2023).
Each year the RMA issues a final SRA for the subsequent reinsurance year (i.e., the 2024 SRA covers the 2024 reinsurance year from July 1, 2023 through June 30, 2024).
IBNR 39 Table of Contents may also include provisions to account for the possibility that reported claims may settle for amounts that differ from the established case reserves. Loss reserves also include an estimate of expenses associated with processing and settling unpaid claims (loss expenses).
IBNR may also include provisions to account for the possibility that reported claims may settle for amounts that differ from the established case reserves. Loss reserves also include an estimate of expenses associated with processing and settling unpaid claims (loss expenses).
The average duration of our fixed income securities, including the effect of options and swaps, was 4.5 years and 4.1 years at December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. We estimate that a 100 basis point (bps) increase in interest rates would reduce the valuation of our fixed income portfolio by approximately $4.4 billion at December 31, 2022.
The average duration of our fixed income securities, including the effect of options and swaps, was 4.8 years and 4.5 years at December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. We estimate that a 100 basis point (bps) increase in interest rates would reduce the valuation of our fixed income portfolio by approximately $5.5 billion at December 31, 2023.
The remaining favorable development of $1,144 million is primarily comprised of 18 percent in long-tail lines, principally from accident years 2011 through 2017, and 82 percent in short-tail lines, mainly in property and A&H lines.
The remaining favorable development of $1,144 million primarily comprises 18 percent in long-tail lines, principally from accident years 2011 through 2017, and 82 percent in short-tail lines, mainly in property and A&H lines.
At our largest exposure location in the U.S., our maximum modeled losses from a 10-ton truck-bomb explosion are estimated to be $1.9 billion pre-tax based on the exposures, net of reinsurance and TRIPRA as of December 31, 2022.
At our largest exposure location in the U.S., our maximum modeled losses from a 10-ton truck-bomb explosion are estimated to be $2.1 billion pre-tax based on the exposures, net of reinsurance and TRIPRA, as of December 31, 2023.
In addition, in the case of loans to government-owned entities or loans that have a government guarantee, political risk policies cover 75 Table of Contents scheduled payments against risks of non-payment or non-honoring of government guarantees.
In addition, in the case of loans to government-owned entities or loans that have a government guarantee, political risk policies cover scheduled payments against risks of non-payment or non-honoring of government guarantees.
At December 31, 2022, the valuation allowance of $916 million reflects management's assessment that it is more likely than not that a portion of the deferred tax assets will not be realized due to the inability of certain subsidiaries to generate sufficient taxable income.
At December 31, 2023, the valuation allowance of $716 million reflects management's assessment that it is more likely than not that a portion of the deferred tax assets will not be realized due to the inability of certain subsidiaries to generate sufficient taxable income.
For example, when applying the reported loss development method, the lengthening of our selected loss development patterns by six months would increase reserve estimates on long-tail casualty and financial lines for accident years 2020 and prior by approximately $582 million.
For example, when applying the reported loss development method, the lengthening of our selected loss development patterns by six months would increase reserve estimates on long-tail casualty and financial lines for accident years 2021 and prior by approximately $556 million.
The expense adjustments correlate to the prior period loss development on these same policies. 63 Table of Contents The following tables present the calculation of combined ratio, as reported for each segment to P&C combined ratio, adjusted for CATs and PPD: North America Commercial P&C Insurance North America Personal P&C Insurance North America Agricultural Insurance Overseas General Insurance Global Reinsurance Corporate Total P&C For the Year Ended December 31, 2022 (in millions of U.S. dollars except for ratios) Numerator Losses and loss expenses A $ 10,828 $ 3,186 $ 2,557 $ 5,252 $ 670 $ 363 $ 22,856 Catastrophe losses and related adjustments Catastrophe losses, net of related adjustments (961) (631) (64) (365) (161) — (2,182) Reinstatement premiums collected (expensed) on catastrophe losses (1) (2) — (3) 55 — 49 Catastrophe losses, gross of related adjustments (960) (629) (64) (362) (216) — (2,231) PPD and related adjustments PPD, net of related adjustments - favorable (unfavorable) 562 186 61 448 (22) (359) 876 Net premiums earned adjustments on PPD - unfavorable (favorable) 88 — 168 — — — 256 Expense adjustments - unfavorable (favorable) 24 — (2) — 1 — 23 PPD reinstatement premiums - unfavorable (favorable) — — — — (2) — (2) PPD, gross of related adjustments - favorable (unfavorable) 674 186 227 448 (23) (359) 1,153 CAY loss and loss expense ex CATs B $ 10,542 $ 2,743 $ 2,720 $ 5,338 $ 431 $ 4 $ 21,778 Policy acquisition costs and administrative expenses Policy acquisition costs and administrative expenses C $ 3,426 $ 1,348 $ 116 $ 3,888 $ 276 $ 385 $ 9,439 Expense adjustments - favorable (unfavorable) (24) — 2 — (1) — (23) Policy acquisition costs and administrative expenses, adjusted D $ 3,402 $ 1,348 $ 118 $ 3,888 $ 275 $ 385 $ 9,416 Denominator Net premiums earned E $ 17,107 $ 5,180 $ 2,838 $ 10,803 $ 922 $ 36,850 Reinstatement premiums (collected) expensed on catastrophe losses 1 2 — 3 (55) (49) Net premiums earned adjustments on PPD - unfavorable (favorable) 88 — 168 — — 256 PPD reinstatement premiums - unfavorable (favorable) — — — — (2) (2) Net premiums earned excluding adjustments F $ 17,196 $ 5,182 $ 3,006 $ 10,806 $ 865 $ 37,055 P&C Combined ratio Loss and loss expense ratio A/E 63.3 % 61.5 % 90.1 % 48.6 % 72.6 % 62.0 % Policy acquisition cost and administrative expense ratio C/E 20.0 % 26.0 % 4.1 % 36.0 % 30.0 % 25.6 % P&C Combined ratio 83.3 % 87.5 % 94.2 % 84.6 % 102.6 % 87.6 % CAY P&C Combined ratio ex CATs Loss and loss expense ratio, adjusted B/F 61.3 % 52.9 % 90.5 % 49.4 % 49.7 % 58.8 % Policy acquisition cost and administrative expense ratio, adjusted D/F 19.8 % 26.0 % 3.9 % 36.0 % 31.8 % 25.4 % CAY P&C Combined ratio ex CATs 81.1 % 78.9 % 94.4 % 85.4 % 81.5 % 84.2 % Combined ratio Combined ratio 87.6 % Add: impact of gains and losses on crop derivatives — P&C Combined ratio 87.6 % Note: The ratios above are calculated using whole U.S. dollars.
Letters A, B, C, D, E, and F included in the table are references for calculating the ratios above. 69 Table of Contents North America Commercial P&C Insurance North America Personal P&C Insurance North America Agricultural Insurance Overseas General Insurance Global Reinsurance Corporate Total P&C For the Year Ended December 31, 2022 (in millions of U.S. dollars except for ratios) Numerator Losses and loss expenses/policy benefits A $ 10,828 $ 3,186 $ 2,557 $ 5,252 $ 670 $ 363 $ 22,856 Catastrophe losses and related adjustments Catastrophe losses, net of related adjustments (961) (631) (64) (365) (161) — (2,182) Reinstatement premiums collected (expensed) on catastrophe losses (1) (2) — (3) 55 — 49 Catastrophe losses, gross of related adjustments (960) (629) (64) (362) (216) — (2,231) PPD and related adjustments PPD, net of related adjustments - favorable (unfavorable) 562 186 61 448 (22) (359) 876 Net premiums earned adjustments on PPD - unfavorable (favorable) 88 — 168 — — — 256 Expense adjustments - unfavorable (favorable) 24 — (2) — 1 — 23 PPD reinstatement premiums - unfavorable (favorable) — — — — (2) — (2) PPD, gross of related adjustments - favorable (unfavorable) 674 186 227 448 (23) (359) 1,153 CAY loss and loss expense ex CATs B $ 10,542 $ 2,743 $ 2,720 $ 5,338 $ 431 $ 4 $ 21,778 Policy acquisition costs and administrative expenses Policy acquisition costs and administrative expenses C $ 3,426 $ 1,348 $ 116 $ 3,888 $ 276 $ 385 $ 9,439 Expense adjustments - favorable (unfavorable) (24) — 2 — (1) — (23) Policy acquisition costs and administrative expenses, adjusted D $ 3,402 $ 1,348 $ 118 $ 3,888 $ 275 $ 385 $ 9,416 Denominator Net premiums earned E $ 17,107 $ 5,180 $ 2,838 $ 10,803 $ 922 $ 36,850 Reinstatement premiums (collected) expensed on catastrophe losses 1 2 — 3 (55) (49) Net premiums earned adjustments on PPD - unfavorable (favorable) 88 — 168 — — 256 PPD reinstatement premiums - unfavorable (favorable) — — — — (2) (2) Net premiums earned excluding adjustments F $ 17,196 $ 5,182 $ 3,006 $ 10,806 $ 865 $ 37,055 P&C Combined ratio Loss and loss expense ratio A/E 63.3 % 61.5 % 90.1 % 48.6 % 72.6 % 62.0 % Policy acquisition cost and administrative expense ratio C/E 20.0 % 26.0 % 4.1 % 36.0 % 30.0 % 25.6 % P&C Combined ratio 83.3 % 87.5 % 94.2 % 84.6 % 102.6 % 87.6 % CAY P&C Combined ratio ex CATs Loss and loss expense ratio, adjusted B/F 61.3 % 52.9 % 90.5 % 49.4 % 49.7 % 58.8 % Policy acquisition cost and administrative expense ratio, adjusted D/F 19.8 % 26.0 % 3.9 % 36.0 % 31.8 % 25.4 % CAY P&C Combined ratio ex CATs 81.1 % 78.9 % 94.4 % 85.4 % 81.5 % 84.2 % Combined ratio Combined ratio 87.6 % Add: impact of gains and losses on crop derivatives — P&C Combined ratio 87.6 % Note: The ratios above are calculated using whole U.S. dollars.
Effective Income Tax Rate Our effective tax rate (ETR) was 19.1 percent, 13.0 percent, and 15.1 percent in 2022, 2021, and 2020, respectively. Our ETR reflects a mix of income or losses in jurisdictions with a wide range of tax rates, permanent differences between U.S. GAAP and local tax laws, and the impact of discrete items.
Effective Income Tax Rate Our effective tax rate (ETR) was 5.4 percent, 19.1 percent, and 13.0 percent in 2023, 2022, and 2021, respectively. Our ETR reflects a mix of income or losses in jurisdictions with a wide range of tax rates, permanent differences between U.S. GAAP and local tax laws, and the impact of discrete items.
Chubb INA's international subsidiaries are also subject to insurance laws and regulations particular to the countries in which the subsidiaries operate. These laws and regulations sometimes include restrictions that limit the amount of dividends payable without prior approval of regulatory insurance authorities. Chubb Limited received no dividends from Chubb INA in 2022 and 2021.
Chubb INA's international subsidiaries are also subject to insurance laws and regulations particular to the countries in which the subsidiaries operate. These laws and regulations sometimes include restrictions that limit the amount of dividends payable without prior 84 Table of Contents approval of regulatory insurance authorities. Chubb Limited received no dividends from Chubb INA in 2023 and 2022.
According to the model, for the 1-in-100 return period scenario, there is a one percent chance that our pre-tax annual aggregate losses incurred in any year from U.S. hurricane events could be in excess of $3,188 million (or 6.3 percent of our total shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2022).
According to the model, for the 1-in-100 return period scenario, there is a one percent chance that our pre-tax annual aggregate losses incurred in any year from U.S. hurricane events could be in excess of $3,827 million (or 6.4 percent of total Chubb shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2023).
This represents an impact of 28 percent relative to recorded net loss and loss expense reserves of approximately $745 million. 42 Table of Contents Corporate Within Corporate, we have exposure to certain liability insurance and reinsurance lines that have been in run-off, generally, since 1994. Unpaid losses and loss expenses relating to this run-off business reside within the Brandywine Division.
This represents an impact of 23 percent relative to recorded net loss and loss expense reserves of approximately $815 million. 45 Table of Contents Corporate Within Corporate, we have exposure to certain liability insurance and reinsurance lines that have been in run-off, generally, since 1994. Unpaid losses and loss expenses relating to this run-off business reside within the Brandywine Division.
The total mark-to-market movement for private equities excluded from Net investment income was as follows: (in millions of U.S. dollars) 2022 2021 2020 Total mark-to-market gain (loss) on private equity, pre-tax $ (250) $ 2,115 $ 714 Interest Expense Interest expense was $570 million, $492 million, and $516 million for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021, and 2020, respectively.
The total mark-to-market movement for private equities excluded from Net investment income was as follows: (in millions of U.S. dollars) 2023 2022 2021 Total mark-to-market gain (loss) on private equity, pre-tax $ 504 $ (250) $ 2,115 Interest Expense Interest expense was $672 million, $570 million, and $492 million for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, and 2021, respectively.
At December 31, 2022, the amount of dividends available to be paid to Chubb INA in 2023 from its subsidiaries without prior approval of insurance regulatory authorities totals $3.1 billion. Cash Flows Our insurance and reinsurance operations provide liquidity in that premiums are received in advance, sometimes substantially in advance, of the time claims are paid.
At December 31, 2023, the amount of dividends available to be paid to Chubb INA in 2024 from its subsidiaries without prior approval of insurance regulatory authorities totals $4.0 billion. Cash Flows Our insurance and reinsurance operations provide liquidity in that premiums are received in advance, sometimes substantially in advance, of the time claims are paid.
Excess/Umbrella portfolios, a five percentage point change in the tail factor (e.g., 1.10 changed to either 1.15 or 1.05) would cause a change of approximately $637 million, either positive or negative, for the projected net loss and loss expense reserves.
Excess/Umbrella portfolios, a five percentage point change in the tail factor (e.g., 1.10 changed to either 1.15 or 1.05) would cause a change of approximately $0.7 billion, either positive or negative, for the projected net loss and loss expense reserves.
If a reporting unit fails this qualitative assessment, a single quantitative analysis is used to measure and record the amount of the impairment.
If a reporting unit fails this qualitative assessment, a single quantitative analysis is used to measure and 51 Table of Contents record the amount of the impairment.
We generally maintain the ability to issue certain classes of debt and equity securities via an unlimited Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) shelf registration which is renewed every three years. This allows us capital market access for refinancing as well as for unforeseen or opportunistic capital needs.
We have accessed both the debt and equity markets from time to time. We generally maintain the ability to issue certain classes of debt and equity securities via an unlimited Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) shelf registration which is renewed every three years. This allows us capital market access for refinancing as well as for unforeseen or opportunistic capital needs.
At our May 2021 annual general meeting, our shareholders approved an annual dividend for the following year of up to $3.20 per share, which was paid in four quarterly installments of $0.80 per share at dates determined by the Board after the annual general meeting by way of distribution from capital contribution reserves, transferred to free reserves for payment.
At our May 2022 annual general meeting, our shareholders approved an annual dividend for the following year of up to $3.32 per share, which was paid in four quarterly installments of $0.83 per share at dates determined by the Board after the annual general meeting by way of distribution from capital contribution reserves, transferred to free reserves for payment.
At our May 2022 annual general meeting, our shareholders approved an annual dividend for the following year of up to $3.32 per share, expected to be paid in four quarterly installments of $0.83 per share after the annual general meeting by way of distribution from capital contribution reserves, transferred to free reserves for payment.
At our May 2023 annual general meeting, our shareholders approved an annual dividend for the following year of up to $3.44 per share, expected to be paid in four quarterly installments of $0.86 per share after the annual general meeting by way of distribution from capital contribution reserves, transferred to free reserves for payment.
Generally, we use a default analysis to estimate uncollectible reinsurance. The primary components of the default analysis are reinsurance recoverable balances by reinsurer, net of collateral, and forward looking default factors used to estimate the probability that the reinsurer may be unable to meet its future obligations in full.
The primary components of the default analysis are reinsurance recoverable balances by reinsurer, net of collateral, and forward looking default factors used to estimate the probability that the reinsurer may be unable to meet its future obligations in full.
At December 31, 2022, the deferred tax liability associated with the Other intangible assets (excluding the fair value adjustment on Unpaid losses and loss expenses) was $1,213 million.
At December 31, 2023, the deferred tax liability associated with the Other intangible assets (excluding the fair value adjustment on Unpaid losses and loss expenses) was $1,558 million.
Issuer limits are based on credit rating (AA—two percent, A—one percent, BBB—0.5 percent of the total portfolio) and are monitored daily via an internal compliance system. We manage our indirect exposure using the same credit rating based investment approach.
Issuer limits are based on credit rating (AA—two percent, A—one percent, BBB—0.5 percent of the total portfolio) and are monitored daily via an internal compliance system. We manage our indirect exposure using the same credit rating based investment approach. Accordingly, we do not believe our indirect exposure is material.
Gross loss payments under insurance and reinsurance contracts are estimated at $76.4 billion with $21.7 billion estimated due over the next twelve months. These estimated gross loss payments are inherently uncertain and the amount and timing of actual loss payments are likely to differ from these estimates and the differences could be material.
Gross loss payments under insurance and reinsurance contracts are estimated at $80.2 billion with $22.4 billion estimated due over the next twelve months. These estimated gross loss payments are inherently uncertain and the amount and timing of actual loss payments are likely to differ from these estimates and the differences could be material.
Our letter of credit capacity for the new and existing facilities is $4.0 billion, $3.0 billion of which can be used for revolving credit. At December 31, 2022, our usage under these facilities was $1.4 billion in LOCs.
Our letter of credit capacity for the new and existing facilities is $4.0 billion, $3.0 billion of which can be used for revolving credit. At December 31, 2023, our usage under these facilities was $948 million in LOCs.
Refer to Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. • Deposit liabilities - Total obligations for deposit liabilities, including contract holder deposit funds, are $2.6 billion with $102 million due over the next twelve months.
Refer to Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. • Deposit liabilities - Total obligations for deposit liabilities, including contract holder deposit funds, are $13.5 billion with $827 million due over the next twelve months.
With respect to assumed reinsurance and insurance contracts, products giving rise to judgments regarding risk transfer were primarily sold by our financial solutions business. Although we have significantly curtailed writing financial solutions business, several contracts remain in-force and principally include multi-year retrospectively-rated contracts and loss portfolio transfers.
We have not purchased any other retroactive ceded reinsurance contracts since 1999. With respect to assumed reinsurance and insurance contracts, products giving rise to judgments regarding risk transfer were primarily sold by our financial solutions business. Although we have significantly curtailed writing financial solutions business, several contracts remain in-force and principally include multi-year retrospectively-rated contracts and loss portfolio transfers.
The amortization of purchased intangibles expense in 2023 is expected to be $281 million, or approximately $70 million each quarter. Refer to Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, under Item 8, for more information on the expected pre-tax amortization expense of purchased intangibles, at current foreign currency exchange rates for the next five years.
The amortization of purchased intangibles expense in 2024 is expected to be $312 million, or approximately $78 million each quarter. Refer to Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, under Item 8, for more information on the expected pre-tax amortization expense of purchased intangibles, at current foreign currency exchange rates, for the next five years.
Refer to Note 4 and Note 13 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, under item 8, for information on our fair value measurements. 46 Table of Contents Assessment of investment portfolio credit losses Each quarter, we evaluate current expected credit losses (CECL) for fixed maturity securities classified as held to maturity and expected credit losses (ECL) for fixed maturity securities classified as available for sale.
Refer to Note 4 and Note 17 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, under item 8, for information on our fair value measurements. Assessment of investment portfolio credit losses Each quarter, we evaluate expected credit losses (ECL) for fixed maturity securities classified as available-for-sale.
In 2022, TRIPRA covers 80 percent of insured losses above a deductible, estimated to be approximately $3.0 billion. Refer to “Global Property Catastrophe Reinsurance Program” for information on our reinsurance protection purchased.
In 2023, TRIPRA covers 81 percent of insured losses above a deductible, estimated to be approximately $3.2 billion. Refer to “Global Property Catastrophe Reinsurance Program” for information on our reinsurance protection purchased.