Biggest changeThese inflationary pressures could result in missed earnings and budgetary projections causing Comerica's stock price to suffer. • Methods of reducing risk exposures might not be effective. Instruments, systems and strategies used to hedge or otherwise manage exposure to various types of credit, market, liquidity, technology, operational, compliance, financial reporting and strategic risks could be less effective than anticipated.
Biggest changeInstruments, systems and strategies used to hedge or otherwise manage exposure to various types of credit, market, liquidity, technology, operational, compliance, financial reporting and strategic risks could be less effective than anticipated. The Corporation's enterprise risk management framework provides a process for identifying, measuring, controlling and managing risks, and Comerica's management expends significant effort and resources in risk management.
Although Comerica has programs in place related to business continuity, disaster recovery and information security to maintain the confidentiality, integrity and availability of its systems, business applications and customer information, such disruptions may still give rise to interruptions in service to customers and loss or liability to Comerica, including loss of customer data.
Although Comerica has programs in place related to business continuity, disaster recovery and information security to maintain the confidentiality, integrity and availability of its systems, business applications and customer information, such disruptions may still give rise to interruptions in service to customers and loss or liability to Comerica, including loss of customer data.
Comerica's stock price can fluctuate significantly in response to a variety of factors including, among other things: • Actual or anticipated variations in quarterly results of operations. • Recommendations or projections by securities analysts. • Operating and stock price performance of other companies that investors deem comparable to Comerica. 23 Table of Contents • News reports relating to trends, concerns and other issues in the financial services industry. • Perceptions in the marketplace regarding Comerica and/or its competitors. • New technology used, or services offered, by competitors. • Significant acquisitions or business combinations, strategic partnerships, joint ventures or capital commitments by or involving Comerica or its competitors. • Changes in dividends and capital returns. • Changes in government regulations. • Cyclical fluctuations. • Geopolitical conditions such as acts or threats of terrorism or military conflicts. • Activity by short sellers and changing government restrictions on such activity.
Comerica's stock price can fluctuate significantly in response to a variety of factors including, among other things: • Actual or anticipated variations in quarterly results of operations. • Recommendations or projections by securities analysts. • Operating and stock price performance of other companies that investors deem comparable to Comerica. • News reports relating to trends, concerns and other issues in the financial services industry. • Perceptions in the marketplace regarding Comerica and/or its competitors. • New technology used, or services offered, by competitors. • Significant acquisitions or business combinations, strategic partnerships, joint ventures or capital commitments by or involving Comerica or its competitors. • Changes in dividends and capital returns. • Changes in government regulations. • Cyclical fluctuations. • Geopolitical conditions such as acts or threats of terrorism or military conflicts. • Activity by short sellers and changing government restrictions on such activity.
The occurrence of any failure or interruption in Comerica's operations or information systems, or any security breach, could cause reputational damage, jeopardize the confidentiality of customer information, result in a loss of customer business, subject Comerica to regulatory intervention or expose it to civil litigation and financial loss or liability, any of which could have a material adverse effect on Comerica. • Comerica relies on other companies to provide certain key components of its delivery systems, and certain failures could materially adversely affect operations.
The occurrence of any failure or interruption in Comerica's operations or information systems, or any security breach, could cause reputational damage, jeopardize the confidentiality of customer information, result in a loss of customer business, subject Comerica to regulatory intervention or expose it to civil litigation and financial loss or liability, any of which could have a material adverse effect on Comerica. 19 Table of Contents • Comerica relies on other companies to provide certain key components of its delivery systems, and certain failures could materially adversely affect operations.
Any change in such regulation and oversight, whether in the form of regulatory policy, regulations, legislation or supervisory action, may have a material adverse impact on Comerica's business, financial condition or results of operations. The impact of any future legislation or regulatory actions may adversely affect Comerica's businesses or operations.
Any change in such regulation and oversight, whether in the form of regulatory policy, regulations, legislation, changed interpretations or supervisory action, may have a material adverse impact on Comerica's business, financial condition or results of operations. The impact of any future legislation or regulatory actions may adversely affect Comerica's businesses or operations.
Comerica’s liquidity and ability to fund and run its business could be materially adversely affected by a variety of conditions and factors, including financial and credit market disruptions and volatility, a lack of market or customer confidence in financial markets in general, or deposit competition based on interest rates, which may result in a loss of customer deposits or outflows of cash or collateral and/or adversely affect Comerica's ability to access capital markets on favorable terms.
Comerica’s liquidity and ability to fund and run its business could be materially adversely affected by a variety of conditions and factors, including financial and credit market disruptions and volatility, a lack of market or customer confidence in financial markets in general, or deposit competition based on interest rates, which may result in a loss of 16 Table of Contents customer deposits or outflows of cash or collateral and/or adversely affect Comerica's ability to access capital markets on favorable terms.
If Comerica is unable to compete effectively in products and pricing in its markets, business could decline, which could have a material adverse effect on Comerica's business, financial condition or results of operations. 20 Table of Contents • The introduction, implementation, withdrawal, success and timing of business initiatives and strategies may be less successful or may be different than anticipated, which could adversely affect Comerica's business.
If Comerica is unable to compete effectively in products and pricing in its markets, business could decline, which could have a material adverse effect on Comerica's business, financial condition or results of operations. • The introduction, implementation, withdrawal, success and timing of business initiatives and strategies may be less successful or may be different than anticipated, which could adversely affect Comerica's business.
Additionally, certain segments of the commercial real estate industry have been under pressure due to rapidly rising interest rates, shifts in demand ( i.e., office, retail), labor and materials shortages and capital markets volatility. Finally, energy prices continued to fluctuate in 2022, and energy companies are expected to experience environmental pressure over the long-term.
Additionally, certain segments of the commercial real estate industry have been under pressure due to rapidly rising interest rates, shifts in demand ( i.e., office, retail), labor and materials shortages and capital markets volatility. Finally, energy prices continue to fluctuate and energy companies are expected to experience environmental pressure over the long-term.
Several states have also proposed or adopted cybersecurity legislation and regulations, which require, among other things, notification to affected individuals when there has been a security breach of their personal data. For more information regarding cybersecurity regulation, refer to the “Supervision and Regulation” section of this report.
Several states have also proposed or adopted cybersecurity legislation and regulations, which require, among other things, 18 Table of Contents notification to affected individuals when there has been a security breach of their personal data. For more information regarding cybersecurity regulation, refer to the “Supervision and Regulation” section of this report.
Failure to create new customer relationships and to maintain and expand existing customer relationships to the extent anticipated may adversely impact Comerica's earnings. • Management's ability to retain key officers and employees may change. Comerica's future operating results depend substantially upon the continued service of its executive officers and key personnel.
Failure to create new 22 Table of Contents customer relationships and to maintain and expand existing customer relationships to the extent anticipated may adversely impact Comerica's earnings. • Management's ability to retain key officers and employees may change. Comerica's future operating results depend substantially upon the continued service of its executive officers and key personnel.
Further, as a result of the increased sophistication of fraud 18 Table of Contents activity, Comerica continues to invest in systems, resources, and controls to detect and prevent fraud. This will result in continued ongoing investments in the future. • Controls and procedures may not prevent or detect all errors or acts of fraud.
Further, as a result of the increased sophistication of fraud activity, Comerica continues to invest in systems, resources, and controls to detect and prevent fraud. This will result in continued ongoing investments in the future. • Controls and procedures may not prevent or detect all errors or acts of fraud.
As a result, Comerica may not be able to effectively mitigate its risk exposures in particular market environments or against particular types of risk, which could have a material adverse impact on Comerica's business, financial condition or results of operations.
Nevertheless, Comerica may not be able to effectively mitigate its risk exposures in particular market environments or against particular types of risk, which could have a material adverse impact on Comerica's business, financial condition or results of operations.
Comerica relies on its employees and third parties in its day-to-day and ongoing operations, who may, as a result of human error, misconduct, malfeasance or failure, or breach of Comerica’s or of third-party systems or infrastructure, 17 Table of Contents expose Comerica to risk.
Comerica relies on its employees and third parties in its day-to-day and ongoing operations, who may, as a result of human error, misconduct, malfeasance or failure, or breach of Comerica’s or of third-party systems or infrastructure, expose Comerica to risk.
Treasury, the Texas Department of Banking, the FDIC, the FRB, the OCC, the CFPB, the CFTC, the SEC, FINRA, DOL, MSRB and other regulatory bodies. Such regulation and supervision governs and limits the activities in which Comerica may engage.
Treasury, the Texas Department of Banking, the FDIC, the FRB, the OCC, the CFPB, the CFTC, the SEC, FINRA, DOL, MSRB and other regulatory 20 Table of Contents bodies. Such regulation and supervision governs and limits the activities in which Comerica may engage.
Further, adverse publicity or negative information posted on social media websites regarding Comerica, whether or not true, may result in harm to Comerica’s prospects. • Comerica may not be able to utilize technology to efficiently and effectively develop, market, and deliver new products and services to its customers.
Further, adverse publicity or negative information posted on social media websites regarding Comerica, whether or not true, may result in harm to Comerica’s prospects. 21 Table of Contents • Comerica may not be able to utilize technology to efficiently and effectively develop, market, and deliver new products and services to its customers.
Further, cyber attacks may not be detected in a timely manner. 16 Table of Contents Cyber attacks or other information or security breaches, whether directed at Comerica or third parties, may result in a material loss or have material consequences.
Further, cyber attacks may not be detected in a timely manner. Cyber attacks or other information or security breaches, whether directed at Comerica or third parties, may result in a material loss or have material consequences.
For more information, please see "Leveraged Loans” starting on page F- 23 of the Financial Section of this report and "Automotive Lending - Production" starting on page F- 22 of the Financial Section of this report. • Declines in the businesses or industries of Comerica's customers could cause increased credit losses or decreased loan balances, which could adversely affect Comerica.
For more information, please see "Leveraged Loans” and "Automotive Lending - Production" in of the Financial Section of this report. • Declines in the businesses or industries of Comerica's customers could cause increased credit losses or decreased loan balances, which could adversely affect Comerica.
Volatility in interest rates can also result in disintermediation, which is the flow of funds away from financial institutions into direct investments, such as federal government and corporate securities and other investment vehicles, which, because of the absence of federal insurance premiums and reserve requirements, generally pay higher rates of return than financial institutions.
Volatility in interest rates can also result in disintermediation, which is the flow of funds away from financial institutions into direct investments, such as federal government and corporate securities and other investment vehicles, which generally pay higher rates of return than financial institutions.
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates seven times in 2022; if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates in the future, it will adversely affect the interest income Comerica earns on loans and investments.
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates four times in 2023; if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates in the future, it will adversely affect the interest income Comerica earns on loans and investments.
For more information regarding risk management, please see "Risk Management" starting on page F- 15 of the Financial Section of this report. • Catastrophic events, including pandemics, may adversely affect the general economy, financial and capital markets, specific industries, and Comerica.
For more information regarding risk management, please see "Risk Management" in the Financial Section of this report. • Catastrophic events, including pandemics, may adversely affect the general economy, financial and capital markets, specific industries, and Comerica.
The words, “anticipates,” “believes,” “contemplates,” “feels,” “expects,” “estimates,” “seeks,” “strives,” “plans,” “intends,” “outlook,” “forecast,” “position,” “target,” “mission,” “assume,” “achievable,” “potential,” “strategy,” “goal,” “aspiration,” “opportunity,” “initiative,” “outcome,” “continue,” “remain,” “maintain,” “on track,” “trend,” “objective,” “looks forward,” “projects,” “models” and variations of such words and similar expressions, or future or conditional verbs such as “will,” “would,” “should,” “could,” “might,” “can,” “may” or similar expressions, as they relate to Comerica or its management, are intended to identify forward-looking statements.
The words, “anticipates,” “believes,” “contemplates,” “feels,” “expects,” “estimates,” “seeks,” “strives,” “plans,” “intends,” “outlook,” “forecast,” “position,” “target,” “mission,” “assume,” “achievable,” “potential,” “strategy,” “goal,” “aspiration,” “opportunity,” “initiative,” “outcome,” “continue,” “remain,” “maintain,” “on track,” “trend,” “objective,” “looks forward,” “projects,” “models” and variations of such words and similar expressions, or future or conditional verbs such as “will,” “would,” “should,” “could,” “might,” “can,” “may” or similar expressions, as they relate to Comerica or its management, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. 14 Table of Contents Comerica cautions that forward-looking statements are subject to numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties, which change over time.
Despite efforts to ensure the integrity of Comerica’s systems and implement controls, processes, policies and other protective measures, Comerica may not be able to anticipate all security breaches, nor may it be able to implement guaranteed preventive measures against such security breaches.
Despite efforts to ensure the integrity of Comerica’s systems and implement controls, processes, policies and other protective measures, Comerica may not be able to anticipate all security breaches. Nor may it (or the third parties whose systems we rely upon) be able to implement guaranteed preventive measures against such security breaches.
Rating agencies regularly evaluate Comerica, and their ratings are based on a number of factors, including Comerica's financial strength as well as factors not entirely within its control, such as conditions affecting the financial services industry generally. There can be no assurance that Comerica will maintain its current ratings.
Rating agencies regularly evaluate Comerica, and their ratings are based on a number of factors, including Comerica's financial strength as well as factors not entirely within its control, such as conditions affecting the financial services industry generally.
For more information regarding certain of Comerica's lines of business, please see "Concentrations of Credit Risk," "Commercial Real Estate Lending," "Automotive Lending - Dealer," "Automotive Lending - Production," "Residential Real Estate Lending," and “Energy Lending” starting on page F- 20 of the Financial Section of this report.
For more information regarding certain of Comerica's lines of business, please see "Concentrations of 15 Table of Contents Credit Risk," "Commercial Real Estate Lending," "Automotive Lending - Dealer," "Automotive Lending - Production," "Residential Real Estate Lending," and “Energy Lending” in the Financial Section of this report.
Further, catastrophic events may have an impact on Comerica's customers and in turn, on Comerica. 22 Table of Contents In addition, these events have had and may continue to have an adverse impact on the U.S. and world economy in general and consumer confidence and spending in particular, which could harm Comerica's operations.
In addition, these events have had and may continue to have an adverse impact on the U.S. and world economy in general and consumer confidence and spending in particular, which could harm Comerica's operations.
Additionally, if Comerica is unable to continue to fund assets through customer bank deposits or access funding sources on favorable terms, or if Comerica suffers an increase in borrowing costs or otherwise fails to manage liquidity effectively, Comerica’s liquidity, operating margins, financial condition and results of operations may be materially adversely affected. 15 Table of Contents • Reduction in our credit ratings could adversely affect Comerica and/or the holders of its securities.
Additionally, if Comerica is for these or any other reason unable to continue to fund assets through customer bank deposits or access funding sources on favorable terms, or if Comerica suffers an increase in borrowing costs or otherwise fails to manage liquidity effectively, Comerica’s liquidity, operating margins, financial condition and results of operations may be materially adversely affected.
Comerica may become subject to new legislation or regulation concerning cybersecurity or the privacy of personally identifiable information and personal financial information or of any other information Comerica may store or maintain.
For more information regarding data privacy regulation, refer to the “Supervision and Regulation” section of this report. Comerica may become subject to new legislation or regulation concerning cybersecurity or the privacy of personally identifiable information and personal financial information or of any other information Comerica may store or maintain.
Under such circumstances, as occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic, Comerica could experience an increase in the 13 Table of Contents level of provision for credit losses and reserve for credit losses, which could adversely affect Comerica's financial results.
Under such circumstances, as occurred during and as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and may reoccur due to other pandemics or crises, Comerica could experience an increase in the level of provision for credit losses and reserve for credit losses, which could adversely affect Comerica's financial results.
See “Critical Accounting Estimates” starting on page F- 31 of the Financial Section of this report and Note 1 of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements starting on page F- 43 of the Financial Section of this report. • Comerica's stock price can be volatile.
See “Critical Accounting Estimates” in the Financial Section of this report and Note 1 of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in the Financial Section of this report. 25 Table of Contents • Comerica's stock price can be volatile.
For the above and other reasons, the market price of Comerica's securities may not accurately reflect the underlying value of the securities, and investors should consider this before relying on the market prices of Comerica's securities when making an investment decision. Item 1B. Unresolved Staff Comments. None.
For the above and other reasons, the market price of Comerica's securities may not accurately reflect the underlying value of the securities, and investors should consider this before relying on the market prices of Comerica's securities when making an investment decision. • An investment in Comerica's equity securities is not insured or guaranteed by the FDIC.
Further, Comerica's customers may be adversely impacted by such conditions, which could have a negative impact on Comerica's business, financial condition and results of operations.
Comerica has a high percentage of uninsured deposits and relies on its deposit base for liquidity. Further, Comerica's customers may be adversely impacted by such conditions, which could have a negative impact on Comerica's business, financial condition and results of operations.
Maintaining higher levels of capital may reduce Comerica's profitability and otherwise adversely affect its business, financial condition, or results of operations. • Tax regulations could be subject to potential legislative, administrative or judicial changes or interpretations. Federal income tax treatment of corporations may be clarified and/or modified by legislative, administrative or judicial changes or interpretations at any time.
Maintaining higher levels of capital may reduce Comerica's profitability and otherwise adversely affect its business, financial condition, or results of operations. • Changes to tax law or regulations, or changes to administrative or judicial interpretations of tax law regulations, could adversely affect Comerica.
CREDIT RISK • Changes in customer behavior due to outside factors may adversely impact Comerica's business, financial condition and results of operations.
CREDIT RISK • Changes in customer behavior due to outside factors may adversely impact Comerica's business, financial condition and results of operations. As a financial institution, the Corporation's principal activity is lending to and accepting deposits from businesses and individuals.
Because of the uncertainty surrounding management's judgments and the estimates pertaining to these matters, Comerica cannot guarantee that it will not be required to adjust accounting policies or restate prior period financial statements.
Because of the uncertainty surrounding management's judgments and the estimates pertaining to these matters, Comerica cannot guarantee that it will not be required to adjust accounting policies or restate prior period financial statements. For example, our allowances for credit losses, fair value measurement, goodwill valuation and impairment, pension plan accounting, and provisions for income taxes may prove faulty or inaccurate.
Local, domestic, and international events including economic, financial market, political and industry-specific conditions affect the financial services industry, directly and indirectly. The economic environment and market conditions in which Comerica operates continue to be uncertain.
GENERAL RISK • General political, economic or industry conditions, either domestically or internationally, may be less favorable than expected. Economic, financial market, political, and industry-specific developments may affect the financial services industry, both directly and indirectly. The economic environment and market conditions in which Comerica operates, at the local, domestic, and international levels, continue to be uncertain.
COVID-19 or other potential epidemics or pandemics, have the potential to negatively impact Comerica's and/or its clients’ costs, demand for its clients’ products, and/or the U.S. economy or certain sectors thereof and, thus, adversely affect Comerica's business, financial condition, and results of operations.
These potential events may 24 Table of Contents negatively impact Comerica's and/or its clients’ costs, demand for its clients’ products, and/or the U.S. economy or certain sectors thereof and, thus, adversely affect Comerica's business, financial condition, and results of operations. Further, catastrophic events may have an impact on Comerica's customers and in turn, on Comerica.
Additionally, some of Comerica's loan portfolios have higher risk profiles relative to the rest of our portfolio, such as Technology and Life Sciences, automotive production and the leveraged transactions book.
Additionally, some of Comerica's loan portfolios have higher risk profiles relative to the rest of our portfolio, such as Technology and Life Sciences, automotive production and the leveraged transactions book. These loan portfolios have higher levels of criticized loans than the general population, and further migration could lead to an adverse effect on credit metrics and Comerica's financial results.
Further, while Comerica has taken steps to reduce its interest rate sensitivity, those actions, such as the execution of Comerica's hedging strategy, do not fully eliminate interest rate risk.
Further, while Comerica has taken steps to reduce its interest rate sensitivity, those actions, such as the execution of Comerica's hedging strategy, do not fully eliminate interest rate risk. For a discussion of Comerica's interest rate sensiti vity and risk management strategies, please see, “Market and Liquidi ty Risk” in the Financial Section of this report.
Recently Comerica expanded its presence in the Southeastern and Mountain West regions of the U.S. If Comerica's expansion is not successful, it could adversely impact Comerica's expenses. • Management's ability to maintain and expand customer relationships may differ from expectations. The financial services industry is very competitive.
Comerica has expanded its presence in the Southeastern and Mountain West regions of the U.S.; if Comerica's expansion is not successful, it could adversely impact Comerica's expenses.
Comerica cautions that forward-looking statements are subject to numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties, which change over time. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date the statement is made, and Comerica does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect facts, circumstances, assumptions or events that occur after the date the forward-looking statements are made.
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date the statement is made, and Comerica does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect facts, circumstances, assumptions or events that occur after the date the forward-looking statements are made. Actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking statements and future results could differ materially from historical performance.
Further, Comerica may be subject to heightened expectations, which could result in additional regulatory scrutiny, higher penalties, and more severe consequences if it is unable to meet those expectations. • Compliance with stringent capital requirements may adversely affect Comerica. Comerica is required to satisfy stringent regulatory capital standards, as set forth in the “Supervision and Regulation” section of this report.
Further, Comerica may be subject to heightened expectations, which could result in additional regulatory scrutiny, higher penalties, and more severe consequences if it is unable to meet those expectations.
Both personally identifiable information and personal financial information is increasingly subject to legislation and regulation, the intent of which is to protect the privacy of personal information that is collected and handled.
Both personally identifiable information and personal financial information is increasingly subject to legislation and regulation, the intent of which is to protect the privacy of personal information that is collected and handled. For example, the CCPA applies to for-profit businesses that conduct business in California and meet certain revenue or data collection thresholds, including Comerica.
Comerica's funding costs may increase if it raises deposit rates to avoid losing customer deposits, or if it loses customer deposits and must rely on more expensive sources of funding. In 2022, interest expense increased $149 million from 2021, due to a rising rate environment. Higher funding costs will reduce Comerica's net interest margin and net interest income.
Deposits make up a large portion of Comerica’s funding portfolio. Comerica's funding costs may increase if it raises deposit rates to avoid losing customer deposits, as we did in 2023, or if it loses customer deposits and must rely on more expensive sources of funding.
Comerica would be subject to similar risks and difficulties in connection with any future decisions to downsize, sell or close units or otherwise change the business mix of Comerica. 21 Table of Contents GENERAL RISK • General political, economic or industry conditions, either domestically or internationally, may be less favorable than expected.
These matters could have an adverse effect on Comerica for an undetermined period. Comerica would be subject to similar risks and difficulties in connection with any future decisions to downsize, sell or close units or otherwise change the business mix of Comerica.
Conditions related to inflation, recession, unemployment, volatile interest rates, international conflicts, changes in trade policies and other factors, such as real estate values, energy prices, state and local municipal budget deficits, government spending and the U.S. national debt, outside of our control may, directly and indirectly, adversely affect Comerica. • Inflation could negatively impact Comerica's business, profitability and stock price.
Furthermore, changes in trade policies or other economic policies, state and local municipal finances, federal government finances and the U.S. federal debt, are outside of our control and may affect the operating environment affecting Comerica. • Inflation could negatively impact Comerica's business, profitability and stock price.
LIQUIDITY RISK • Comerica must maintain adequate sources of funding and liquidity to meet regulatory expectations, support its operations and fund outstanding liabilities.
Further, Comerica’s transition could prompt inquiries or other actions from regulators. It could also result in disputes with counterparties regarding the terms of the arrangements Comerica seeks to change . LIQUIDITY RISK • Comerica must maintain adequate sources of funding and liquidity to meet regulatory expectations, support its operations and fund outstanding liabilities.
Any such changes could adversely affect Comerica, either directly, or indirectly as a result of effects on Comerica's customers.
Federal income tax treatment of corporations may be clarified and/or modified by legislative, administrative or judicial changes or interpretations at any time. Any such changes could adversely affect Comerica, either directly, or indirectly as a result of effects on Comerica's customers. STRATEGIC RISK • Damage to Comerica’s reputation could damage its businesses.
In addition, COVID-19 and concerns regarding the extent to which it may continue to spread, including the currently discovered and potential future variants of COVID-19, have affected, and may increasingly affect, international trade (including supply chains and export levels), travel, employee productivity, and other economic activities.
Dangerous, potentially deadly, and easily-transmitted viruses and other pathogens, and government and social reactions to such epidemics and pandemics have affected, and may again affect, international trade (including supply chains and export levels), travel, employee productivity, and other economic activities.
The U.S. economy is facing headwinds from recessionary pressures, surging interest rates, high inflation, the end of fiscal stimulus, lower housing market activity and weak export markets abroad. Foreign developments pose additional headwinds, including the impacts of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, uncertainties about China’s reopening and the impact of tighter monetary policy across much of the global economy.
The U.S. economy faces uncertainties from elevated interest rates, persistent inflation, the end of fiscal stimulus, subdued housing market activity and weak export demand.