Biggest changeThe selection of a 100 basis point immediate parallel change in interest rates should not be construed as our prediction of future market events, but only as an illustration of the potential effect of such an event. 98 Table of Contents The hypothetical potential changes in fair value of our insurance liabilities and financial instruments at December 31, 2023 and 2022 are shown as follows: December 31, 2023 (in millions of dollars) Notional Amount of Derivatives Fair Value (FV) 2 Hypothetical FV + 100 BP 2 Change in FV 2 Assets Fixed Maturity Securities 1 $ 36,833.9 $ 33,842.1 $ (2,991.8) Mortgage Loans 2,070.7 1,957.7 (113.0) Policy Loans, Net of Reinsurance Ceded 373.8 347.8 (26.0) Reinsurance Recoverable 2 9,108.4 8,179.2 (929.2) Liabilities Liability for Future Policy Benefits 2 $ (40,009.4) $ (35,456.1) $ 4,553.3 Long-term Debt (3,227.9) (2,978.4) 249.5 Derivatives 1 Swaps $ 1,026.2 $ 14.2 $ 16.4 $ 2.2 Forwards 1,957.5 (30.5) (242.4) (211.9) Embedded Derivative in Modified Coinsurance Arrangement (1.5) 3.2 4.7 December 31, 2022 (in millions of dollars) Notional Amount of Derivatives Fair Value 2 Hypothetical FV + 100 BP 2 Change in FV 2 Assets Fixed Maturity Securities 1 $ 34,840.8 $ 32,158.6 $ (2,682.2) Mortgage Loans 2,159.5 2,034.3 (125.2) Policy Loans, Net of Reinsurance Ceded 364.5 339.0 (25.5) Reinsurance Recoverable 2 9,608.0 8,714.1 (893.9) Liabilities Liability for Future Policy Benefits 2 $ (38,577.1) $ (34,562.8) $ 4,014.3 Long-term Debt (3,072.0) (2,681.3) 390.7 Derivatives 1 Swaps $ 935.6 $ 58.0 $ 55.9 $ (2.1) Forwards 818.3 (42.9) (129.7) (86.8) Embedded Derivative in Modified Coinsurance Arrangement (13.9) (9.5) 4.4 1 These financial instruments are carried at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.
Biggest changeThe hypothetical potential changes in fair value of our insurance liabilities and financial instruments at December 31, 2024 and 2023 are shown as follows: 96 Table of Contents December 31, 2024 (in millions of dollars) Notional Amount of Derivatives Fair Value (FV) 2 Hypothetical FV + 100 BP 2 Change in FV 2 Assets Fixed Maturity Securities 1 $ 35,629.9 $ 32,889.9 $ (2,740.0) Mortgage Loans 1,975.4 1,877.0 (98.4) Policy Loans, Net of Reinsurance Ceded 359.3 334.7 (24.6) Reinsurance Recoverable 2 8,296.4 7,520.0 (776.4) Liabilities Liability for Future Policy Benefits 2 $ (36,806.4) $ (32,947.1) $ 3,859.3 Debt (3,564.3) (3,244.5) 319.8 Derivatives 1 Forward Benchmark Interest Rate Locks 2,570.0 (219.8) (463.9) (244.1) December 31, 2023 (in millions of dollars) Notional Amount of Derivatives Fair Value 2 Hypothetical FV + 100 BP 2 Change in FV 2 Assets Fixed Maturity Securities 1 $ 36,833.9 $ 33,842.1 $ (2,991.8) Mortgage Loans 2,070.7 1,957.7 (113.0) Policy Loans, Net of Reinsurance Ceded 373.8 347.8 (26.0) Reinsurance Recoverable 2 9,108.4 8,179.2 (929.2) Liabilities Liability for Future Policy Benefits 2 $ (40,009.4) $ (35,456.1) $ 4,553.3 Debt (3,227.9) (2,978.4) 249.5 Derivatives 1 Forward Benchmark Interest Rate Locks 1,905.0 (33.3) (245.2) (211.9) 1 These financial instruments are carried at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.
We employ a multi-layered risk control system as depicted below: 1st Line: Own and Manage 2nd Line: Oversee 3rd Line: Independent Assurance Business processes and procedures employed throughout the Company through which management assumes and monitors significant risks Governing bodies chartered with oversight of activities within the 1st and 2nd lines of defense, mitigation of substantial exposures, and management of emerging risks Independent assurance on the effectiveness of governance, risk management, and internal control performed by internal audit and the board of directors Business units are primarily responsible for managing their principal risks.
We employ a multi-layered risk control system as depicted below: 1st Line: Own and Manage 2nd Line: Oversee 3rd Line: Independent Assurance Business processes and procedures employed throughout the Company through which management assumes and monitors significant risks Governing bodies chartered with oversight of activities within the 1st and 2nd lines, mitigation of substantial exposures, and management of emerging risks Independent assurance on the effectiveness of governance, risk management, and internal control performed by internal audit and the board of directors Business units are primarily responsible for managing their principal risks.
We may use current and forward interest rate swaps, options on forward interest rate swaps, and forward treasury locks to hedge interest rate risks and to match asset durations and cash flows with corresponding liabilities. Debt is not carried at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.
We have and may continue to use current and forward interest rate swaps, options on forward interest rate swaps, and forward treasury locks to hedge interest rate risks and to match asset durations and cash flows with corresponding liabilities. Debt is not carried at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.
This analysis estimates potential changes in fair values as of December 31, 2023 and 2022 based on a hypothetical immediate increase of 100 basis points in interest rates from year end levels.
This analysis estimates potential changes in fair values as of December 31, 2024 and 2023 based on a hypothetical immediate increase of 100 basis points in interest rates from year end levels.
To facilitate this effort, we have a formal Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) program, with a framework comprising the following key components: • Risk-aware culture and governance • Risk appetite • Risk identification and prioritization • Risk and capital modeling • Risk management activities • Risk reporting Our ERM framework is the ongoing system of people, processes, and tools across our Company under which we intend to function consistently and collectively to identify and assess risks and opportunities, to manage all material risks within our risk appetite, and to contribute to strategic decision making.
To facilitate this effort, we have a formal Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) program, with a framework comprising these key components: • Risk-aware culture and governance • Risk appetite • Risk identification and prioritization • Risk reporting • Risk management and modeling Our ERM framework is the ongoing system of people, processes, and tools across our Company under which we intend to function consistently and collectively to identify and assess risks and opportunities, to manage all material risks within our risk appetite, and to contribute to strategic decision making.
Assuming interest rates and credit spreads remain constant throughout 2025 at the January 2024 market levels, our net investment income would increase by an immaterial amount in both 2024 and 2025 as a result of the investment of cash flows at levels above our current portfolio rate.
Assuming interest rates and credit spreads remain constant at the January 2025 market levels throughout the remainder of 2025 and 2026, our net investment income would increase by an immaterial amount in both 2025 and 2026 as a result of the investment of cash flows at levels above our current portfolio rate.
As such, the 99 Table of Contents value of certain of our insurance liabilities may be adversely affected by changes in the single-A interest rate environment which could impact the valuation of our liability for future policy benefits and related reinsurance recoverable.
As such, the value of certain of our insurance liabilities may be adversely affected by changes in the single-A interest rate environment which could impact the valuation of our liability for future policy benefits and related reinsurance recoverable.
If we modify or replace existing debt instruments at current market rates, we may incur a gain or loss on the transaction. We believe our debt-related risk to changes in interest rates is relatively minimal. We measure our insurance liabilities and financial instruments' market risk related to changes in interest rates using a sensitivity analysis.
If we modify or replace existing debt instruments at current market rates, we may incur a gain or loss on the transaction. We believe our debt-related risk to changes in interest rates is relatively minimal. 95 Table of Contents We measure our insurance liabilities and financial instruments' market risk related to changes in interest rates using a sensitivity analysis.
Assuming the pound to dollar average exchange rate decreased 10 percent from the actual average exchange rates for 2023 and 2022, adjusted operating income, as reported in U.S. dollars, would have decreased approximately $14 million in each year.
Assuming the pound to dollar average exchange rate decreased 10 percent from the actual average exchange rates for 2024 and 2023, net income, as reported in U.S. dollars, would have decreased approximately $10 million in each year.
Although changes in fair value of fixed maturity securities and derivatives due to changes in interest rates may impact amounts reported in our consolidated balance sheets, these changes will not cause an economic gain or loss unless we sell investments, terminate derivative positions, determine that an investment is impaired, or determine that a derivative instrument is no longer an effective hedge.
Although changes in fair value of fixed maturity securities due to changes in interest rates may impact amounts reported in our consolidated balance sheets, these changes will not cause an economic gain or loss unless we sell investments or determine that an investment is impaired.
The discussion is at the enterprise level and often qualitative and principles based. Quantitative specifications are made where possible, generally regarding aggregate capital metrics. Business segments align with the risk appetite through process, policies, and operating procedures and through monitoring of operational metrics. Appropriate, specific quantitative boundaries are used to establish and measure against risk appetite articulated in the statement.
The discussion is at the enterprise level and often qualitative and principles based. Quantitative specifications are made where possible, generally regarding aggregate capital metrics. Business segments align with the risk appetite through process, policies, and operating procedures and through monitoring of operational metrics.
The fair value of these financial instruments may be adversely affected by changes in interest rates. A rise in interest rates may further increase the net unrealized loss related to these financial instruments, but may improve our ability to earn higher rates of return on new purchases of fixed maturity securities.
A rise in interest rates may further increase the net unrealized loss related to these financial instruments, but may improve our ability to earn higher rates of return on new purchases of fixed maturity securities. Conversely, a decline in interest rates may decrease the net unrealized loss, but new securities may be purchased at lower rates of return.
These hypothetical prices were compared to the actual prices for the period to compute the overall change in market value. The changes in the fair values shown in the chart above for all other items were determined using discounted cash flow analyses. Because we actively manage our investments and liabilities, actual changes could differ from those estimated above.
These hypothetical prices were compared to the actual prices for the period to compute the overall change in market value. The changes in the fair values shown in the chart above for all other items were determined using discounted cash flow analyses.
For additional information on certain risks that may adversely affect our business, operating results, or financial condition see "Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements" contained herein on page 1 and "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A.
We face a wide range of risks, and our continued success depends on our ability to identify and appropriately manage our risk exposures. For additional information on certain risks that may adversely affect our business, operating results, or financial condition see "Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements" contained herein on page 1 and "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A.
To achieve long-term success, we believe risk management must be the responsibility of all employees. The individual and collective decisions of our employees play a key role in successfully managing our overall risk profile.
Risk-Aware Culture and Governance We employ a risk management model under which risk-based decisions are made daily on a local level. To achieve long-term success, we believe risk management must be the responsibility of all employees. The individual and collective decisions of our employees play a key role in successfully managing our overall risk profile.
Carrying amounts for short-term investments approximate fair value, and we believe we have minimal interest rate risk exposure from these investments. 97 Table of Contents We believe that the risk of being forced to liquidate investments or terminate derivative positions is minimal, primarily due to the level of capital at our insurance subsidiaries, the level of cash and marketable securities at our holding companies, and our investment strategy which we believe provides for adequate cash flows to meet the funding requirements of our business.
We believe that the risk of being forced to liquidate investments or terminate derivative positions ahead of scheduled maturity dates is minimal, primarily due to the level of capital at our insurance subsidiaries, the level of cash and marketable securities at our holding companies, and our investment strategy which we believe provides for adequate cash flows to meet the funding requirements of our business.
The corresponding offsetting change is reported in other comprehensive income or loss, net of income tax, except for changes in the fair value of derivatives accounted for as fair value hedges or derivatives not designated as hedging instruments, together with the payment of periodic fees, if applicable, which are recognized in the same income statement line item as the hedged item during the period of change in fair value. 2 The adoption of ASU 2018-12 required an update of the discount rate assumptions related to our liability for future policy benefits at each reporting date using a yield that is reflective of an upper-medium grade fixed-income instrument, which is generally equivalent to a single-A interest rate matched to the duration of certain of our insurance liabilities.
The corresponding offsetting change is reported in other comprehensive income or loss, net of income tax. 2 We are required to update the discount rate assumptions related to our liability for future policy benefits at each reporting date using a yield that is reflective of an upper-medium grade fixed-income instrument, which is generally equivalent to a single-A interest rate matched to the duration of certain of our insurance liabilities.
Assuming the pound to dollar exchange rate decreased 10 percent from the December 31, 2023 and 2022 levels, stockholders' equity as reported in U.S. dollars would have been lower by approximately $61 million and $66 million, respectively.
Assuming the pound to dollar year-end exchange rate decreased 10 percent from the December 31, 2024 and 2023 levels, accumulated other comprehensive income or loss as reported in U.S. dollars would have been lower by approximately $120 million in each year.
Fixed maturity securities include U.S. and foreign government bonds, securities issued by government agencies, public utility bonds, corporate bonds, mortgage-backed securities, and redeemable preferred stock, all of which are subject to risk resulting from interest rate fluctuations. Certain of our financial instruments, such as fixed maturity securities and derivatives, are carried at fair value in our consolidated balance sheets.
Fixed rate investments include fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans, policy loans, and short-term investments. Fixed maturity securities include U.S. and foreign government bonds, securities issued by government agencies, public utility bonds, corporate bonds, mortgage-backed securities, and redeemable preferred stock, all of which are subject to risk resulting from interest rate fluctuations.
See "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A, "Investments" contained herein in Item 7, and Notes 2, 3, and 4 of the "Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements" contained herein in Item 8 for further discussion of the qualitative aspects of market risk, including derivative financial instrument activity.
See "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A, "Investments" contained herein in Item 7, and Notes 2, 3, and 4 of the "Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements" contained herein in Item 8 for further discussion of the qualitative aspects of market risk, including derivative financial instrument activity. 94 Table of Contents Interest Rate Risk Our exposure to interest rate changes results from our holdings of financial instruments such as fixed rate investments, forward benchmark interest rate locks, and interest sensitive liabilities.
With the goal of maximizing shareholder value, the primary objectives of our ERM framework are to support Unum Group in meeting its operational and financial objectives, maintaining liquidity, optimizing capital, protecting franchise value, and operational resilience. Risk-Aware Culture and Governance We employ a risk management model under which risk-based decisions are made daily on a local level.
With the goal of maximizing shareholder value, the primary objectives 98 Table of Contents of our ERM framework are to support Unum Group in meeting its operational and financial objectives, maintaining liquidity, optimizing capital, protecting franchise value, and operational resilience.
Stress testing is also central to reserve adequacy testing, cash flow testing, and asset and liability management. 102 Table of Contents In addition, we aim to constantly improve our capital modeling techniques and methodologies that are used to determine a level of capital that is commensurate with our risk profile and to ensure compliance with evolving regulatory and rating agency requirements.
We aim to constantly improve the capital modeling techniques and methodologies we use to determine a level of capital that is commensurate with our risk profile and to ensure compliance with evolving regulatory and rating agency requirements.
Annually, we file our Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA) summary report with the applicable insurance regulators for our U.S. insurance subsidiaries. This report provides strong evidence of the strengths of our ERM framework, measurement approaches, key assumptions utilized in assessing our risks, and prospective solvency assessments under both normal and stressed conditions.
This report provides strong evidence of the strengths of our ERM framework, measurement approaches, key assumptions utilized in assessing our risks, and prospective solvency assessments under both normal and stressed conditions. See "Regulation" contained herein in Item 1 for additional information regarding the ORSA.
We strive for a culture of integrity, commitment, and accountability and we believe these values allow our employees to feel comfortable identifying issues as well as taking ownership for addressing potential problems. Our employees have an obligation to report issues that they believe will have a material financial, operational, reputational, or regulatory impact to the Company.
We strive for a culture of integrity, commitment, and accountability, and we believe these values allow our employees to feel comfortable identifying issues and taking ownership for addressing potential problems. To reinforce the risk-aware culture, we offer risk education to employees.
We offer several channels for employees to report their issues or concerns and encourage employees to use the channel that is most appropriate for their situation. We recommend that an employee initially discuss their concerns with their manager; however, if that channel is not appropriate an employee may use any of the other reporting channels available.
We recommend that an employee initially discuss their concerns with their manager; however, if that channel is not appropriate, an employee may use any of the other reporting channels available. By employing various approaches, we foster a culture intended to support candid discussion and reporting of risks and empowerment of our employees to take ownership for risk management.
Our overall investment philosophy is to invest in a portfolio of high quality assets that provide investment returns consistent with that assumed in the pricing of our insurance products. Assets are invested predominately in fixed maturity securities. We estimate that we will have approximately $1.5 billion of investable cash flows in 2024.
Because we actively manage our investments and liabilities, actual changes could differ from those estimated above. 97 Table of Contents Our overall investment philosophy is to invest in a portfolio of high quality assets that provide investment returns consistent with those assumed in the pricing of our insurance products. Assets are invested predominately in fixed maturity securities.
Our capital modeling reflects appropriate aggregation of risks and diversification benefits resulting from our mix of products and business units. Our internal capital modeling and allocation aids us in making significant business decisions including strategic planning, capital management, risk limit determination, reinsurance purchases, hedging activities, asset allocation, pricing, and corporate development.
These models aid us in making significant business decisions including strategic planning, capital management, risk limit determinations, reinsurance purchases, hedging activities, asset allocation, pricing, and corporate development.
Additionally, we identify emerging risks and analyze how material future risks might affect us. Knowing the potential risks we face allows us to monitor and manage their potential effects including adjusting our strategies as appropriate and holding capital levels which provide financial flexibility.
Knowing the potential risks we face allows us to monitor and manage their potential effects including adjusting our strategies as appropriate and holding capital levels which provide financial flexibility. Business process owners, supported by the ERM program, have primary responsibility for identifying and prioritizing risks within their respective areas.
We utilize stress testing and scenario analysis for risk management and to shape our business, financial, and strategic planning activities. Both are key components of our risk appetite policy and play an important role in monitoring, assessing, managing, and mitigating our primary risk exposures.
Both are key components of our risk appetite framework and play an important role in monitoring, assessing, managing, and mitigating our primary risk exposures, which we evaluate over multiple time horizons. Our ability to manage our baseline risks and run stress and scenario analysis relies on numerous capital and financial models.
See "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A and "Consolidated Operating Results" and "Unum International Segment" contained herein in Item 7 for further information concerning foreign currency translation. 100 Table of Contents Risk Management Effectively taking and managing risks is essential to the success of our Company.
We use foreign currency interest rate swaps to hedge or minimize the foreign exchange risk associated with these instruments. See "Risk Factors" contained herein in Item 1A and "Consolidated Operating Results" and "Unum International Segment" contained herein in Item 7 for further information concerning foreign currency translation.
We monitor a composite set of operational risk metrics that measure operating effectiveness from the customer perspective. Risk Reporting Regular internal and external risk reporting is an integral part of our ERM framework. Internally, ERM reports are a standard part of our quarterly senior management and board meetings.
Risk Reporting Regular internal and external risk reporting is an integral part of our ERM framework. Internally, ERM reports are a standard part of our quarterly senior management and board meetings. The reports summarize our existing and emerging risk exposures, as well as report against the tolerances and limits defined by our risk appetite policy.
Key measures of our risk profile are monitored against risk tolerances and limits on a quarterly basis and are communicated to their respective governing body. For risks falling outside of our risk tolerance and limits, the respective governing body assesses the appropriate risk response, including implementation of remediation plans or corrective actions.
For risks falling outside of our risk tolerance and limits, the respective governing body assesses the appropriate risk response, including implementation of remediation plans or corrective actions. Collectively, management is responsible for monitoring its adherence to the risk appetite statement throughout its operations and in accordance with the ERM framework.
The risk and finance committee of the board is responsible for oversight of our risk management process, including financial risk, operational risk, and any other risk not specifically assigned to another board committee.
The risk and finance committee of the board is responsible for oversight of our risk management process, including financial risk, operational risk, strategic risk, and cybersecurity risk, though other board committees also oversee risks associated with their responsibilities. Our executive risk management committee is responsible for overseeing our enterprise-wide risk management program.
The reports summarize our existing and emerging risk exposures, as well as report against the tolerances and limits defined by our risk appetite policy. Externally, we are subject to a number of regulatory and rating agency risk examinations, and risk reports are often included.
Externally, we are subject to a number of regulatory and rating agency risk examinations, and risk reports are often included. Annually, we file our Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA) summary report with the applicable insurance regulators for our U.S. insurance subsidiaries.
Collectively, management is responsible for monitoring its adherence to the risk appetite statement throughout its operations and in accordance with the ERM framework. Risk Identification and Prioritization Risk identification and prioritization is an ongoing process, whereby we identify and assess our risk positions and exposures, including notable risk events.
Risk Identification and Prioritization Risk identification and prioritization is an ongoing process, whereby we identify and assess our risk positions and exposures, including notable risk events. Additionally, we identify emerging risks and analyze how material future risks might affect us.
Conversely, a decline in interest rates may decrease the net unrealized loss, but new securities may be purchased at lower rates of return.
The fair value of these derivatives can also be affected by changes in interest rates as a rise in interest rates may further increase the net unrealized loss related to these derivatives and conversely a decline in interest rates may decrease the net unrealized loss related to these derivatives.