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Side-by-side financial comparison of ASSURED GUARANTY LTD (AGO) and Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL). Click either name above to swap in a different company.
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD is the larger business by last-quarter revenue ($277.0M vs $270.2M, roughly 1.0× Fossil Group, Inc.). ASSURED GUARANTY LTD runs the higher net margin — 43.0% vs -14.8%, a 57.8% gap on every dollar of revenue. On growth, ASSURED GUARANTY LTD posted the faster year-over-year revenue change (77.6% vs -21.1%). Over the past eight quarters, ASSURED GUARANTY LTD's revenue compounded faster (6.3% CAGR vs -11.4%).
Assured Investment Management (AIM) was an institutional asset management firm with a heritage in credit strategies, managing approximately $15.2 billion as of its defunct status in July 2023. Secondaries Investors referred to AIM as "one of the world's most prominent hedge funds".
Fossil Group, Inc., is an American fashion design and manufacturer founded in 1984 by Tom Kartsotis and based in Richardson, Texas. Their brands include Fossil, Relic, Michele Watch, Skagen Denmark, WSI, and Zodiac Watches. Fossil also makes licensed accessories for brands such as BMW, Puma, Emporio Armani, Michael Kors, DKNY, Diesel, Kate Spade New York, Tory Burch, Chaps, and Armani Exchange.
AGO vs FOSL — Head-to-Head
Income Statement — Q4 FY2025 vs Q3 FY2025
| Metric | | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $277.0M | $270.2M |
| Net Profit | $119.0M | $-40.0M |
| Gross Margin | — | 49.0% |
| Operating Margin | 59.6% | -8.0% |
| Net Margin | 43.0% | -14.8% |
| Revenue YoY | 77.6% | -21.1% |
| Net Profit YoY | 561.1% | -257.8% |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.56 | $-0.76 |
Green = leading value per metric. Periods may differ when fiscal calendars don't align.
8-Quarter Revenue & Profit Trend
Side-by-side quarterly history. Quarters aligned by calendar period so offset fiscal years line up.
| Q4 25 | $277.0M | $270.2M | ||
| Q3 25 | $207.0M | $220.4M | ||
| Q2 25 | $281.0M | $233.3M | ||
| Q1 25 | $345.0M | — | ||
| Q4 24 | $156.0M | $342.3M | ||
| Q3 24 | $269.0M | $287.8M | ||
| Q2 24 | $202.0M | $260.0M | ||
| Q1 24 | $245.0M | $254.9M |
| Q4 25 | $119.0M | $-40.0M | ||
| Q3 25 | $105.0M | $-2.1M | ||
| Q2 25 | $103.0M | $-17.9M | ||
| Q1 25 | $176.0M | — | ||
| Q4 24 | $18.0M | $-11.2M | ||
| Q3 24 | $171.0M | $-31.9M | ||
| Q2 24 | $78.0M | $-38.8M | ||
| Q1 24 | $109.0M | $-24.3M |
| Q4 25 | — | 49.0% | ||
| Q3 25 | — | 57.5% | ||
| Q2 25 | — | 61.3% | ||
| Q1 25 | — | — | ||
| Q4 24 | — | 53.9% | ||
| Q3 24 | — | 49.4% | ||
| Q2 24 | — | 52.6% | ||
| Q1 24 | — | 52.4% |
| Q4 25 | 59.6% | -8.0% | ||
| Q3 25 | 65.2% | 3.9% | ||
| Q2 25 | 47.3% | -2.9% | ||
| Q1 25 | 66.4% | — | ||
| Q4 24 | 19.2% | -4.8% | ||
| Q3 24 | 81.8% | -8.5% | ||
| Q2 24 | 46.5% | -13.1% | ||
| Q1 24 | 58.8% | -11.5% |
| Q4 25 | 43.0% | -14.8% | ||
| Q3 25 | 50.7% | -1.0% | ||
| Q2 25 | 36.7% | -7.7% | ||
| Q1 25 | 51.0% | — | ||
| Q4 24 | 11.5% | -3.3% | ||
| Q3 24 | 63.6% | -11.1% | ||
| Q2 24 | 38.6% | -14.9% | ||
| Q1 24 | 44.5% | -9.5% |
| Q4 25 | $2.56 | $-0.76 | ||
| Q3 25 | $2.18 | $-0.04 | ||
| Q2 25 | $2.08 | $-0.33 | ||
| Q1 25 | $3.44 | — | ||
| Q4 24 | $0.40 | $-0.15 | ||
| Q3 24 | $3.17 | $-0.60 | ||
| Q2 24 | $1.41 | $-0.73 | ||
| Q1 24 | $1.89 | $-0.46 |
Balance Sheet & Financial Strength
Snapshot of each company's liquidity, leverage and book value from the latest quarter.
| Metric | | |
|---|---|---|
| Cash + ST InvestmentsLiquidity on hand | $903.0M | $79.2M |
| Total DebtLower is stronger | $1.7B | $169.1M |
| Stockholders' EquityBook value | $5.7B | $112.6M |
| Total Assets | $12.2B | $701.0M |
| Debt / EquityLower = less leverage | 0.30× | 1.50× |
8-quarter trend — quarters aligned by calendar period.
| Q4 25 | $903.0M | $79.2M | ||
| Q3 25 | $1.3B | $109.9M | ||
| Q2 25 | $939.0M | $78.3M | ||
| Q1 25 | $1.2B | — | ||
| Q4 24 | $1.2B | $123.6M | ||
| Q3 24 | $1.5B | $106.3M | ||
| Q2 24 | $1.7B | $104.9M | ||
| Q1 24 | $1.6B | $112.9M |
| Q4 25 | $1.7B | $169.1M | ||
| Q3 25 | $1.7B | $165.6M | ||
| Q2 25 | $1.7B | $167.2M | ||
| Q1 25 | $1.7B | — | ||
| Q4 24 | $1.7B | $162.7M | ||
| Q3 24 | $1.7B | $173.4M | ||
| Q2 24 | $1.7B | $156.5M | ||
| Q1 24 | $1.7B | $202.9M |
| Q4 25 | $5.7B | $112.6M | ||
| Q3 25 | $5.7B | $150.3M | ||
| Q2 25 | $5.6B | $140.6M | ||
| Q1 25 | $5.6B | — | ||
| Q4 24 | $5.5B | $148.7M | ||
| Q3 24 | $5.7B | $164.4M | ||
| Q2 24 | $5.5B | $189.6M | ||
| Q1 24 | $5.6B | $229.1M |
| Q4 25 | $12.2B | $701.0M | ||
| Q3 25 | $12.1B | $704.5M | ||
| Q2 25 | $12.1B | $686.0M | ||
| Q1 25 | $11.9B | — | ||
| Q4 24 | $11.9B | $763.6M | ||
| Q3 24 | $12.3B | $812.4M | ||
| Q2 24 | $12.1B | $785.7M | ||
| Q1 24 | $12.2B | $891.0M |
| Q4 25 | 0.30× | 1.50× | ||
| Q3 25 | 0.30× | 1.10× | ||
| Q2 25 | 0.30× | 1.19× | ||
| Q1 25 | 0.30× | — | ||
| Q4 24 | 0.31× | 1.09× | ||
| Q3 24 | 0.30× | 1.06× | ||
| Q2 24 | 0.31× | 0.83× | ||
| Q1 24 | 0.30× | 0.89× |
Cash Flow & Capital Efficiency
How much cash each business actually produces after reinvestment. Cash flow is harder to manipulate than net income.
| Metric | | |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash FlowLast quarter | $259.0M | $-22.2M |
| Free Cash FlowOCF − Capex | — | $-22.5M |
| FCF MarginFCF / Revenue | — | -8.3% |
| Capex IntensityCapex / Revenue | — | 0.1% |
| Cash ConversionOCF / Net Profit | 2.18× | — |
| TTM Free Cash FlowTrailing 4 quarters | — | $-46.0M |
8-quarter trend — quarters aligned by calendar period.
| Q4 25 | $259.0M | $-22.2M | ||
| Q3 25 | $55.0M | $9.4M | ||
| Q2 25 | $78.0M | $-60.4M | ||
| Q1 25 | $87.0M | — | ||
| Q4 24 | $47.0M | $30.5M | ||
| Q3 24 | $17.0M | $-22.8M | ||
| Q2 24 | $58.0M | $38.4M | ||
| Q1 24 | $-74.0M | $622.0K |
| Q4 25 | — | $-22.5M | ||
| Q3 25 | — | $8.6M | ||
| Q2 25 | — | $-60.6M | ||
| Q1 25 | — | — | ||
| Q4 24 | — | $28.5M | ||
| Q3 24 | — | $-24.1M | ||
| Q2 24 | — | $36.6M | ||
| Q1 24 | — | $-1.1M |
| Q4 25 | — | -8.3% | ||
| Q3 25 | — | 3.9% | ||
| Q2 25 | — | -26.0% | ||
| Q1 25 | — | — | ||
| Q4 24 | — | 8.3% | ||
| Q3 24 | — | -8.4% | ||
| Q2 24 | — | 14.1% | ||
| Q1 24 | — | -0.4% |
| Q4 25 | — | 0.1% | ||
| Q3 25 | — | 0.4% | ||
| Q2 25 | — | 0.1% | ||
| Q1 25 | — | — | ||
| Q4 24 | — | 0.6% | ||
| Q3 24 | — | 0.4% | ||
| Q2 24 | — | 0.7% | ||
| Q1 24 | — | 0.7% |
| Q4 25 | 2.18× | — | ||
| Q3 25 | 0.52× | — | ||
| Q2 25 | 0.76× | — | ||
| Q1 25 | 0.49× | — | ||
| Q4 24 | 2.61× | — | ||
| Q3 24 | 0.10× | — | ||
| Q2 24 | 0.74× | — | ||
| Q1 24 | -0.68× | — |
Financial Flow Comparison
Revenue → gross profit → operating profit → net profit for each company.
Revenue Breakdown by Segment
AGO
| Insurance Segment | $226.0M | 82% |
| Other | $37.0M | 13% |
| Gain Loss On Investments Member1 | $8.0M | 3% |
| Non Credit Impairment Related Unrealized Fair Value Gains Losses On Credit Derivatives | $6.0M | 2% |
FOSL
| Transferred At Point In Time | $109.7M | 41% |
| Traditional Watches | $91.3M | 34% |
| Other | $50.8M | 19% |
| Leathers | $9.5M | 4% |
| Jewelry | $4.0M | 1% |
| Smartwatches | $3.3M | 1% |
| Products Other | $1.6M | 1% |
