Biggest changeSuch differences could result from a variety of factors, including: • Fluctuations in NGL, crude oil, refined petroleum product and natural gas prices and refining, marketing and petrochemical margins. • Changes in governmental policies relating to NGL, crude oil, natural gas or refined petroleum products pricing, regulation or taxation, including exports. • Capacity constraints in, or other limitations on, the pipelines, storage and fractionation facilities to which we deliver natural gas or NGL and the availability of alternative markets and arrangements for our natural gas and NGL. • Actions taken by OPEC and non-OPEC oil producing countries impacting supply and demand and correspondingly, commodity prices. • The ability to achieve the expected benefits of the integration of DCP LP and any other benefits that may result from the buy-in of DCP’s publicly-held common units, if consummated. • Unexpected changes in costs or technical requirements for constructing, modifying or operating our facilities or transporting our products. • Unexpected technological or commercial difficulties in manufacturing, refining or transporting our products, including chemical products. • Lack of, or disruptions in, adequate and reliable transportation for our NGL, crude oil, natural gas and refined petroleum products. • The level and success of drilling and quality of production volumes around our midstream assets. • The inability to timely obtain or maintain permits, including those necessary for capital projects. • The inability to comply with government regulations or make capital expenditures required to maintain compliance. • Changes to worldwide government policies relating to renewable fuels, climate change and greenhouse gas emissions that adversely affect programs like the renewable fuel standards program, low carbon fuel standards and tax credits for biofuels. • General domestic and international economic and political developments including armed hostilities, including the Russia-Ukraine war, expropriation of assets, and other political, economic or diplomatic developments, including those caused by public health issues, outbreaks of diseases and pandemics. • The impact on commercial activity and demand for refined petroleum products from any widespread public health crisis, as well as the extent and duration of recovery of economies and demand for our products following any such crisis. 83 Table of Contents Index to Financial Statements • Failure to complete definitive agreements and feasibility studies for, and to complete construction of, announced and future capital projects on time and within budget. • Potential disruption or interruption of our operations or damage to our facilities due to accidents, weather and climate events, civil unrest, insurrections, political events, terrorism or cyberattacks. • The inability to meet our sustainability goals, including reducing our GHG emissions intensity, developing and protecting new technologies, and commercializing lower-carbon opportunities. • Failure of new products and services to achieve market acceptance. • International monetary conditions and exchange controls. • Substantial investments required, or reduced demand for products, as a result of existing or future environmental rules and regulations, including GHG emissions reductions and reduced consumer demand for refined petroleum products. • Liability resulting from litigation or for remedial actions, including removal and reclamation obligations under environmental regulations. • Changes in tax, environmental and other laws and regulations (including alternative energy mandates) applicable to our business. • Political and societal concerns about climate change that could result in changes to our business or operations or increase expenditures, including litigation-related expenses. • Changes in estimates or projections used to assess fair value of intangible assets, goodwill and property and equipment and/or strategic decisions or other developments with respect to our asset portfolio that cause impairment charges. • Limited access to capital or significantly higher cost of capital related to changes to our credit profile or illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets. • The creditworthiness of our customers and the counterparties to our transactions, including the impact of bankruptcies. • The operation, financing and distribution decisions of our joint ventures that we do not control. • The factors generally described in “Item 1A.
Biggest changeFactors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in our forward-looking statements include: • Fluctuations in market conditions, including NGL, crude oil, refined petroleum product and natural gas prices and refining, marketing and petrochemical margins and demand. • Changes in governmental policies relating to NGL, crude oil, natural gas or refined petroleum products pricing, regulation or taxation, including exports. • Capacity constraints in, or other limitations on, the pipelines, storage and fractionation facilities to which we deliver natural gas or NGL and the availability of alternative markets and arrangements for our natural gas and NGL. • Actions taken by OPEC and non-OPEC oil producing countries impacting supply and demand and correspondingly, commodity prices. • Our ability to achieve the expected benefits of the DCP LP integration, including the realization of expected synergies. • Unexpected changes in costs or technical requirements for constructing, modifying or operating our facilities or transporting our products. • Unexpected technological or commercial difficulties in manufacturing, refining or transporting our products, including chemical products. • Lack of, or disruptions in, adequate and reliable transportation for our NGL, crude oil, natural gas and refined petroleum products. • The level and success of drilling and quality of production volumes around our midstream assets. • Our ability to timely obtain or maintain permits, including those necessary for capital projects. • Our ability to comply with government regulations or make capital expenditures required to maintain compliance. • Our ability to realize sustained savings and cost reductions from the company’s business transformation initiatives. • Changes to worldwide government policies relating to renewable fuels, climate change and greenhouse gas emissions that adversely affect programs like the renewable fuel standards program, low carbon fuel standards and tax credits for biofuels. • Domestic and international economic and political developments including armed hostilities, such as the Russia-Ukraine war, instability in the financial services and banking sector, excess inflation, rising interest rates, expropriation of assets, and changes in fiscal policy. 82 Table of Contents Index to Financial Statements • The impact on commercial activity and demand for refined petroleum products from any widespread public health crisis, as well as the extent and duration of recovery of economies and demand for our products following any such crisis. • Failure to complete definitive agreements and feasibility studies for, and to complete construction of, announced and future capital projects on time and within budget. • Our ability to successfully complete, or any material delay in the completion of, asset dispositions or acquisitions that we pursue. • Potential disruption or interruption of our operations or those of our joint ventures due to litigation or other governmental or regulatory action. • Damage to our facilities due to accidents, weather and climate events, civil unrest, insurrections, political events, terrorism or cyberattacks. • Our ability to meet our sustainability goals, including reducing our GHG emissions intensity, developing and protecting new technologies, and commercializing lower-carbon opportunities. • Failure of new products and services to achieve market acceptance. • International monetary conditions and exchange controls. • Substantial investments required, or reduced demand for products, as a result of existing or future environmental rules and regulations, including GHG emissions reductions and reduced consumer demand for refined petroleum products. • Liability resulting from litigation or for remedial actions, including removal and reclamation obligations under environmental regulations. • Changes in tax, environmental and other laws and regulations (including alternative energy mandates) applicable to our business. • Political and societal concerns about climate change that could result in changes to our business or operations or increase expenditures, including litigation-related expenses. • Changes in estimates or projections used to assess fair value of intangible assets, goodwill, and properties, plants and equipment and/or strategic decisions or other developments with respect to our asset portfolio that cause impairment charges. • Limited access to capital or significantly higher cost of capital related to changes to our credit profile or illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets. • The creditworthiness of our customers and the counterparties to our transactions, including the impact of bankruptcies. • Cybersecurity incidents or other disruptions that compromise our information and expose us to liability. • The operation, financing and distribution decisions of our joint ventures that we do not control. • The factors generally described in “Item 1A.
We based the forward-looking statements on our current expectations, estimates and projections about us, our operations, our joint ventures and entities in which we have equity interests, as well as the industries in which we and they operate.
We based these forward-looking statements on our current expectations, estimates and projections about us, our operations, our joint ventures and entities in which we have equity interests, as well as the industries in which we and they operate.
For additional information about our use of derivative instruments, see Note 17—Derivatives and Financial Instruments, in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. 82 Table of Contents Index to Financial Statements CAUTIONARY STATEMENT FOR THE PURPOSES OF THE “SAFE HARBOR” PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 This report includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
For additional information about our use of derivative instruments, see Note 17—Derivatives and Financial Instruments, in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. 81 Table of Contents Index to Financial Statements CAUTIONARY STATEMENT FOR THE PURPOSES OF THE “SAFE HARBOR” PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 This report includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
In addition, we based many of these forward-looking statements on assumptions about future events that may prove to be inaccurate. Accordingly, our actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what we have expressed or forecast in any forward-looking statements.
In addition, we based many of these forward-looking statements on assumptions about future events that may prove to be inaccurate. Accordingly, our actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what we have expressed or forecasted in any forward-looking statement.
Risk Factors” in this report. 84 Table of Contents Index to Financial Statements
Risk Factors” in this report. 83 Table of Contents Index to Financial Statements
We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements as they are not guarantees of future performance and involve assumptions that, while made in good faith, may prove to be incorrect, and involve risks and uncertainties we cannot predict.
We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this report, as they are not guarantees of future performance and involve assumptions that, while made in good faith, may prove to be incorrect, and involve risks and uncertainties we cannot predict.
Interest Rate Risk Our use of fixed- or variable-rate debt directly exposes us to interest rate risk. Fixed-rate debt, such as our senior notes, exposes us to changes in the fair value of our debt due to changes in market interest rates.
Fixed-rate debt, such as our senior notes, exposes us to changes in the fair value of our debt due to changes in market interest rates.
Phillips 66’s use of derivative instruments is governed by an “Authority Limitations” document approved by our Board of Directors. This document prohibits the use of highly leveraged derivatives or derivative instruments without sufficient market liquidity for comparable valuations, and establishes Value at Risk (VaR) limits.
Our use of derivative instruments is governed by an “Authority Limitations” document approved by our Board of Directors. This document prohibits the use of highly leveraged derivatives or derivative instruments without sufficient market liquidity for comparable valuations, and establishes Value at Risk (VaR) limits. Compliance with these limits is monitored daily by our global risk group.
Weighted-average variable rates are based on effective rates at each reporting date. The carrying amount of our floating-rate debt approximates its fair value. The fair value of the fixed-rate financial instruments is estimated based on observable market prices.
Weighted-average variable rates are based on effective rates at each reporting date. The carrying amount of our floating-rate debt approximates its fair value.
Using Monte Carlo simulation, a 95% confidence level and a one-day holding period, the VaR for derivative commodity instruments issued or held at December 31, 2022 and 2021, was immaterial to our cash flows and results of operations.
Using Monte Carlo simulation, a 95% confidence level and a one-day holding period, the VaR for derivative commodity instruments issued or held at December 31, 2023 and 2022, was immaterial to our cash flows and results of operations. Interest Rate Risk Our use of fixed- or variable-rate debt directly exposes us to interest rate risk.
Millions of Dollars, Except as Indicated Expected Maturity Date Fixed Rate Maturity Average Interest Rate Floating Rate Maturity Average Interest Rate Year-End 2022 2023 $ 500 3.88 % $ — — % 2024 1,100 1.32 40 5.33 2025 1,975 4.43 — — 2026 992 2.42 — — 2027 500 5.63 — — Remaining years 12,040 4.67 25 4.72 Total $ 17,107 $ 65 Fair value $ 15,871 $ 65 Millions of Dollars, Except as Indicated Expected Maturity Date Fixed Rate Maturity Average Interest Rate Floating Rate Maturity Average Interest Rate Year-End 2021 2022 $ 1,000 4.30 % $ 450 0.98 % 2023 500 3.70 — — 2024 1,100 1.32 — — 2025 1,150 3.74 — — 2026 1,000 2.43 — — Remaining years 9,026 4.31 25 0.70 Total $ 13,776 $ 475 Fair value $ 15,353 $ 475 81 Table of Contents Index to Financial Statements Foreign Currency Risk We are exposed to foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations related to our international operations.
The fair value of the fixed-rate financial instruments is estimated based on observable market prices. 80 Table of Contents Index to Financial Statements Millions of Dollars, Except as Indicated Expected Maturity Date Fixed Rate Maturity Average Interest Rate Floating Rate Maturity Average Interest Rate Year-End 2023 2024 $ 1,100 1.32 % $ 350 6.38 % 2025 1,975 4.43 — — 2026 992 2.42 1,250 6.46 2027 1,250 5.22 25 6.51 2028 1,300 3.84 — — Remaining years 10,676 4.74 290 6.46 Total $ 17,293 $ 1,915 Fair value $ 16,718 $ 1,915 Millions of Dollars, Except as Indicated Expected Maturity Date Fixed Rate Maturity Average Interest Rate Floating Rate Maturity Average Interest Rate Year-End 2022 2023 $ 500 3.88 % $ — — % 2024 1,100 1.32 40 5.33 2025 1,975 4.43 — — 2026 992 2.42 — — 2027 500 5.63 — — Remaining years 12,040 4.67 25 4.72 Total $ 17,107 $ 65 Fair value $ 15,871 $ 65 \ Foreign Currency Risk We are exposed to foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations related to our international operations.
The estimated loss in fair value that could potentially result on a single day from the effect of adverse changes in market conditions on derivative commodity instruments held or issued is not expected to be material to our cash flows and results of operations.
We use a VaR model to estimate the loss in fair value that could potentially result on a single day from the effect of adverse changes in market conditions on the derivative commodity instruments held or issued.
Generally, we do not hedge our foreign currency risk. Phillips 66’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer monitor risks effecting its operations resulting from commodity prices, interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates. In addition, DCP LP’s risk management committee monitors risks effecting its operations resulting from commodity prices and interest rates.
Generally, we do not hedge our foreign currency risk. Risk Monitoring Our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer monitor risks to our business resulting from commodity prices, interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates.
We and certain of our subsidiaries may hold and use derivative contracts to manage these risks.
We and certain of our subsidiaries may hold and use derivative contracts to manage these risks. Commodity Price Risk Generally, our policy is to remain exposed to the market prices of commodities.
We also use futures, forwards, swaps and options in various markets to accomplish the following objectives: • Balance physical systems or meet our refinery requirements and market demand.
Consistent with this policy, we use derivative contracts to convert our exposure from fixed-price sales or purchase contracts, often specified in contracts with refined petroleum product customers, back to floating market prices. We also use futures, forwards, swaps and options in various markets to accomplish the following objectives: • Balance physical systems or meet our refinery requirements and market demand.