Biggest changeThe hypothetical potential changes in fair value of our insurance liabilities and financial instruments at December 31, 2024 and 2023 are shown as follows: 96 Table of Contents December 31, 2024 (in millions of dollars) Notional Amount of Derivatives Fair Value (FV) 2 Hypothetical FV + 100 BP 2 Change in FV 2 Assets Fixed Maturity Securities 1 $ 35,629.9 $ 32,889.9 $ (2,740.0) Mortgage Loans 1,975.4 1,877.0 (98.4) Policy Loans, Net of Reinsurance Ceded 359.3 334.7 (24.6) Reinsurance Recoverable 2 8,296.4 7,520.0 (776.4) Liabilities Liability for Future Policy Benefits 2 $ (36,806.4) $ (32,947.1) $ 3,859.3 Debt (3,564.3) (3,244.5) 319.8 Derivatives 1 Forward Benchmark Interest Rate Locks 2,570.0 (219.8) (463.9) (244.1) December 31, 2023 (in millions of dollars) Notional Amount of Derivatives Fair Value 2 Hypothetical FV + 100 BP 2 Change in FV 2 Assets Fixed Maturity Securities 1 $ 36,833.9 $ 33,842.1 $ (2,991.8) Mortgage Loans 2,070.7 1,957.7 (113.0) Policy Loans, Net of Reinsurance Ceded 373.8 347.8 (26.0) Reinsurance Recoverable 2 9,108.4 8,179.2 (929.2) Liabilities Liability for Future Policy Benefits 2 $ (40,009.4) $ (35,456.1) $ 4,553.3 Debt (3,227.9) (2,978.4) 249.5 Derivatives 1 Forward Benchmark Interest Rate Locks 1,905.0 (33.3) (245.2) (211.9) 1 These financial instruments are carried at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.
Biggest changeThe selection of a 100 basis point immediate parallel change in interest rates should not be construed as our prediction of future market events, but only as an illustration of the potential effect of such an event. 95 Table of Contents The hypothetical potential changes in fair value of our insurance liabilities and financial instruments at December 31, 2025 and 2024 are shown as follows: December 31, 2025 (in millions of dollars) Notional Amount of Derivatives Fair Value (FV) 2 Hypothetical FV + 100 BP 2 Change in FV 2 Assets Fixed Maturity Securities 1 $ 33,056.6 $ 30,475.4 $ (2,581.2) Mortgage Loans 1,965.1 1,871.3 (93.8) Policy Loans, Net of Reinsurance Ceded 385.7 359.4 (26.3) Reinsurance Recoverable 2 10,318.5 9,222.4 (1,096.1) Liabilities Future Policy Benefits 2 $ (38,017.0) $ (34,164.4) $ 3,852.6 Debt (3,641.4) (3,313.7) 327.7 Derivatives 1 Forward Benchmark Interest Rate Locks $ 2,603.0 $ (220.6) $ (474.5) $ (253.9) December 31, 2024 (in millions of dollars) Notional Amount of Derivatives Fair Value 2 Hypothetical FV + 100 BP 2 Change in FV 2 Assets Fixed Maturity Securities 1 $ 35,629.9 $ 32,889.9 $ (2,740.0) Mortgage Loans 1,975.4 1,877.0 (98.4) Policy Loans, Net of Reinsurance Ceded 359.3 334.7 (24.6) Reinsurance Recoverable 2 8,296.4 7,520.0 (776.4) Liabilities Future Policy Benefits 2 $ (36,806.4) $ (32,947.1) $ 3,859.3 Debt (3,564.3) (3,244.5) 319.8 Derivatives 1 Forward Benchmark Interest Rate Locks $ 2,570.0 $ (219.8) $ (463.9) $ (244.1) 1 These financial instruments are carried at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.
Although changes in the fair value of our forward benchmark interest rate locks due to changes in interest rates may impact amounts reported in our consolidated balance sheets and ultimately the amounts we owe or will receive at the termination or maturity of the derivative, our usage of these derivatives allows us to reduce uncertainty in the reinvestment of future cash flows associated with certain of our product lines.
Although changes in the fair value of our forward benchmark interest rate locks due to changes in interest rates may impact amounts reported in our consolidated balance sheets and ultimately the amounts we owe or will receive at the termination or maturity of each derivative, our usage of these derivatives allows us to reduce uncertainty in the reinvestment of future cash flows associated with certain of our product lines.
Both are key components of our risk appetite framework and play an important role in monitoring, assessing, managing, and mitigating our primary risk exposures, which we evaluate over multiple time horizons. Our ability to manage our baseline risks and run stress and scenario analysis relies on numerous capital and financial models.
Both are key components of our risk appetite framework and play an important role in monitoring, assessing, managing, and mitigating our primary risk exposures, which we evaluate over multiple time horizons. The ability to manage our baseline risks and run stress and scenario analysis relies on numerous capital and financial models.
See "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A, "Investments" contained herein in Item 7, and Notes 2, 3, and 4 of the "Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements" contained herein in Item 8 for further discussion of the qualitative aspects of market risk, including derivative financial instrument activity. 94 Table of Contents Interest Rate Risk Our exposure to interest rate changes results from our holdings of financial instruments such as fixed rate investments, forward benchmark interest rate locks, and interest sensitive liabilities.
See "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A, "Investments" contained herein in Item 7, and Notes 2, 3, and 4 of the "Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements" contained herein in Item 8 for further discussion of the qualitative aspects of market risk, including derivative financial instrument activity. 93 Table of Contents Interest Rate Risk Our exposure to interest rate changes results from our holdings of financial instruments such as fixed rate investments, forward benchmark interest rate locks, and interest sensitive liabilities.
If we modify or replace existing debt instruments at current market rates, we may incur a gain or loss on the transaction. We believe our debt-related risk to changes in interest rates is relatively minimal. 95 Table of Contents We measure our insurance liabilities and financial instruments' market risk related to changes in interest rates using a sensitivity analysis.
If we modify or replace existing debt instruments at current market rates, we may incur a gain or loss on the transaction. We believe our debt-related risk to changes in interest rates is relatively minimal. 94 Table of Contents We measure our insurance liabilities and financial instruments' market risk related to changes in interest rates using a sensitivity analysis.
Assuming interest rates and credit spreads remain constant at the January 2025 market levels throughout the remainder of 2025 and 2026, our net investment income would increase by an immaterial amount in both 2025 and 2026 as a result of the investment of cash flows at levels above our current portfolio rate.
Assuming interest rates and credit spreads remain constant at the January 2026 market levels throughout the remainder of 2026 and 2027, our net investment income would increase by an immaterial amount in both 2026 and 2027 as a result of the investment of cash flows at levels above our current portfolio rate.
As such, the value of certain of our insurance liabilities may be adversely affected by changes in the single-A interest rate environment which could impact the valuation of our liability for future policy benefits and related reinsurance recoverable.
As such, the value of certain of our insurance liabilities may be adversely affected by changes in the single-A interest rate environment which could impact the valuation of our future policy benefits and related reinsurance recoverable.
This analysis estimates potential changes in fair values as of December 31, 2024 and 2023 based on a hypothetical immediate increase of 100 basis points in interest rates from year end levels.
This analysis estimates potential changes in fair values as of December 31, 2025 and 2024 based on a hypothetical immediate increase of 100 basis points in interest rates from year end levels.
These models aid us in making significant business decisions including strategic planning, capital management, risk limit determinations, reinsurance purchases, hedging activities, asset allocation, pricing, and corporate development.
These models aid us in making significant business decisions including strategic planning, capital management, risk limit determination, reinsurance purchases, hedging activities, asset allocation, pricing, and corporate development.
To provide controls on development and use of our key models, we maintain a model risk framework for all financial models. 100 Table of Contents
To provide controls on development and use of our key models, we maintain a model risk framework for all financial models. 99 Table of Contents
The corresponding offsetting change is reported in other comprehensive income or loss, net of income tax. 2 We are required to update the discount rate assumptions related to our liability for future policy benefits at each reporting date using a yield that is reflective of an upper-medium grade fixed-income instrument, which is generally equivalent to a single-A interest rate matched to the duration of certain of our insurance liabilities.
The corresponding offsetting change is reported in other comprehensive income or loss, net of income tax. 2 We are required to update the discount rate assumptions related to our future policy benefits and related reinsurance recoverable at each reporting date using a yield that is reflective of an upper-medium grade fixed-income instrument, which is generally equivalent to a single-A interest rate matched to the duration of certain of our insurance liabilities.
Because we actively manage our investments and liabilities, actual changes could differ from those estimated above. 97 Table of Contents Our overall investment philosophy is to invest in a portfolio of high quality assets that provide investment returns consistent with those assumed in the pricing of our insurance products. Assets are invested predominately in fixed maturity securities.
Because we actively manage our investments and liabilities, actual changes could differ from those estimated above. Our overall investment philosophy is to invest in a portfolio of high quality assets that provide investment returns consistent with those assumed in the pricing of our insurance products. Assets are invested predominantly in fixed maturity securities.
These hypothetical prices were compared to the actual prices for the period to compute the overall change in market value. The changes in the fair values shown in the chart above for all other items were determined using discounted cash flow analyses.
These hypothetical prices were compared to the actual prices for the period to compute the overall change in market value. The changes in the fair values shown in the chart above for all other items were 96 Table of Contents determined using discounted cash flow analyses.
Assuming the pound to dollar year-end exchange rate decreased 10 percent from the December 31, 2024 and 2023 levels, accumulated other comprehensive income or loss as reported in U.S. dollars would have been lower by approximately $120 million in each year.
Assuming the pound to dollar year-end exchange rate decreased 10 percent from the December 31, 2025 and 2024 levels, accumulated other comprehensive income or loss, as reported in U.S. dollars, would have been lower by approximately $117 million and $120 million, respectively.
We aim to constantly improve the capital modeling techniques and methodologies we use to determine a level of capital that is commensurate with our risk profile and to ensure compliance with evolving regulatory and rating agency requirements.
We aim to constantly improve our capital modeling techniques and methodologies that are used to determine a level of capital that is commensurate with our risk profile and to ensure compliance with evolving regulatory and rating agency requirements.
With the goal of maximizing shareholder value, the primary objectives 98 Table of Contents of our ERM framework are to support Unum Group in meeting its operational and financial objectives, maintaining liquidity, optimizing capital, protecting franchise value, and operational resilience.
With the goal of maximizing shareholder value, the primary objectives 97 Table of Contents of our ERM framework are to support Unum Group in meeting its operational and financial objectives, which include maintaining liquidity, optimizing capital, and protecting franchise value.
Assuming the pound to dollar average exchange rate decreased 10 percent from the actual average exchange rates for 2024 and 2023, net income, as reported in U.S. dollars, would have decreased approximately $10 million in each year.
Assuming the pound to dollar average exchange rate decreased 10 percent from the actual average exchange rates for 2025 and 2024, net income, as reported in U.S. dollars, would have decreased approximately $9 million and $10 million, respectively.
We estimate that we will have approximately $2.2 billion of investable cash flows in 2025.
We estimate that we will have approximately $2.7 billion of investable cash flows in 2026.
Fixed rate investments include fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans, policy loans, and short-term investments. Fixed maturity securities include U.S. and foreign government bonds, securities issued by government agencies, public utility bonds, corporate bonds, mortgage-backed securities, and redeemable preferred stock, all of which are subject to risk resulting from interest rate fluctuations.
Fixed maturity securities include, but may not be limited to, U.S. and foreign government bonds, securities issued by government agencies, municipal bonds, public utility bonds, corporate bonds, mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities, and redeemable preferred stock, certain of which are subject to risk resulting from interest rate fluctuations.
The ERM framework utilizes a combination of qualitative and quantitative measures to inform our assessment at the enterprise level. To support risk assessments, both the first and second line utilize stress testing and scenario analysis for risk management and to shape our business, financial, and strategic planning activities.
To support assessments of risks, both the first and second line utilize stress testing and scenario analysis for risk management and to shape our business, financial, and strategic planning activities.
The risk appetite statement defines our approach to risk taking and guides decision making as to the amount and types of risks we assume in fulfilling our purpose and advancing our strategy. We regularly use assessment techniques that are suitable for the specific nature of the risk being assessed.
Risk Appetite Our risk appetite reflects acceptable boundaries for the risks we are willing to assume and the acceptable boundaries for uncertainty in achieving our strategic objectives. The risk appetite statement defines our approach to risk taking and guides decision making as to the amount and types of risks we assume in fulfilling our purpose and advancing our strategy.
We face a wide range of risks, and our continued success depends on our ability to identify and appropriately manage our risk exposures. For additional information on certain risks that may adversely affect our business, operating results, or financial condition see "Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements" contained herein on page 1 and "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A.
For additional information on certain risks that may adversely affect our business, operating results, or financial condition see "Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements" contained herein on page 1 and "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A. Risk Reporting Regular internal and external risk reporting is an integral part of our ERM framework.
Risk Reporting Regular internal and external risk reporting is an integral part of our ERM framework. Internally, ERM reports are a standard part of our quarterly senior management and board meetings. The reports summarize our existing and emerging risk exposures, as well as report against the tolerances and limits defined by our risk appetite policy.
Internally, ERM reports are a standard part of our quarterly senior management and board meetings. The reports summarize our existing and emerging risk exposures, as well as report against the tolerances and limits defined by our risk appetite statement. Externally, we are subject to a number of regulatory and rating agency risk examinations, and risk reports are often included.
This report provides strong evidence of the strengths of our ERM framework, measurement approaches, key assumptions utilized in assessing our risks, and prospective solvency assessments under both normal and stressed conditions. See "Regulation" contained herein in Item 1 for additional information regarding the ORSA.
Annually, we file our Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA) summary report with the applicable insurance regulators for our U.S. insurance subsidiaries. This report provides strong evidence of the strengths of our ERM framework, measurement approaches, key assumptions utilized in assessing our risks, and prospective solvency assessments under both normal and stressed conditions.
Risk Management and Modeling The ERM framework takes a decentralized approach to risk management that relies on the three lines of defense described above. The second line plays an important role in providing reliable, current, timely, and actionable information about the uncertainties that might affect the achievement of our objectives.
The second line plays an important role in providing reliable, current, timely, and actionable information about the uncertainties that might affect the achievement of our objectives. The ERM framework aggregates a combination of qualitative and quantitative measures to inform our assessment at the enterprise level.
Knowing the potential risks we face allows us to monitor and manage their potential effects including adjusting our strategies as appropriate and holding capital levels which provide financial flexibility. Business process owners, supported by the ERM program, have primary responsibility for identifying and prioritizing risks within their respective areas.
Additionally, we identify emerging risks and analyze how material future risks might affect us. Knowing the potential risks we face allows us to monitor and manage their potential effects including adjusting our strategies as appropriate and holding capital levels which provide financial flexibility.
See "Critical Accounting Estimates" contained herein in Item 7 for further information concerning our pension and post-retirement benefit plans. Foreign Currency Risk The functional currency of our U.K. operations is the British pound sterling. The functional currency of our operations in Poland is the Polish zloty.
Foreign Currency Risk The functional currency of our U.K. operations is the British pound sterling. The functional currency of our operations in Poland is the Polish zloty.
For risks falling outside of our risk tolerance and limits, the respective governing body assesses the appropriate risk response, including implementation of remediation plans or corrective actions. Collectively, management is responsible for monitoring its adherence to the risk appetite statement throughout its operations and in accordance with the ERM framework.
Key measures of our risk profile are monitored against risk tolerances and limits on a quarterly basis and are communicated to their respective governing body. For risks falling outside of our risk tolerance and limits, the respective governing body assesses the appropriate risk response, including implementation of remediation plans or corrective actions.
Where appropriate, specific quantitative boundaries are used to establish and measure against risk appetite articulated in the statement. 99 Table of Contents Key measures of our risk profile are monitored against risk tolerances and limits on a quarterly basis and are communicated to their respective governing body.
Business segments align with the risk appetite through process, policies, and operating 98 Table of Contents procedures and through monitoring of operational metrics. Where appropriate, specific quantitative boundaries are used to establish and measure against risk appetite articulated in the statement.
Risk Identification and Prioritization Risk identification and prioritization is an ongoing process, whereby we identify and assess our risk positions and exposures, including notable risk events. Additionally, we identify emerging risks and analyze how material future risks might affect us.
Collectively, management is responsible for monitoring its adherence to the risk appetite statement throughout its operations and in accordance with the ERM framework. Risk Identification and Prioritization Risk identification and prioritization is an ongoing process, whereby we identify and assess our risk positions and exposures, including notable risk events.