Biggest changeThe hypothetical potential changes in fair value of our financial instruments at December 31, 2022 and 2021 are shown as follows: December 31, 2022 (in millions of dollars) Notional Amount of Derivatives Fair Value Hypothetical FV + 100 BP Change in FV Assets Fixed Maturity Securities 1 $ 34,840.8 $ 32,158.6 $ (2,682.2) Mortgage Loans 2,159.5 2,034.3 (125.2) Policy Loans, Net of Reinsurance Ceded 364.5 339.0 (25.5) Liabilities Unrealized Adjustment to Reserves, Net of Reinsurance Ceded and Deferred Acquisition Costs 2 $ 559.9 $ 1,853.0 $ 1,293.1 Long-term Debt (3,072.0) (2,681.3) 390.7 Derivatives 1 Swaps $ 935.6 $ 58.0 $ 55.9 $ (2.1) Forwards 818.3 (42.9) (129.7) (86.8) Embedded Derivative in Modified Coinsurance Arrangement (13.9) (9.5) 4.4 December 31, 2021 (in millions of dollars) Notional Amount of Derivatives Fair Value Hypothetical FV + 100 BP Change in FV Assets Fixed Maturity Securities 1 $ 43,336.0 $ 39,613.6 $ (3,722.4) Mortgage Loans 2,677.8 2,510.9 (166.9) Policy Loans, Net of Reinsurance Ceded 433.4 401.1 (32.3) Liabilities Unrealized Adjustment to Reserves, Net of Reinsurance Ceded and Deferred Acquisition Costs 2 $ (4,597.8) $ (2,526.9) $ 2,070.9 Long-term Debt (3,879.1) (3,502.0) 377.1 Derivatives 1 Swaps $ 928.8 $ 3.1 $ 3.0 $ (0.1) Forwards 41.7 1.4 1.4 — Embedded Derivative in Modified Coinsurance Arrangement (30.1) (24.4) 5.7 1 These financial instruments are carried at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.
Biggest changeThe selection of a 100 basis point immediate parallel change in interest rates should not be construed as our prediction of future market events, but only as an illustration of the potential effect of such an event. 98 Table of Contents The hypothetical potential changes in fair value of our insurance liabilities and financial instruments at December 31, 2023 and 2022 are shown as follows: December 31, 2023 (in millions of dollars) Notional Amount of Derivatives Fair Value (FV) 2 Hypothetical FV + 100 BP 2 Change in FV 2 Assets Fixed Maturity Securities 1 $ 36,833.9 $ 33,842.1 $ (2,991.8) Mortgage Loans 2,070.7 1,957.7 (113.0) Policy Loans, Net of Reinsurance Ceded 373.8 347.8 (26.0) Reinsurance Recoverable 2 9,108.4 8,179.2 (929.2) Liabilities Liability for Future Policy Benefits 2 $ (40,009.4) $ (35,456.1) $ 4,553.3 Long-term Debt (3,227.9) (2,978.4) 249.5 Derivatives 1 Swaps $ 1,026.2 $ 14.2 $ 16.4 $ 2.2 Forwards 1,957.5 (30.5) (242.4) (211.9) Embedded Derivative in Modified Coinsurance Arrangement (1.5) 3.2 4.7 December 31, 2022 (in millions of dollars) Notional Amount of Derivatives Fair Value 2 Hypothetical FV + 100 BP 2 Change in FV 2 Assets Fixed Maturity Securities 1 $ 34,840.8 $ 32,158.6 $ (2,682.2) Mortgage Loans 2,159.5 2,034.3 (125.2) Policy Loans, Net of Reinsurance Ceded 364.5 339.0 (25.5) Reinsurance Recoverable 2 9,608.0 8,714.1 (893.9) Liabilities Liability for Future Policy Benefits 2 $ (38,577.1) $ (34,562.8) $ 4,014.3 Long-term Debt (3,072.0) (2,681.3) 390.7 Derivatives 1 Swaps $ 935.6 $ 58.0 $ 55.9 $ (2.1) Forwards 818.3 (42.9) (129.7) (86.8) Embedded Derivative in Modified Coinsurance Arrangement (13.9) (9.5) 4.4 1 These financial instruments are carried at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.
Our risk committees and other governing bodies serve as risk and control functions responsible for providing risk oversight, or the second line of risk control. Our internal audit team provides periodic independent reviews and assurance activities serving as our third line of risk control.
Our risk committees and other governing bodies serve as risk control functions responsible for providing risk oversight, or the second line of risk control. Our internal audit team provides periodic independent reviews and assurance activities serving as our third line of risk control.
To facilitate this effort, we have a formal Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) program, with a framework comprising the following key components: • Risk-aware culture and governance • Risk appetite policy • Risk identification and prioritization • Risk and capital modeling • Risk management activities • Risk reporting Our ERM framework is the ongoing system of people, processes, and tools across our Company under which we intend to function consistently and collectively to identify and assess risks and opportunities, to manage all material risks within our risk appetite, and to contribute to strategic decision making.
To facilitate this effort, we have a formal Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) program, with a framework comprising the following key components: • Risk-aware culture and governance • Risk appetite • Risk identification and prioritization • Risk and capital modeling • Risk management activities • Risk reporting Our ERM framework is the ongoing system of people, processes, and tools across our Company under which we intend to function consistently and collectively to identify and assess risks and opportunities, to manage all material risks within our risk appetite, and to contribute to strategic decision making.
With the goal of maximizing shareholder value, the primary objectives of our ERM framework are to support Unum Group in meeting its operational and financial objectives, maintaining liquidity, optimizing capital, and protecting franchise value. Risk-Aware Culture and Governance We employ a risk management model under which risk-based decisions are made daily on a local level.
With the goal of maximizing shareholder value, the primary objectives of our ERM framework are to support Unum Group in meeting its operational and financial objectives, maintaining liquidity, optimizing capital, protecting franchise value, and operational resilience. Risk-Aware Culture and Governance We employ a risk management model under which risk-based decisions are made daily on a local level.
We strive for a culture of integrity, commitment, and accountability and we believe these values allow our employees to feel comfortable identifying issues as well as taking ownership for addressing potential problems. Our employees have an obligation to report issues that they believe will have a material financial, reputational, or regulatory impact to the Company.
We strive for a culture of integrity, commitment, and accountability and we believe these values allow our employees to feel comfortable identifying issues as well as taking ownership for addressing potential problems. Our employees have an obligation to report issues that they believe will have a material financial, operational, reputational, or regulatory impact to the Company.
When these funds are repatriated to our U.S. holding company, we are subject to foreign currency risk as the value of the dividend, when converted into U.S. dollars, is dependent upon the foreign exchange rate at the time of conversion. 102 We are also exposed to foreign currency risk related to certain foreign investment securities denominated in local currencies.
When these funds are repatriated to our U.S. holding company, we are subject to foreign currency risk as the value of the dividend, when converted into U.S. dollars, is dependent upon the foreign exchange rate at the time of conversion. We are also exposed to foreign currency risk related to certain foreign investment securities denominated in local currencies.
We may use current and forward interest rate swaps, options on forward interest rate swaps, and forward treasury locks to hedge interest rate risks and to match asset durations and cash flows with corresponding liabilities. 100 Debt is not carried at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.
We may use current and forward interest rate swaps, options on forward interest rate swaps, and forward treasury locks to hedge interest rate risks and to match asset durations and cash flows with corresponding liabilities. Debt is not carried at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.
It also is responsible for oversight of risks associated with investments, capital and financing plans and 103 activities, and related financial matters, including matters pertaining to our Closed Block segment.
It also is responsible for oversight of risks associated with investments, capital and financing plans and activities, and related financial matters, including matters pertaining to our Closed Block segment.
Fixed maturity securities include U.S. and foreign government bonds, securities issued by government agencies, public utility bonds, corporate bonds, mortgage-backed securities, and redeemable preferred stock, all of which are subject to risk resulting from interest rate fluctuations. Certain of our financial instruments, fixed maturity securities and derivatives, are carried at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.
Fixed maturity securities include U.S. and foreign government bonds, securities issued by government agencies, public utility bonds, corporate bonds, mortgage-backed securities, and redeemable preferred stock, all of which are subject to risk resulting from interest rate fluctuations. Certain of our financial instruments, such as fixed maturity securities and derivatives, are carried at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.
While each committee is responsible for evaluating certain risks and overseeing the management of such risks, the entire board is regularly informed through committee reports about such risks in addition to the risk information it receives directly. Our executive risk management committee is responsible for overseeing our enterprise-wide risk management program.
While each of these committees is responsible for evaluating certain risks and overseeing the management of such risks, the entire board is regularly informed through committee reports about such risks in addition to the risk information it receives directly. Our executive risk management committee is responsible for overseeing our enterprise-wide risk management program.
This analysis estimates potential changes in fair values as of December 31, 2022 and 2021 based on a hypothetical immediate increase of 100 basis points in interest rates from year end levels.
This analysis estimates potential changes in fair values as of December 31, 2023 and 2022 based on a hypothetical immediate increase of 100 basis points in interest rates from year end levels.
Stress testing is also central to reserve adequacy testing, cash flow testing, and asset and liability management. In addition, we aim to constantly improve our capital modeling techniques and methodologies that are used to determine a level of capital that is commensurate with our risk profile and to ensure compliance with evolving regulatory and rating agency requirements.
Stress testing is also central to reserve adequacy testing, cash flow testing, and asset and liability management. 102 Table of Contents In addition, we aim to constantly improve our capital modeling techniques and methodologies that are used to determine a level of capital that is commensurate with our risk profile and to ensure compliance with evolving regulatory and rating agency requirements.
If we modify or replace existing debt instruments at current market rates, we may incur a gain or loss on the transaction. We believe our debt-related risk to changes in interest rates is relatively minimal. We measure our financial instruments' market risk related to changes in interest rates using a sensitivity analysis.
If we modify or replace existing debt instruments at current market rates, we may incur a gain or loss on the transaction. We believe our debt-related risk to changes in interest rates is relatively minimal. We measure our insurance liabilities and financial instruments' market risk related to changes in interest rates using a sensitivity analysis.
By employing various approaches, we have established a culture that supports candid discussion and reporting of risks, and empowers our employees to take ownership for risk management. Our culture is reinforced by our system of risk governance. We employ a multi-layered risk control system.
By employing various approaches, we have established a culture that supports candid discussion and reporting of risks, and empowers our employees to take ownership for risk management. Our culture is reinforced by our system of risk governance.
Our lines of defense model is depicted below. 1st Line: Own and Manage 2nd Line: Oversee 3rd Line: Independent Assurance Business processes and procedures employed throughout the Company through which management assumes and monitors significant risks Governing bodies chartered with oversight of activities within the 1st and 2nd lines of defense, mitigation of substantial exposures, and management of emerging risks Independent assurance on the effectiveness of governance, risk management, and internal control performed by internal audit and the board of directors Business units are primarily responsible for managing their principal risks.
We employ a multi-layered risk control system as depicted below: 1st Line: Own and Manage 2nd Line: Oversee 3rd Line: Independent Assurance Business processes and procedures employed throughout the Company through which management assumes and monitors significant risks Governing bodies chartered with oversight of activities within the 1st and 2nd lines of defense, mitigation of substantial exposures, and management of emerging risks Independent assurance on the effectiveness of governance, risk management, and internal control performed by internal audit and the board of directors Business units are primarily responsible for managing their principal risks.
Assuming interest rates and credit spreads remain constant throughout 2024 at the January 2023 market levels, our net investment income would decrease by an immaterial amount in both 2023 and 2024 as a result of the investment of cash flows at levels below our current portfolio rate.
Assuming interest rates and credit spreads remain constant throughout 2025 at the January 2024 market levels, our net investment income would increase by an immaterial amount in both 2024 and 2025 as a result of the investment of cash flows at levels above our current portfolio rate.
Assuming the pound to dollar exchange rate decreased 10 percent from the December 31, 2022 and 2021 levels, stockholders' equity as reported in U.S. dollars would have been lower by approximately $59 million and $67 million, respectively.
Assuming the pound to dollar exchange rate decreased 10 percent from the December 31, 2023 and 2022 levels, stockholders' equity as reported in U.S. dollars would have been lower by approximately $61 million and $66 million, respectively.
Assuming the pound to dollar average exchange rate decreased 10 percent from the actual average exchange rates for 2022 and 2021, adjusted operating income, as reported in U.S. dollars, would have decreased approximately $12 million and $10 million, respectively.
Assuming the pound to dollar average exchange rate decreased 10 percent from the actual average exchange rates for 2023 and 2022, adjusted operating income, as reported in U.S. dollars, would have decreased approximately $14 million in each year.
The human capital committee of the board is responsible for oversight of risks relating to our compensation plans and programs. The regulatory compliance committee of the board is responsible for oversight of risks related to regulatory, compliance, policy, and legal matters, both current and emerging, and whether of a local, state, federal, or international nature.
The regulatory compliance committee 101 Table of Contents of the board is responsible for oversight of risks related to regulatory, compliance, policy, and legal matters, both current and emerging, and whether of a local, state, federal, or international nature.
We believe that the risk of being forced to liquidate investments or terminate derivative positions is minimal, primarily due to the level of capital at our insurance subsidiaries, the level of cash and marketable securities at our holding companies, and our investment strategy which we believe provides for adequate cash flows to meet the funding requirements of our business.
Carrying amounts for short-term investments approximate fair value, and we believe we have minimal interest rate risk exposure from these investments. 97 Table of Contents We believe that the risk of being forced to liquidate investments or terminate derivative positions is minimal, primarily due to the level of capital at our insurance subsidiaries, the level of cash and marketable securities at our holding companies, and our investment strategy which we believe provides for adequate cash flows to meet the funding requirements of our business.
See "Regulation" contained herein in Item 1 for additional information regarding the ORSA. 105
See "Regulation" contained herein in Item 1 for additional information regarding the ORSA. 103 Table of Contents
Interest Rate Risk Our exposure to interest rate changes results from our holdings of financial instruments such as fixed rate investments, derivatives, and interest sensitive liabilities. Fixed rate investments include fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans, policy loans, and short-term investments.
See Note 1 of the "Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements" contained herein in Item 8. Interest Rate Risk Our exposure to interest rate changes results from our holdings of financial instruments such as fixed rate investments, derivatives, and interest sensitive liabilities. Fixed rate investments include fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans, policy loans, and short-term investments.
We face a wide range of risks, and our continued success depends on our ability to identify and appropriately manage our risk exposures. For additional information on certain risks that may adversely affect our business, operating results, or financial condition see "Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements" contained herein on page 1 and "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A.
For additional information on certain risks that may adversely affect our business, operating results, or financial condition see "Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements" contained herein on page 1 and "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A.
Risk Modeling and Controls We assess material risks, including how they affect us and how individual risks interrelate, to provide valuable information to management in order that they may effectively manage our risks.
Risk Modeling and Controls We assess material risks, including how they affect us and how individual risks interrelate, to provide valuable information to management in order that they may effectively manage our risks. We use qualitative and quantitative approaches to assess existing and emerging risks and to develop mitigating strategies to limit our exposure to both.
For example, we periodically perform stress tests on certain categories of assets or liabilities to support development of capital and liquidity risk contingency plans. These tests help ensure that we have a buffer to support our operations in uncertain times and financial flexibility to respond to market opportunities.
These tests help ensure that we have a buffer to support our operations in uncertain times and financial flexibility to respond to market opportunities.
Knowing the potential risks we face allows us to monitor and manage their potential effects including adjusting our strategies as appropriate and holding capital levels which provide financial flexibility. Business process owners, supported by the ERM program, have primary responsibility for identifying and prioritizing risks within their respective areas.
Additionally, we identify emerging risks and analyze how material future risks might affect us. Knowing the potential risks we face allows us to monitor and manage their potential effects including adjusting our strategies as appropriate and holding capital levels which provide financial flexibility.
Both are key components of our risk appetite policy and play an important role in monitoring, assessing, managing, and mitigating our primary risk exposures. In particular, stress testing of our capital and liquidity management strategies enables us to identify areas of high exposure, assess mitigating actions, develop contingency plans, and guide decisions around our target capital and liquidity levels.
In particular, stress testing of our capital and liquidity management strategies enables us to identify areas of high exposure, assess mitigating actions, develop contingency plans, and guide decisions around our target capital and liquidity levels. For example, we periodically perform stress tests on certain categories of assets or liabilities to support development of capital and liquidity risk contingency plans.
Foreign Currency Risk The functional currency of our U.K. operations is the British pound sterling. The functional currency of our operations in Poland is the Polish zloty.
See "Critical Accounting Estimates" contained herein in Item 7 for further information concerning our pension and post-retirement benefit plans. Foreign Currency Risk The functional currency of our U.K. operations is the British pound sterling. The functional currency of our operations in Poland is the Polish zloty.
We use foreign currency interest rate swaps to hedge or minimize the foreign exchange risk associated with these instruments. See "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A and "Consolidated Operating Results" and "Unum International Segment" contained herein in Item 7 for further information concerning foreign currency translation.
See "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A and "Consolidated Operating Results" and "Unum International Segment" contained herein in Item 7 for further information concerning foreign currency translation. 100 Table of Contents Risk Management Effectively taking and managing risks is essential to the success of our Company.
The 101 corresponding offsetting change is reported in other comprehensive income or loss, net of income tax, except for changes in the fair value of derivatives accounted for as fair value hedges or derivatives not designated as hedging instruments, together with the payment of periodic fees, if applicable, which are recognized in the same income statement line item as the hedged item during the period of change in fair value. 2 The adjustment to reserves and deferred acquisition costs for unrealized investment gains and losses reflects the adjustments to policyholder liabilities and deferred acquisition costs that would be necessary if the unrealized investment gains and losses related to the fixed maturity securities had been realized.
The corresponding offsetting change is reported in other comprehensive income or loss, net of income tax, except for changes in the fair value of derivatives accounted for as fair value hedges or derivatives not designated as hedging instruments, together with the payment of periodic fees, if applicable, which are recognized in the same income statement line item as the hedged item during the period of change in fair value. 2 The adoption of ASU 2018-12 required an update of the discount rate assumptions related to our liability for future policy benefits at each reporting date using a yield that is reflective of an upper-medium grade fixed-income instrument, which is generally equivalent to a single-A interest rate matched to the duration of certain of our insurance liabilities.
We use qualitative and quantitative approaches to assess existing and emerging risks and to develop mitigating strategies to limit our exposure to both. 104 We utilize stress testing and scenario analysis for risk management and to shape our business, financial, and strategic planning activities.
We utilize stress testing and scenario analysis for risk management and to shape our business, financial, and strategic planning activities. Both are key components of our risk appetite policy and play an important role in monitoring, assessing, managing, and mitigating our primary risk exposures.
Risk Identification and Prioritization Risk identification and prioritization is an ongoing process, whereby we identify and assess our risk positions and exposures, including notable risk events. Additionally, we identify emerging risks and analyze how material future risks might affect us.
Collectively, management is responsible for monitoring its adherence to the risk appetite statement throughout its operations and in accordance with the ERM framework. Risk Identification and Prioritization Risk identification and prioritization is an ongoing process, whereby we identify and assess our risk positions and exposures, including notable risk events.
Risks falling outside our risk tolerance and limits are reported to the applicable governance group, where decisions are made pertaining to acceptance of the risk or implementation of remediation plans or corrective actions as deemed appropriate by that governance group.
Key measures of our risk profile are monitored against risk tolerances and limits on a quarterly basis and are communicated to their respective governing body. For risks falling outside of our risk tolerance and limits, the respective governing body assesses the appropriate risk response, including implementation of remediation plans or corrective actions.