Biggest changeThe following table provides additional information on the changes in Consumer Loan unit volume and active Dealers: For the Years Ended December 31, For the Years Ended December 31, 2022 2021 % Change 2021 2020 % Change Consumer Loan unit volume from new active Dealers 28,223 18,267 54.5 % 18,267 30,968 -41.0 % New active Dealers (1) 2,819 2,094 34.6 % 2,094 2,730 -23.3 % Average volume per new active Dealer 10.0 8.7 14.9 % 8.7 11.3 -23.0 % Attrition (2) -6.9 % -7.7 % -7.7 % -8.3 % (1) New active Dealers are Dealers who enrolled in our program and have received funding for their first Loan from us during the period.
Biggest changeThe following table summarizes the changes in Consumer Loan unit volume and active Dealers: For the Years Ended December 31, For the Years Ended December 31, 2023 2022 % Change 2022 2021 % Change Consumer Loan unit volume 332,499 280,467 18.6 % 280,467 268,730 4.4 % Active Dealers (1) 14,174 11,901 19.1 % 11,901 11,410 4.3 % Average volume per active Dealer 23.5 23.6 -0.4 % 23.6 23.6 0.0 % Consumer Loan unit volume from Dealers active both periods 282,008 259,999 8.5 % 250,114 250,214 0.0 % Dealers active both periods 9,506 9,506 — 8,691 8,691 — Average volume per Dealer active both periods 29.7 27.4 8.5 % 28.8 28.8 0.0 % Consumer Loan unit volume from Dealers not active both periods 50,491 20,468 146.7 % 30,353 18,516 63.9 % Dealers not active both periods 4,668 2,395 94.9 % 3,210 2,719 18.1 % Average volume per Dealer not active both periods 10.8 8.5 27.1 % 9.5 6.8 39.7 % (1) Active Dealers are Dealers who have received funding for at least one Consumer Loan during the period. 34 The following table provides additional information on the changes in Consumer Loan unit volume and active Dealers: For the Years Ended December 31, For the Years Ended December 31, 2023 2022 % Change 2022 2021 % Change Consumer Loan unit volume from new active Dealers 46,741 28,223 65.6 % 28,223 18,267 54.5 % New active Dealers (1) 4,070 2,819 44.4 % 2,819 2,094 34.6 % Average volume per new active Dealer 11.5 10.0 15.0 % 10.0 8.7 14.9 % Attrition (2) -7.3 % -6.9 % -6.9 % -7.7 % (1) New active Dealers are Dealers who enrolled in our program and have received funding for their first Loan from us during the period.
We use a statistical model to estimate the expected collection rate for each Consumer Loan at the time of assignment. We continue to evaluate the expected collection rate of each Consumer Loan subsequent to assignment. Our evaluation becomes more accurate as the Consumer Loans age, as we use actual performance data in our forecast.
We use a statistical model to estimate the expected collection rate for each Consumer Loan at the time of assignment. We continue to evaluate the expected collection rate for each Consumer Loan subsequent to assignment. Our evaluation becomes more accurate as the Consumer Loans age, as we use actual performance data in our forecast.
Because our business is focused on consumers who do not qualify for conventional automobile financing, the actual rates of delinquencies, defaults, repossessions, and losses on our Consumer Loans could be higher than those experienced in the general automobile finance industry and could be more dramatically affected by a general economic downturn. Premiums Earned Nature of Estimates Required.
Because our business is focused on consumers who do not qualify for conventional automobile financing, the actual rates of delinquencies, defaults, repossessions, and losses on our Consumer Loans could be higher than those experienced in the general automobile finance industry and could be more dramatically affected by a general economic downturn. 41 Premiums Earned Nature of Estimates Required.
We believe that the following accounting estimates are the most critical to aid in fully understanding and evaluating our reported financial results, and involve a high degree of subjective or complex judgment, and the use of different estimates or assumptions could produce materially different financial results. 36 Finance Charge Revenue & Allowance for Credit Losses Nature of Estimates Required.
We believe that the following accounting estimates are the most critical to aid in fully understanding and evaluating our reported financial results, and involve a high degree of subjective or complex judgment, and the use of different estimates or assumptions could produce materially different financial results. Finance Charge Revenue & Allowance for Credit Losses Nature of Estimates Required.
If the various financing alternatives were to become limited or unavailable to us, our operations and liquidity could be materially and adversely affected. 40 Market Risk We are exposed primarily to market risks associated with movements in interest rates. Our policies and procedures prohibit the use of financial instruments for speculative purposes.
If the various financing alternatives were to become limited or unavailable to us, our operations and liquidity could be materially and adversely affected. Market Risk We are exposed primarily to market risks associated with movements in interest rates. Our policies and procedures prohibit the use of financial instruments for speculative purposes.
The credit quality indicators considered in our model include attributes contained in the consumer’s credit bureau report, data contained in the consumer’s credit application, the structure of the proposed transaction, vehicle information, and other factors. We continue to evaluate the expected collection rate of each Consumer Loan subsequent to assignment primarily through the monitoring of consumer payment behavior.
The credit quality indicators considered in our model include attributes contained in the consumer’s credit bureau report, data contained in the consumer’s credit application, the structure of the proposed transaction, vehicle information, and other factors. We continue to evaluate the expected collection rate for each Consumer Loan subsequent to assignment primarily through the monitoring of consumer payment behavior.
To the extent we prevail in matters for which a liability has been established or are required to pay amounts in excess of our established liability, our effective income tax rate in future periods could be materially affected. Liquidity and Capital Resources We need capital to maintain and grow our business.
To the extent we prevail in matters for which a liability has been established or are required to pay amounts in excess of our established liability, our effective income tax rate in future periods could be materially affected. 42 Liquidity and Capital Resources We need capital to maintain and grow our business.
As of December 31, 2022, we had $200.0 million in floating rate debt outstanding under Term ABS 2022-2, which was covered by an interest rate cap with a cap rate of 6.50% on the underlying benchmark rate.
As of December 31, 2023, we had $200.0 million in floating rate debt outstanding under Term ABS 2022-2, which was covered by an interest rate cap with a cap rate of 6.50% on the underlying benchmark rate.
We estimate the amount and timing of future collections and Dealer Holdback payments. These estimates impact Loans receivable and allowance for credit losses on our balance sheet and finance charges and provision for credit losses on our income statement. Assumptions and Approaches Used.
We estimate the amount and timing of future collections and Dealer Holdback payments. These estimates impact Loans receivable and allowance for credit losses on our balance sheet and finance charges and provision for credit losses on our income statement. 39 Assumptions and Approaches Used.
Payments of Dealer Holdback and accelerated Dealer Holdback are not included. (2) Presented as a percentage of total forecasted collections. The risk of a material change in our forecasted collection rate declines as the Consumer Loans age.
Payments of Dealer Holdback and accelerated Dealer Holdback are not included. (2) Presented as a percentage of total forecasted collections. 31 The risk of a material change in our forecasted collection rate declines as the Consumer Loans age.
For 2018 and prior Consumer Loan assignments, the risk of a material forecast variance is modest, as we have currently realized in excess of 90% of the expected collections. Conversely, the forecasted collection rates for more recent Consumer Loan assignments are less certain as a significant portion of our forecast has not been realized.
For 2019 and prior Consumer Loan assignments, the risk of a material forecast variance is modest, as we have currently realized in excess of 90% of the expected collections. Conversely, the forecasted collection rates for more recent Consumer Loan assignments are less certain as a significant portion of our forecast has not been realized.
For every 100-basis-point increase in interest rates on Term ABS 2021-1 up to the cap rate of 5.50%, annual after-tax earnings would decrease by approximately $0.8 million, assuming we maintain a level amount of floating rate debt.
For every 100-basis-point increase in interest rates on Term ABS 2021-1 up to the cap rate of 5.46%, annual after-tax earnings would decrease by approximately $0.8 million, assuming we maintain a level amount of floating rate debt.
Expected future collections are forecasted for each individual Consumer Loan based on the historical performance of Consumer Loans with similar characteristics, adjusted for recent trends in payment patterns and economic conditions. Our forecast of expected future collections includes estimates for prepayments and post-contractual-term cash flows.
Expected future collections are forecasted for each individual Consumer Loan based on the historical performance of Consumer Loans with similar characteristics, adjusted for recent trends in payment patterns. Our forecast of expected future collections includes estimates for prepayments and post-contractual-term cash flows.
Our primary sources of capital are cash flows from operating activities, collections of Consumer Loans, and borrowings under: (1) a revolving secured line of credit; (2) Warehouse facilities; (3) Term ABS financings; and (4) senior notes.
Our primary sources of capital are cash flows from operating activities, collections of Consumer Loans, and borrowings under: (1) our revolving secured line of credit facility; (2) Warehouse facilities; (3) Term ABS financings; and (4) senior notes.
Discussions of 2020 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2021 and 2020 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Item 7 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021.
Discussions of 2021 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2022 and 2021 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Item 7 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022.
For additional information, see Note 2 and Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Item 8 of this Form 10-K, which is incorporated herein by reference.
For additional information, see Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Item 8 of this Form 10-K, which is incorporated herein by reference.
The following table compares our forecast of Consumer Loan collection rates as of December 31, 2022, with the forecasts as of December 31, 2021, as of December 31, 2020, and at the time of assignment, segmented by year of assignment: Forecasted Collection Percentage as of (1) Current Forecast Variance from Consumer Loan Assignment Year December 31, 2022 December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 Initial Forecast December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 Initial Forecast 2013 73.5 % 73.4 % 73.4 % 72.0 % 0.1 % 0.1 % 1.5 % 2014 71.7 % 71.5 % 71.6 % 71.8 % 0.2 % 0.1 % -0.1 % 2015 65.2 % 65.1 % 65.2 % 67.7 % 0.1 % 0.0 % -2.5 % 2016 63.8 % 63.6 % 63.6 % 65.4 % 0.2 % 0.2 % -1.6 % 2017 64.7 % 64.4 % 64.1 % 64.0 % 0.3 % 0.6 % 0.7 % 2018 65.2 % 65.1 % 64.0 % 63.6 % 0.1 % 1.2 % 1.6 % 2019 66.6 % 66.5 % 64.4 % 64.0 % 0.1 % 2.2 % 2.6 % 2020 67.8 % 67.9 % 64.8 % 63.4 % -0.1 % 3.0 % 4.4 % 2021 66.2 % 66.5 % — 66.3 % -0.3 % — -0.1 % 2022 66.3 % — — 67.5 % — — -1.2 % (1) Represents the total forecasted collections we expect to collect on the Consumer Loans as a percentage of the repayments that we were contractually owed on the Consumer Loans at the time of assignment.
The following table compares our aggregated forecast of Consumer Loan collection rates as of December 31, 2023, with the aggregated forecasts as of December 31, 2022, as of December 31, 2021, and at the time of assignment, segmented by year of assignment: Forecasted Collection Percentage as of (1) Current Forecast Variance from Consumer Loan Assignment Year December 31, 2023 December 31, 2022 December 31, 2021 Initial Forecast December 31, 2022 December 31, 2021 Initial Forecast 2014 71.7 % 71.7 % 71.5 % 71.8 % 0.0 % 0.2 % -0.1 % 2015 65.2 % 65.2 % 65.1 % 67.7 % 0.0 % 0.1 % -2.5 % 2016 63.8 % 63.8 % 63.6 % 65.4 % 0.0 % 0.2 % -1.6 % 2017 64.7 % 64.7 % 64.4 % 64.0 % 0.0 % 0.3 % 0.7 % 2018 65.5 % 65.2 % 65.1 % 63.6 % 0.3 % 0.4 % 1.9 % 2019 66.9 % 66.6 % 66.5 % 64.0 % 0.3 % 0.4 % 2.9 % 2020 67.6 % 67.8 % 67.9 % 63.4 % -0.2 % -0.3 % 4.2 % 2021 64.5 % 66.2 % 66.5 % 66.3 % -1.7 % -2.0 % -1.8 % 2022 62.7 % 66.3 % — 67.5 % -3.6 % — -4.8 % 2023 67.4 % — — 67.5 % — — -0.1 % (1) Represents the total forecasted collections we expect to collect on the Consumer Loans as a percentage of the repayments that we were contractually owed on the Consumer Loans at the time of assignment.
There are various restrictive covenants to which we are subject under each financing arrangement, and we were in compliance with those covenants as of December 31, 2022.
There are various restrictive covenants to which we are subject under each financing arrangement, and we were in compliance with those covenants as of December 31, 2023.
As of December 31, 2022, we had interest rate cap agreements outstanding to manage the interest rate risk on Warehouse Facility II, Warehouse Facility IV, Warehouse Facility V and Warehouse Facility VIII. However, as of December 31, 2022, there was no floating rate debt outstanding under these facilities.
As of December 31, 2023, we had interest rate cap agreements outstanding to manage the interest rate risk on Warehouse Facility IV, Warehouse Facility V, and Warehouse Facility VIII. However, as of December 31, 2023, there was no floating rate debt outstanding under these facilities.
Access to Capital Our strategy for accessing capital on acceptable terms needed to maintain and grow the business is to: (1) maintain consistent financial performance; (2) maintain modest financial leverage; and (3) maintain multiple funding sources. Our funded debt to equity ratio was 2.8 to 1 as of December 31, 2022.
Access to Capital Our strategy for accessing capital on acceptable terms needed to maintain and grow the business is to: (1) maintain consistent financial performance; (2) maintain modest financial leverage; and (3) maintain multiple funding sources. Our funded debt to equity ratio was 2.9 to 1 as of December 31, 2023.
Forecasted Collection % as of Spread % as of Consumer Loan Assignment Year December 31, 2022 Initial Forecast Advance % (1) December 31, 2022 Initial Forecast % of Forecast Realized (2) 2013 73.5 % 72.0 % 47.6 % 25.9 % 24.4 % 99.8 % 2014 71.7 % 71.8 % 47.7 % 24.0 % 24.1 % 99.6 % 2015 65.2 % 67.7 % 44.5 % 20.7 % 23.2 % 99.1 % 2016 63.8 % 65.4 % 43.8 % 20.0 % 21.6 % 98.6 % 2017 64.7 % 64.0 % 43.2 % 21.5 % 20.8 % 97.3 % 2018 65.2 % 63.6 % 43.5 % 21.7 % 20.1 % 92.7 % 2019 66.6 % 64.0 % 44.0 % 22.6 % 20.0 % 83.7 % 2020 67.8 % 63.4 % 43.9 % 23.9 % 19.5 % 69.6 % 2021 66.2 % 66.3 % 46.0 % 20.2 % 20.3 % 47.7 % 2022 66.3 % 67.5 % 47.4 % 18.9 % 20.1 % 14.6 % (1) Represents advances paid to Dealers on Consumer Loans assigned under our Portfolio Program and one-time payments made to Dealers to purchase Consumer Loans assigned under our Purchase Program as a percentage of the initial balance of the Consumer Loans.
Forecasted Collection % as of Spread % as of Consumer Loan Assignment Year December 31, 2023 Initial Forecast Advance % (1) December 31, 2023 Initial Forecast % of Forecast Realized (2) 2014 71.7 % 71.8 % 47.7 % 24.0 % 24.1 % 99.8 % 2015 65.2 % 67.7 % 44.5 % 20.7 % 23.2 % 99.5 % 2016 63.8 % 65.4 % 43.8 % 20.0 % 21.6 % 99.1 % 2017 64.7 % 64.0 % 43.2 % 21.5 % 20.8 % 98.7 % 2018 65.5 % 63.6 % 43.5 % 22.0 % 20.1 % 96.9 % 2019 66.9 % 64.0 % 44.0 % 22.9 % 20.0 % 92.5 % 2020 67.6 % 63.4 % 43.9 % 23.7 % 19.5 % 83.7 % 2021 64.5 % 66.3 % 46.0 % 18.5 % 20.3 % 69.1 % 2022 62.7 % 67.5 % 47.4 % 15.3 % 20.1 % 43.5 % 2023 67.4 % 67.5 % 46.2 % 21.2 % 21.3 % 14.2 % (1) Represents advances paid to Dealers on Consumer Loans assigned under our Portfolio Program and one-time payments made to Dealers to purchase Consumer Loans assigned under our Purchase Program as a percentage of the initial balance of the Consumer Loans.
For information regarding these financings and the covenants included in the related documents, see Note 9 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Item 8 of this Form 10-K, which is incorporated herein by reference. On June 16, 2022, we completed a $350.0 million Term ABS financing, which was used to repay outstanding indebtedness and for general corporate purposes.
For information regarding these financings and the covenants included in the related documents, see Note 9 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Item 8 of this Form 10-K, which is incorporated herein by reference. On March 16, 2023, we completed a $400.0 million Term ABS financing, which was used to repay outstanding indebtedness and for general corporate purposes.
Additionally, higher gasoline prices, increased focus on climate-related initiatives and regulation, declining stock market values, unstable real estate values, resets of adjustable rate mortgages to higher interest rates, increasing unemployment levels, general availability of consumer credit, or other factors that impact consumer confidence or disposable income could increase loss frequency and decrease consumer demand for automobiles as well as weaken collateral values of automobiles.
Additionally, inflation, higher gasoline prices, the deferral or resumption of student loan payments, increased focus on climate-related initiatives and regulation, declining stock market values, unstable real estate values, resets of adjustable rate mortgages to higher interest rates, increasing unemployment levels, general availability of consumer credit, or other factors that impact consumer confidence or disposable income could increase loss frequency and decrease consumer demand for automobiles as well as weaken collateral values of automobiles.
Key Factors. Variances in the amount and timing of future net cash flows from current estimates could materially impact earnings in future periods. A 1% decline in the forecasted future net cash flows on Loans as of December 31, 2022 would have reduced 2022 consolidated net income by approximately $45.9 million.
Key Factors. Variances in the amount and timing of future net cash flows from current estimates could materially impact earnings in future periods. A 1% decline in the forecasted future net cash flows on Loans as of December 31, 2023 would have reduced 2023 consolidated net income by approximately $51.2 million.
Dealer Loans Purchased Loans Consumer Loan Assignment Year Forecasted Collection % (1) Advance % (1)(2) Spread % Forecasted Collection % (1) Advance % (1)(2) Spread % 2013 73.4 % 47.2 % 26.2 % 74.3 % 51.5 % 22.8 % 2014 71.6 % 47.2 % 24.4 % 72.5 % 51.8 % 20.7 % 2015 64.5 % 43.4 % 21.1 % 68.9 % 50.2 % 18.7 % 2016 63.0 % 42.1 % 20.9 % 66.0 % 48.6 % 17.4 % 2017 64.0 % 42.1 % 21.9 % 66.3 % 45.8 % 20.5 % 2018 64.6 % 42.7 % 21.9 % 66.4 % 45.2 % 21.2 % 2019 66.3 % 43.1 % 23.2 % 67.2 % 45.6 % 21.6 % 2020 67.7 % 43.0 % 24.7 % 68.0 % 45.5 % 22.5 % 2021 66.0 % 45.1 % 20.9 % 66.7 % 47.7 % 19.0 % 2022 65.8 % 46.4 % 19.4 % 67.4 % 50.1 % 17.3 % (1) The forecasted collection rates and advance rates presented for Dealer Loans and Purchased Loans reflect the Consumer Loan classification at the time of assignment.
Dealer Loans Purchased Loans Consumer Loan Assignment Year Forecasted Collection % (1) Advance % (1)(2) Spread % Forecasted Collection % (1) Advance % (1)(2) Spread % 2014 71.6 % 47.2 % 24.4 % 72.6 % 51.8 % 20.8 % 2015 64.6 % 43.4 % 21.2 % 68.9 % 50.2 % 18.7 % 2016 63.0 % 42.1 % 20.9 % 66.1 % 48.6 % 17.5 % 2017 64.0 % 42.1 % 21.9 % 66.3 % 45.8 % 20.5 % 2018 64.9 % 42.7 % 22.2 % 66.8 % 45.2 % 21.6 % 2019 66.5 % 43.1 % 23.4 % 67.5 % 45.6 % 21.9 % 2020 67.4 % 43.0 % 24.4 % 67.8 % 45.5 % 22.3 % 2021 64.2 % 45.1 % 19.1 % 65.0 % 47.7 % 17.3 % 2022 62.0 % 46.4 % 15.6 % 64.3 % 50.1 % 14.2 % 2023 66.4 % 44.8 % 21.6 % 70.1 % 49.8 % 20.3 % (1) The forecasted collection rates and advance rates presented for Dealer Loans and Purchased Loans reflect the Consumer Loan classification at the time of assignment.
The decrease in consolidated net income was primarily due to an increase in provision for credit losses, a decrease in finance charges, and an increase in operating expenses. The increase in provision for credit losses was primarily due to a decline in Consumer Loan performance.
The decrease in consolidated net income was primarily due to an increase in provision for credit losses, a decrease in finance charges, and an increase in operating expenses.
Variances in the pattern of future claims from our current estimates would impact the timing of premiums recognized in future periods. A 10% change in premiums earned for the year ended December 31, 2022 would have affected 2022 consolidated net income by approximately $4.8 million. 38 Contingencies Nature of Estimates Required.
Variances in the pattern of future claims from our current estimates would impact the timing of premiums recognized in future periods. A 10% change in premiums earned for the year ended December 31, 2023 would have affected 2023 consolidated net income by approximately $6.1 million. Contingencies Nature of Estimates Required.
As of December 31, 2022 and 2021, the net Dealer Loans receivable balance was 64.7% and 61.3%, respectively, of the total net Loans receivable balance. 33 Results of Operations The following is a discussion of our 2022 and 2021 results of operations and income statement data on a consolidated basis, including year-to-year comparisons between 2022 and 2021.
As of December 31, 2023 and 2022, the net Dealer Loans receivable balance was 67.7% and 64.7%, respectively, of the total net Loans receivable balance. 35 Results of Operations The following is a discussion of our 2023 and 2022 results of operations and income statement data on a consolidated basis, including year-to-year comparisons between 2023 and 2022.
The results for 2022 include the impact of forecasting methodology changes implemented during the first quarter, which upon implementation increased our estimate of future net cash flows by $95.7 million and reduced our provision for credit losses by $70.6 million.
The $59.7 million decrease in forecasted net cash flows during 2022 included the impact of forecasting methodology changes implemented during the first quarter of 2022, which upon implementation increased our estimate of future net cash flows by $95.7 million and reduced our provision for credit losses by $70.6 million.
As of December 31, 2022, we had $30.9 million of floating rate debt outstanding on our revolving secured line of credit, without interest rate protection. For every 100-basis-point increase in interest rates on our revolving secured line of credit, annual after-tax earnings would decrease by approximately $0.2 million, assuming we maintain a level amount of floating rate debt.
As of December 31, 2023, we had $79.2 million of floating rate debt outstanding under our revolving secured lines of credit, without interest rate protection. For every 100-basis-point increase in interest rates on our revolving secured lines of credit, annual after-tax earnings would decrease by approximately $0.6 million, assuming we maintain a level amount of floating rate debt.
As of December 31, 2022, we did not have a balance outstanding under Warehouse Facility VI, which does not have interest rate protection. As of December 31, 2022, we had $100.0 million in floating rate debt outstanding under Term ABS 2021-1, which was covered by an interest rate cap with a cap rate of 5.50% on the underlying benchmark rate.
As of December 31, 2023, we did not have a balance outstanding under Warehouse Facility II and Warehouse Facility VI, which do not have interest rate protection. 44 As of December 31, 2023, we had $100.0 million in floating rate debt outstanding under Term ABS 2021-1, which was covered by an interest rate cap with a cap rate of 5.46% on the underlying benchmark rate.
The following table shows the percentage of Consumer Loans assigned to us under each of the programs for each of the last three years: Unit Volume Dollar Volume (1) For the Years Ended December 31, Portfolio Program Purchase Program Portfolio Program Purchase Program 2020 64.1 % 35.9 % 60.6 % 39.4 % 2021 67.9 % 32.1 % 65.0 % 35.0 % 2022 73.5 % 26.5 % 69.8 % 30.2 % (1) Represents advances paid to Dealers on Consumer Loans assigned under our Portfolio Program and one-time payments made to Dealers to purchase Consumer Loans assigned under our Purchase Program.
The following table shows the percentage of Consumer Loans assigned to us under each of the programs for each of the last three years: Unit Volume Dollar Volume (1) For the Years Ended December 31, Portfolio Program Purchase Program Portfolio Program Purchase Program 2021 67.9 % 32.1 % 65.0 % 35.0 % 2022 73.5 % 26.5 % 69.8 % 30.2 % 2023 74.0 % 26.0 % 70.7 % 29.3 % (1) Represents advances paid to Dealers on Consumer Loans assigned under our Portfolio Program and one-time payments made to Dealers to purchase Consumer Loans assigned under our Purchase Program.
The financing has an expected annualized cost of approximately 5.4% (including the initial purchasers’ fees and other costs), and it will revolve for 24 months, after which it will amortize based upon the cash flows on the contributed Loans.
The financing has an expected average annualized cost of 7.3% (including the initial purchasers’ fees and other costs), and it will revolve for 24 months, after which it will amortize based upon the cash flows on the underlying Loans.
Based on the actual principal amounts outstanding under our revolving secured line of credit, our Warehouse facilities, our Term ABS financings, and our senior notes as of December 31, 2022, the forecasted principal amounts outstanding on all other debt, and the actual interest rates in effect as of December 31, 2022, interest is expected to be approximately $164.5 million during 2023; $145.7 million during 2024; and $99.9 million during 2025 and thereafter.
Based on the actual principal amounts outstanding under our revolving secured line of credit facility, our Warehouse facilities, our Term ABS financings, and our senior notes as of December 31, 2023, the forecasted principal amounts outstanding on all other debt, and the actual interest rates in effect as of December 31, 2023, interest is expected to be approximately $303.0 million during 2024; $249.7 million during 2025; and $219.4 million during 2026 and thereafter.
Prior to this amendment, the amount of the facility was set to decrease by $35.0 million on June 22, 2022; however, this amendment increased the amount of the facility by $10.0 million, resulting in a net decrease of $25.0 million, from $435.0 million to $410.0 million.
Prior to this amendment, the amount of the facility was set to decrease by $25.0 million on June 22, 2023; however, this amendment increased the amount of the facility by $5.0 million, resulting in a net decrease of $20.0 million, from $410.0 million to $390.0 million.
The decrease of $56.3 million, or 3.2%, was due to a decline in the average net Loans receivable balance, partially offset by an increase in the average yield on our Loan portfolio, as follows: (Dollars in millions) For the Years Ended December 31, 2022 2021 Change Average net Loans receivable balance $ 6,311.3 $ 6,694.9 $ (383.6) Average yield on our Loan portfolio 26.7 % 26.0 % 0.7 % The following table summarizes the impact each component had on the overall decrease in finance charges for the year ended December 31, 2022: (In millions) Impact on finance charges: For the Year Ended December 31, 2022 Due to a decrease in the average net Loans receivable balance $ (99.8) Due to an increase in the average yield 43.5 Total decrease in finance charges $ (56.3) The decrease in the average net Loans receivable balance was primarily due to the principal collected on Loans receivable exceeding the dollar volume of new Consumer Loan assignments.
The increase of $69.1 million, or 4.1%, was primarily due to an increase in the average net Loans receivable balance, as follows: (Dollars in millions) For the Years Ended December 31, 2023 2022 Change Average net Loans receivable balance $ 6,627.8 $ 6,311.3 $ 316.5 Average yield on our Loan portfolio 26.5 % 26.7 % -0.2 % The following table summarizes the impact each component had on the overall increase in finance charges for the year ended December 31, 2023: (In millions) Impact on finance charges: For the Year Ended December 31, 2023 Due to an increase in the average net Loans receivable balance $ 84.6 Due to a decrease in the average yield (15.5) Total increase in finance charges $ 69.1 37 The increase in the average net Loans receivable balance was primarily due to the dollar volume of new Consumer Loan assignments exceeding the principal collected on Loans receivable.
Under CECL, changes in the amount and timing of forecasted net cash flows are recorded as a provision for credit losses in the period of change. 37 The removal of the COVID forecast adjustment and the implementation of the enhanced forecasting methodology during the first quarter of 2022 impacted forecasted net cash flows and provision for credit losses as follows: (In millions) Increase / (Decrease) in Forecasting Methodology Changes Forecasted Net Cash Flows Provision for Credit Losses Removal of COVID forecast adjustment $ 149.5 $ (118.5) Implementation of enhanced forecasting methodology (53.8) 47.9 Total $ 95.7 $ (70.6) Our provision for credit losses for the year ended December 31, 2022, included: • $343.7 million provision for credit losses on new Consumer Loan assignments, which reduced consolidated net income by $264.6 million, or $19.42 per diluted share; and • $137.7 million provision for credit losses on forecast changes related to changes in the amount and timing of expected future net cash flows, which reduced consolidated net income by $106.0 million, or $7.78 per diluted share.
The removal of the COVID forecast adjustment and the implementation of the enhanced forecasting methodology during the first quarter of 2022 impacted forecasted net cash flows and provision for credit losses as follows: (In millions) Increase / (Decrease) in Forecasting Methodology Changes Forecasted Net Cash Flows Provision for Credit Losses Removal of COVID forecast adjustment $ 149.5 $ (118.5) Implementation of enhanced forecasting methodology (53.8) 47.9 Total $ 95.7 $ (70.6) Our provision for credit losses for the year ended December 31, 2023, included: • $322.5 million provision for credit losses on new Consumer Loan assignments, which reduced consolidated net income by $248.3 million, or $19.08 per diluted share; and • $413.7 million provision for credit losses on forecast changes related to changes in the amount and timing of expected future net cash flows, which reduced consolidated net income by $318.5 million, or $24.48 per diluted share.
New Accounting Update Not Yet Adopted See Note 2 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Item 8 of this Form 10-K, which is incorporated herein by reference, for information concerning the following new accounting update and the impact of the implementation of this update on our financial statements: • Troubled Debt Restructurings and Vintage Disclosures. 41 Forward-Looking Statements We make forward-looking statements in this report and may make such statements in future filings with the SEC.
New Accounting Update Not Yet Adopted See Note 2 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Item 8 of this Form 10-K, which is incorporated herein by reference, for information concerning the following new accounting update and the impact of the implementation of this update on our financial statements: • Disclosure Improvements: Codification Amendments in Response to the SEC’s Disclosure Update and Simplification Initiative. • Improvements to Reportable Segment Disclosures • Improvements to Income Tax Disclosures Forward-Looking Statements We make forward-looking statements in this report and may make such statements in future filings with the SEC.
As of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, we had $4,590.7 million and $4,616.3 million, respectively, of total balance sheet indebtedness.
As of December 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, we had $5,067.5 million and $4,590.7 million, respectively, of total balance sheet indebtedness.
(4) Purchase obligations consist primarily of contractual obligations related to our information system and facility needs. Based upon anticipated cash flows, management believes that cash flows from operations and our various financing alternatives will provide sufficient financing for debt maturities and for future operations. Our ability to borrow funds may be impacted by economic and financial market conditions.
Based upon anticipated cash flows, management believes that cash flows from operations and our various financing alternatives will provide sufficient financing for debt maturities and for future operations. Our ability to borrow funds may be impacted by economic and financial market conditions.
The decrease in the spread from 2021 to 2022 was primarily the result of the performance of 2022 Consumer Loans, which performed worse than our initial estimates. 30 The following table compares our forecast of Consumer Loan collection rates as of December 31, 2022 with the forecasts at the time of assignment, for Dealer Loans and Purchased Loans separately: Dealer Loans Purchased Loans Forecasted Collection Percentage as of (1) Forecasted Collection Percentage as of (1) Consumer Loan Assignment Year December 31, 2022 Initial Forecast Variance December 31, 2022 Initial Forecast Variance 2013 73.4 % 72.1 % 1.3 % 74.3 % 71.6 % 2.7 % 2014 71.6 % 71.9 % -0.3 % 72.5 % 70.9 % 1.6 % 2015 64.5 % 67.5 % -3.0 % 68.9 % 68.5 % 0.4 % 2016 63.0 % 65.1 % -2.1 % 66.0 % 66.5 % -0.5 % 2017 64.0 % 63.8 % 0.2 % 66.3 % 64.6 % 1.7 % 2018 64.6 % 63.6 % 1.0 % 66.4 % 63.5 % 2.9 % 2019 66.3 % 63.9 % 2.4 % 67.2 % 64.2 % 3.0 % 2020 67.7 % 63.3 % 4.4 % 68.0 % 63.6 % 4.4 % 2021 66.0 % 66.3 % -0.3 % 66.7 % 66.3 % 0.4 % 2022 65.8 % 67.3 % -1.5 % 67.4 % 68.0 % -0.6 % (1) The forecasted collection rates presented for Dealer Loans and Purchased Loans reflect the Consumer Loan classification at the time of assignment.
The following table compares our forecast of aggregate Consumer Loan collection rates as of December 31, 2023 with the forecasts at the time of assignment, for Dealer Loans and Purchased Loans separately: Dealer Loans Purchased Loans Forecasted Collection Percentage as of (1) Forecasted Collection Percentage as of (1) Consumer Loan Assignment Year December 31, 2023 Initial Forecast Variance December 31, 2023 Initial Forecast Variance 2014 71.6 % 71.9 % -0.3 % 72.6 % 70.9 % 1.7 % 2015 64.6 % 67.5 % -2.9 % 68.9 % 68.5 % 0.4 % 2016 63.0 % 65.1 % -2.1 % 66.1 % 66.5 % -0.4 % 2017 64.0 % 63.8 % 0.2 % 66.3 % 64.6 % 1.7 % 2018 64.9 % 63.6 % 1.3 % 66.8 % 63.5 % 3.3 % 2019 66.5 % 63.9 % 2.6 % 67.5 % 64.2 % 3.3 % 2020 67.4 % 63.3 % 4.1 % 67.8 % 63.6 % 4.2 % 2021 64.2 % 66.3 % -2.1 % 65.0 % 66.3 % -1.3 % 2022 62.0 % 67.3 % -5.3 % 64.3 % 68.0 % -3.7 % 2023 66.4 % 66.8 % -0.4 % 70.1 % 69.4 % 0.7 % (1) The forecasted collection rates presented for Dealer Loans and Purchased Loans reflect the Consumer Loan classification at the time of assignment.
A summary as of December 31, 2022 of our material financial obligations requiring future repayments is as follows: (In millions) Payments Due as of December 31, 2022 In less than 12 months In 12 months or more Total Long-term debt, including current maturities (1) $ 1,507.9 $ 3,108.6 $ 4,616.5 Dealer Holdback (2) 215.7 741.5 957.2 Operating lease obligations (3) 0.7 0.7 1.4 Purchase obligations (4) 2.7 7.1 9.8 Total financial obligations $ 1,727.0 $ 3,857.9 $ 5,584.9 (1) The amounts presented consist solely of principal and do not reflect deferred debt issuance costs of $22.4 million and unamortized debt discount of $3.4 million.
A summary as of December 31, 2023 of our material financial obligations requiring future repayments is as follows: (In millions) Payments Due as of December 31, 2023 In less than 12 months In 12 months or more Total Long-term debt, including current maturities (1) $ 953.4 $ 4,153.2 $ 5,106.6 Dealer Holdback (2) 202.9 562.9 765.8 Operating lease obligations (3) 1.5 1.5 3.0 Purchase obligations (4) 7.0 4.6 11.6 Total financial obligations $ 1,164.8 $ 4,722.2 $ 5,887.0 (1) The amounts presented consist solely of principal and do not reflect deferred debt issuance costs of $36.6 million and unamortized debt discount of $2.5 million.
On November 3, 2022, we completed a $389.9 million Term ABS financing, which was used to repay outstanding indebtedness and for general corporate purposes.
On November 30, 2023, we completed a $200.0 million Term ABS financing, which was used to repay outstanding indebtedness and for general corporate purposes.
Our pricing strategy is intended to maximize the amount of economic profit we generate, within the confines of capital and infrastructure constraints. During 2022, unit and dollar volumes increased 4.4% and 14.5%, respectively, as the number of active Dealers increased 4.3% while average volume per active Dealer remained consistent with prior year.
Our pricing strategy is intended to maximize the amount of economic profit we generate, within the confines of capital and infrastructure constraints. During 2023, unit and dollar volumes increased 18.6% and 14.4%, respectively, as the number of active Dealers increased 19.1% while average volume per active Dealer decreased 0.4%.
Our results for the year ended December 31, 2022 included: • A decrease in forecasted collection rates for Consumer Loans assigned in 2021 and 2022, which decreased forecasted net cash flows from our loan portfolio by $59.7 million, or 0.7%. • Forecasted profitability per Consumer Loan assignment that significantly exceeded our initial estimates for Consumer Loans assigned in 2018 through 2020 and was significantly less than our initial estimates for Consumer Loans assigned in 2022. • An increase in Consumer Loan assignment volume, as unit and dollar volumes increased 4.4% and 14.5%, respectively, as compared to 2021. • Stock repurchases of approximately 1.5 million shares, which represented 10.4% of the shares outstanding at the beginning of the year.
Our results for the year ended December 31, 2022 included: • A decrease in forecasted collection rates The decrease in forecasted collection rates decreased forecasted net cash flows from our Loan portfolio by $59.7 million, or 0.7%, compared to an increase in forecasted collection rates during 2021 that increased forecasted net cash flows from our Loan portfolio by $326.1 million, or 3.4%. • A decrease in forecasted profitability for Consumer Loans assigned in 2021 and 2022 Forecasted profitability for Consumer Loans assigned in 2022 was lower than our initial estimates and forecasted profitability for Consumer Loans assigned in 2021 was lower than our estimates at December 31, 2021, due to a decline in forecasted collection rates during 2022. • Growth in Consumer Loan assignment volume and a decline in the average balance of our Loan portfolio Unit and dollar volumes grew 4.4% and 14.5%, respectively, as compared to 2021.
Consumer Loan Volume The following table summarizes changes in Consumer Loan assignment volume in each of the last three years as compared to the same period in the previous year: Year over Year Percent Change For the Year Ended December 31, Unit Volume Dollar Volume (1) 2020 -7.5 % -3.5 % 2021 -21.4 % -13.0 % 2022 4.4 % 14.5 % (1) Represents advances paid to Dealers on Consumer Loans assigned under our Portfolio Program and one-time payments made to Dealers to purchase Consumer Loans assigned under our Purchase Program.
We currently utilize the following primary forms of debt financing: (1) our revolving secured line of credit facility; (2) Warehouse facilities; (3) Term ABS financings; and (4) senior notes. 33 Consumer Loan Volume The following table summarizes changes in Consumer Loan assignment volume in each of the last three years as compared to the same period in the previous year: Year over Year Percent Change For the Year Ended December 31, Unit Volume Dollar Volume (1) 2021 -21.4 % -13.0 % 2022 4.4 % 14.5 % 2023 18.6 % 14.4 % (1) Represents advances paid to Dealers on Consumer Loans assigned under our Portfolio Program and one-time payments made to Dealers to purchase Consumer Loans assigned under our Purchase Program.
We also recognize provision for credit losses on forecast changes in the amount and timing of expected future net cash flows subsequent to assignment.
We recognize provision for credit losses on new Consumer Loan assignments for contractual net cash flows that are not expected to be realized at the time of assignment. We also recognize provision for credit losses on forecast changes in the amount and timing of expected future net cash flows subsequent to assignment.
We do not believe the CECL methodology we employ under GAAP provides sufficient transparency into the economics of our business due to its asymmetry requiring us to recognize a significant provision for credit losses expense at the time of assignment for contractual net cash flows we never expect to realize and to recognize in subsequent periods finance charge revenue that is significantly in excess of our expected yields.
Under the GAAP methodology we employ, which is known as the current expected credit loss model, or CECL, we are required to recognize: • a significant provision for credit losses expense at the time of the Loan’s assignment to us for contractual net cash flows we do not expect to realize; and • finance charge revenue in subsequent periods that is significantly in excess of our expected yields.
Our provision for credit losses for the year ended December 31, 2021, included: • $365.1 million provision for credit losses on new Consumer Loan assignments, which reduced consolidated net income by $281.1 million, or $17.46 per diluted share; and • $356.7 million reversal of provision for credit losses on forecast changes related to changes in the amount and timing of expected future net cash flows, which increased consolidated net income by $274.7 million, or $17.06 per diluted share.
Our provision for credit losses for the year ended December 31, 2022, included: • $343.7 million provision for credit losses on new Consumer Loan assignments, which reduced consolidated net income by $264.6 million, or $19.42 per diluted share; and • $137.7 million provision for credit losses on forecast changes related to changes in the amount and timing of expected future net cash flows, which reduced consolidated net income by $106.0 million, or $7.78 per diluted share.
Dollar volume increased more than unit volume in 2022 due to an increase in the average advance paid per unit. This increase was the result of an increase in the average size of the Consumer Loans assigned, primarily due to an increase in the average vehicle selling price.
This increase was the result of an increase in the average size of the Consumer Loans assigned, primarily due to an increase in the average vehicle selling price.
Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $7.7 million as of December 31, 2022 from $23.3 million as of December 31, 2021. As of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, we had $1,554.1 million and $1,532.4 million, respectively, in unused and available lines of credit.
Cash and cash equivalents increased to $13.2 million as of December 31, 2023 from $7.7 million as of December 31, 2022. As of December 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, we had $1,505.8 million and $1,554.1 million, respectively, in unused and available lines of credit.
(2) We have contractual obligations to pay Dealer Holdback to our Dealers. Payments of Dealer Holdback are contingent upon the receipt of consumer payments and the repayment of advances. The amounts presented represent our forecast as of December 31, 2022. (3) A lease liability of $1.3 million is recognized within accounts payable and accrued liabilities in our consolidated balance sheets.
(2) We have contractual obligations to pay Dealer Holdback to Dealers. Payments of Dealer Holdback are contingent upon the receipt of consumer payments and the repayment of advances. The amounts presented represent our forecast as of December 31, 2023.
Forecasted collection rates are negatively impacted by canceled Consumer Loans as the contractual amount owed is not removed from the denominator for purposes of computing forecasted collection rates in the table.
Forecasted collection rates are negatively impacted by canceled Consumer Loans as the contractual amount owed is not removed from the denominator for purposes of computing forecasted collection rates. 32 The following table presents aggregate forecasted Consumer Loan collection rates, advance rates, and spreads (the forecasted collection rate less the advance rate) as of December 31, 2023 for Dealer Loans and Purchased Loans separately.
The increase of $30.3 million, or 57.1%, was primarily due to: • A $20.4 million increase in ancillary product profit sharing income, primarily due to a decrease in average claim rates on GAP contracts and $5.9 million of income recognized in 2022 related to an inception-to-date adjustment to premium recognition timing based on our historical claims experience on GAP contracts. • A $5.6 million increase in remarketing fee income for fees related to the repossession and remarketing of vehicles, which included $3.1 million of fees charged to dealers in 2022 for repossession activity that occurred from August 2020 through December 2021. • A $5.4 million increase in interest income earned on restricted cash and cash equivalents primarily due to an increase in benchmark interest rates.
The decrease of $16.5 million, or 19.8%, was primarily due to: • A $26.5 million decrease in ancillary product profit sharing income, primarily due to: • Increases in average claim rates and volume of claims on GAP contracts. • $5.9 million of income recognized in 2022 related to an inception-to-date adjustment to premium recognition timing based on our historical claims experience on GAP contracts. • A $2.7 million decrease in remarketing fee income for fees charged to Dealers related to the repossession and remarketing of vehicles.
The financing has an expected annualized cost of approximately 8.5% (including the initial purchasers’ fees and other costs), and it will revolve for 24 months, after which it will amortize based upon the cash flows on the contributed Loans. On December 15, 2022, we completed a $200.0 million Term ABS financing, which was used to repay outstanding indebtedness.
The financing has an expected average annualized cost of 6.8% (including the initial purchasers’ fees and other costs), and it will revolve for 24 months, after which it will amortize based upon the cash flows on the underlying Loans.
The following table summarizes the provision for credit losses for each of these components: (In millions) For the Years Ended December 31, Provision for Credit Losses 2022 2021 Change New Consumer Loan assignments $ 343.7 $ 365.1 $ (21.4) Forecast changes 137.7 (356.7) 494.4 Total $ 481.4 $ 8.4 $ 473.0 The decrease in provision for credit losses related to new Consumer Loan assignments was due to a decrease in the average provision for credit losses per Consumer Loan assignment primarily due to a decrease in Purchased Loans as a percentage of total unit volume, partially offset by a 4.4% increase in Consumer Loan assignment unit volume.
The following table summarizes the provision for credit losses for each of these components: (In millions) For the Years Ended December 31, Provision for Credit Losses 2023 2022 Change Forecast changes $ 413.7 $ 137.7 $ 276.0 New Consumer Loan assignments 322.5 343.7 (21.2) Total $ 736.2 $ 481.4 $ 254.8 The increase in provision for credit losses related to forecast changes was primarily due to a greater decline in Consumer Loan performance during 2023 compared to 2022.
The spread between the forecasted collection rate and the advance rate has ranged from 18.9% to 25.9% over the last 10 years. The spreads in 2019 and 2020 were positively impacted by Consumer Loan performance, which has exceeded our initial estimates by a greater margin than the other years presented.
The spreads with respect to 2019 and 2020 Consumer Loans have been positively impacted by Consumer Loan performance, which has exceeded our initial estimates by a greater margin than the other years presented.
Additionally, 2022 Consumer Loans in our Purchased Loan portfolio had a lower initial spread, primarily due to the advance rate increasing by a greater margin than the initial forecast on 2022 Consumer Loans in our Purchased Loan portfolio.
The increase was primarily as a result of Consumer Loan performance, as the performance of 2022 Dealer Loans has been significantly lower than our initial estimates. Additionally, 2023 Dealer Loans had a higher initial spread, due to the advance rate decreasing by a greater margin than the initial forecast.
The COVID-19 pandemic created conditions that increased the level of uncertainty associated with our estimate of the amount and timing of future net cash flows from our Loan portfolio.
The implementation of the adjustment to our forecasting methodology during the second quarter of 2023 reduced forecasted net cash flows by $44.5 million, or 0.5%, and increased provision for credit losses by $71.3 million. 40 The COVID-19 pandemic created conditions that increased the level of uncertainty associated with our estimate of the amount and timing of future net cash flows from our Loan portfolio.
With this in mind, we establish advance rates that are intended to allow us to achieve acceptable levels of profitability, even if collection rates are less than we initially forecast. 29 The following table presents forecasted Consumer Loan collection rates, advance rates, the spread (the forecasted collection rate less the advance rate), and the percentage of the forecasted collections that had been realized as of December 31, 2022, as well as the forecasted collection rates and spread at the time of assignment.
The following table presents aggregate forecasted Consumer Loan collection rates, advance rates, and spreads (the forecasted collection rate less the advance rate), and the percentage of the forecasted collections that had been realized as of December 31, 2023, as well as forecasted collection rates and spreads at the time of assignment.
The decrease in provision for credit losses was primarily due to an improvement in Consumer Loan performance and a decrease in new Consumer Loan assignment volume.
The decrease in provision for credit losses related to new Consumer Loan assignments was due to a 20.9% decrease in the average provision per new Consumer Loan assignment, partially offset by an 18.6% increase in Consumer Loan assignment unit volume.
Contractual repayments include both principal and interest. Forecasted collection rates are negatively impacted by canceled Consumer Loans as the contractual amount owed is not removed from the denominator for purposes of computing forecasted collection rates in the table.
Forecasted collection rates are negatively impacted by canceled Consumer Loans as the contractual amount owed is not removed from the denominator for purposes of computing forecasted collection rates. 29 Consumer Loans assigned in 2018 through 2020 have yielded forecasted collection results significantly better than our initial estimates, while Consumer Loans assigned in 2015, 2016, 2021, and 2022 have yielded forecasted collection results significantly worse than our initial estimates.
On June 16, 2022, we extended the date on which our $300.0 million Warehouse Facility IV will cease to revolve from November 17, 2023 to May 20, 2025. On June 22, 2022, we extended the maturity of our revolving secured line of credit facility from June 22, 2024 to June 22, 2025.
On June 22, 2023, we extended the maturity of our revolving secured line of credit facility from June 22, 2025 to June 22, 2026.
For the year ended December 31, 2021, forecasted collection rates improved for Consumer Loans assigned in 2017 through 2021 and were generally consistent with expectations at the start of the period for all other assignment years presented. 28 The changes in forecasted collection rates impacted forecasted net cash flows (forecasted collections less forecasted Dealer Holdback payments) as follows: (In millions) For the Years Ended December 31, Increase (Decrease) in Forecasted Net Cash Flows 2022 2021 2020 Dealer Loans $ (41.6) $ 87.7 $ (41.1) Purchased Loans (18.1) 238.4 (5.2) Total $ (59.7) $ 326.1 $ (46.3) The following table presents information on the average Consumer Loan assignment for each of the last 10 years: Average Consumer Loan Assignment Year Consumer Loan (1) Advance (2) Initial Loan Term (in months) 2013 $ 15,445 $ 7,344 47 2014 15,692 7,492 47 2015 16,354 7,272 50 2016 18,218 7,976 53 2017 20,230 8,746 55 2018 22,158 9,635 57 2019 23,139 10,174 57 2020 24,262 10,656 59 2021 25,632 11,790 59 2022 27,242 12,924 60 (1) Represents the repayments that we were contractually owed on Consumer Loans at the time of assignment, which include both principal and interest.
Forecasting collection rates accurately is challenging, so we have designed our business model to produce acceptable levels of profitability across our portfolio, even if Loan performance is less than forecasted in the aggregate. 30 The following table presents information on Consumer Loan assignments for each of the last 10 years: Average Total Assignment Volume Consumer Loan Assignment Year Consumer Loan (1) Advance (2) Initial Loan Term (in months) Unit Volume Dollar Volume (2) (in millions) 2014 $ 15,692 $ 7,492 47 223,998 $ 1,675.7 2015 16,354 7,272 50 298,288 2,167.0 2016 18,218 7,976 53 330,710 2,635.5 2017 20,230 8,746 55 328,507 2,873.1 2018 22,158 9,635 57 373,329 3,595.8 2019 23,139 10,174 57 369,805 3,772.2 2020 24,262 10,656 59 341,967 3,641.2 2021 25,632 11,790 59 268,730 3,167.8 2022 27,242 12,924 60 280,467 3,625.3 2023 27,025 12,475 61 332,499 4,147.8 (1) Represents the repayments that we were contractually owed on Consumer Loans at the time of assignment, which include both principal and interest.
For the year ended December 31, 2021, consolidated net income was $958.3 million, or $59.52 per diluted share, compared to $421.0 million, or $23.47 per diluted share, for the same period in 2020. The increase in consolidated net income was primarily due to a decrease in provision for credit losses and an increase in finance charges.
For the year ended December 31, 2023, consolidated net income was $286.1 million, or $21.99 per diluted share, compared to $535.8 million, or $39.32 per diluted share, for the same period in 2022. The decrease in consolidated net income was primarily due to increases in provision for credit losses and interest expense.
For additional information, see Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Item 8 of this Form 10-K, which is incorporated herein by reference. Provision for Income Taxes. For the year ended December 31, 2022, the effective income tax rate increased to 24.7% from 24.0% for the year ended December 31, 2021.
For additional information, see Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Item 8 of this Form 10-K, which is incorporated herein by reference. 38 During 2022, we reduced our estimate of future net cash flows by $59.7 million, or 0.7%, to reflect a decline in Consumer Loan performance during the period.
Year Ended December 31, 2022 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021 (Dollars in millions, except per share data) For the Years Ended December 31, 2022 2021 $ Change % Change Revenue: Finance charges $ 1,686.3 $ 1,742.6 $ (56.3) -3.2 % Premiums earned 62.7 60.3 2.4 4.0 % Other income 83.4 53.1 30.3 57.1 % Total revenue 1,832.4 1,856.0 (23.6) -1.3 % Costs and expenses: Salaries and wages (1) 262.0 218.1 43.9 20.1 % General and administrative (1) 88.7 100.3 (11.6) -11.6 % Sales and marketing (1) 75.6 65.3 10.3 15.8 % Provision for credit losses 481.4 8.4 473.0 5,631.0 % Interest 166.6 164.2 2.4 1.5 % Provision for claims 46.4 38.8 7.6 19.6 % Total costs and expenses 1,120.7 595.1 525.6 88.3 % Income before provision for income taxes 711.7 1,260.9 (549.2) -43.6 % Provision for income taxes 175.9 302.6 (126.7) -41.9 % Net income $ 535.8 $ 958.3 $ (422.5) -44.1 % Net income per share: Basic $ 39.50 $ 59.57 $ (20.07) -33.7 % Diluted $ 39.32 $ 59.52 $ (20.20) -33.9 % Weighted average shares outstanding: Basic 13,563,885 16,085,823 (2,521,938) -15.7 % Diluted 13,625,081 16,100,552 (2,475,471) -15.4 % (1) Operating expenses $ 426.3 $ 383.7 $ 42.6 11.1 % 34 Finance Charges.
For additional information, see Note 2 and Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements contained in Item 8 of this Form 10-K, which is incorporated herein by reference. 36 Year Ended December 31, 2023 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2022 (Dollars in millions, except per share data) For the Years Ended December 31, 2023 2022 $ Change % Change Revenue: Finance charges $ 1,755.4 $ 1,686.3 $ 69.1 4.1 % Premiums earned 79.6 62.7 16.9 27.0 % Other income 66.9 83.4 (16.5) -19.8 % Total revenue 1,901.9 1,832.4 69.5 3.8 % Costs and expenses: Salaries and wages 280.2 262.0 18.2 6.9 % General and administrative 87.2 88.7 (1.5) -1.7 % Sales and marketing 91.7 75.6 16.1 21.3 % Total operating expenses 459.1 426.3 32.8 7.7 % Provision for credit losses on forecast changes 413.7 137.7 276.0 200.4 % Provision for credit losses on new Consumer Loan assignments 322.5 343.7 (21.2) -6.2 % Total provision for credit losses 736.2 481.4 254.8 52.9 % Interest 266.5 166.6 99.9 60.0 % Provision for claims 70.7 46.4 24.3 52.4 % Loss on extinguishment of debt 1.8 — 1.8 — % Total costs and expenses 1,534.3 1,120.7 413.6 36.9 % Income before provision for income taxes 367.6 711.7 (344.1) -48.3 % Provision for income taxes 81.5 175.9 (94.4) -53.7 % Net income $ 286.1 $ 535.8 $ (249.7) -46.6 % Net income per share: Basic $ 22.09 $ 39.50 $ (17.41) -44.1 % Diluted $ 21.99 $ 39.32 $ (17.33) -44.1 % Weighted average shares outstanding: Basic 12,953,424 13,563,885 (610,461) -4.5 % Diluted 13,010,735 13,625,081 (614,346) -4.5 % Finance Charges.
During 2021, we increased our estimate of future net cash flows by $326.1 million, or 3.4%, to reflect improvements in Consumer Loan performance during the period.
During 2023, we decreased our estimate of future net cash flows by $206.3 million, or 2.3%, to reflect a decline in forecasted collection rates during the period and slowed our forecasted net cash flow timing to reflect a decrease in Consumer Loan prepayments to below-average levels.
The following table presents forecasted Consumer Loan collection rates, advance rates, and the spread (the forecasted collection rate less the advance rate) as of December 31, 2022 for Dealer Loans and Purchased Loans separately. All amounts are presented as a percentage of the initial balance of the Consumer Loan (principal + interest).
All amounts are presented as a percentage of the initial balance of the Consumer Loan (principal + interest).
The increase of $473.0 million, or 5,631.0%, was primarily due to an increase in provision for credit losses on forecast changes. We recognize provision for credit losses on new Consumer Loan assignments for contractual net cash flows that are not expected to be realized at the time of assignment.
Provision for Credit Losses . The increase of $254.8 million, or 52.9%, was primarily due to an increase in provision for credit losses on forecast changes, partially offset by a decrease in provision for credit losses on new Consumer Loan assignments.
Under the amendment effecting the extension, the date on which the financing will cease to revolve has been extended from February 15, 2023 to December 16, 2024. The amendment also increased the interest rate under the financing from SOFR plus 208.5 basis points to SOFR plus 220 basis points.
On April 28, 2023, we extended the date on which our $400.0 million Warehouse Facility II will cease to revolve from April 30, 2024 to April 30, 2026. The interest rate on borrowings under the facility has been increased from LIBOR plus 175 basis points to SOFR plus 230 basis points.
Consumer Loans assigned in 2013 and 2018 through 2020 have yielded forecasted collection results significantly better than our initial estimates, while Consumer Loans assigned in 2015, 2016, and 2022 have yielded forecasted collection results significantly worse than our initial estimates. For all other assignment years presented, actual results have been close to our initial estimates.
For all other assignment years presented, actual results have been close to our initial estimates.
Although the advance rate on Purchased Loans is higher as compared to the advance rate on Dealer Loans, Purchased Loans do not require us to pay Dealer Holdback. 31 The spread on Dealer Loans decreased from 20.9% in 2021 to 19.4% in 2022, primarily as a result of the performance of the 2022 Consumer Loans in our Dealer Loan portfolio, which performed worse than our initial estimates by a greater margin than those assigned to us in 2021.
Although the advance rate on Purchased Loans is higher as compared to the advance rate on Dealer Loans, Purchased Loans do not require us to pay Dealer Holdback. The spread as of December 31, 2023 on 2023 Dealer Loans was 21.6%, as compared to a spread of 15.6% on 2022 Dealer Loans.
The spread on Purchased Loans decreased from 19.0% in 2021 to 17.3% in 2022 primarily as a result of the performance of the 2022 Consumer Loans in our Purchased Loan portfolio, which performed worse than our initial estimates, while the performance of the Consumer Loans in our Purchased Loan portfolio assigned during 2021 has exceeded our initial estimates.
The increase was primarily as a result of Consumer Loan performance, as the performance of 2022 Purchased Loans has been significantly lower than our initial estimates, while the performance of 2023 Purchased Loans has exceeded our initial estimates. Additionally, 2023 Purchased Loans had a higher initial spread, due to a higher initial forecast and a lower advance rate.
During 2021, unit and dollar volumes decreased 21.4% and 13.0%, respectively, as the number of active Dealers declined 10.1% while average volume per active Dealer decreased 12.3%.
During 2022, unit and dollar volumes increased 4.4% and 14.5%, respectively, as the number of active Dealers increased 4.3% while average volume per active Dealer remained consistent with the prior year. Dollar volume increased more than unit volume in 2022 due to an increase in the average advance paid per unit.
The increase was primarily due to changes in state and local tax laws that were enacted during the third quarter of 2022 and non-deductible executive compensation expense. The impact of non-deductible executive compensation expense on our effective income tax rate increased in magnitude from 2021 to 2022 due to a decrease in pre-tax income.
The decrease was primarily due to the impact of tax benefits related to our stock-based compensation plan and the settlement of an uncertain tax position for state income taxes during the second quarter of 2023, partially offset by an increase in non-deductible executive compensation expense.
The interest rate on borrowings under the facility has been increased from SOFR plus 235 basis points to SOFR plus 245 basis points. On December 27, 2022, we extended the $100.0 million Term ABS financing that we entered into on January 29, 2021 and to which we refer as Term ABS 2021-1.
On September 21, 2023, we extended the date on which our $200.0 million Warehouse Facility VIII will cease to revolve from September 1, 2024 to September 21, 2026. The interest rate on borrowings under the facility has been increased from SOFR plus 201.4 basis points to SOFR plus 225 basis points.
The financing will bear interest at SOFR plus 235 basis points, and it will revolve for 36 months, after which it will amortize based upon the cash flows on the contributed Loans.
The financing has an expected average annualized cost of 7.3% (including the initial purchasers’ fees and other costs), and it will revolve for 24 months, after which it will amortize based upon the cash flows on the underlying Loans.
Our results for the year ended December 31, 2021 included: • An increase in forecasted collection rates for Consumer Loans assigned in 2017 through 2021, which increased forecasted net cash flows from our loan portfolio by $326.1 million, or 3.4%. • Forecasted profitability per Consumer Loan assignment that exceeded our initial estimate for Consumer Loans assigned in 2021 and significantly exceeded our initial estimates for Consumer Loans assigned in 2018 through 2020. • A decline in Consumer Loan assignment volume, as unit and dollar volumes declined 21.4% and 13.0%, respectively, as compared to 2020. • Stock repurchases of approximately 2.9 million shares, which represented 16.8% of the shares outstanding at the beginning of the year. 27 Critical Success Factors Critical success factors include our ability to accurately forecast Consumer Loan performance, access capital on acceptable terms, and maintain or grow Consumer Loan volume at the level and on the terms that we anticipate, with the objective to maximize economic profit over the long term.
Our results for the year ended December 31, 2023 included: • A larger decrease in forecasted collection rates The decrease in forecasted collection rates decreased forecasted net cash flows from our Loan portfolio by $206.3 million, or 2.3%, compared to a decrease in forecasted collection rates during 2022 that decreased forecasted net cash flows from our Loan portfolio by $59.7 million, or 0.7%. • A decrease in forecasted profitability for Consumer Loans assigned in 2020 through 2022 Forecasted profitability was lower than our estimates at December 31, 2022, due to a decline in forecasted collection rates during 2023 and slower forecasted net cash flow timing during 2023, primarily as a result of a decrease in Consumer Loan prepayments to below-average levels. • Growth in Consumer Loan assignment volume and the average balance of our Loan portfolio Unit and dollar volumes grew 18.6% and 14.4%, respectively, as compared to 2022.