Biggest changeThe following summarizes our outlook for 2023: • We expect sales to be flat to down 3% compared to 2022, impacted by the following factors and assumptions: ◦ normal weather patterns for 2023; ◦ inflationary product cost increases, which generally pass through to customers.
Biggest changeThe following summarizes our outlook for 2024: • We expect sales to be flat to a low single digit increase compared to 2023, impacted by the following factors and assumptions: ◦ normal weather patterns for 2024; ◦ sustained demand for pool maintenance products; ◦ volumes of discretionary products used for swimming pool construction to be flat to down 10%; ◦ volumes of products used in the remodeling, renovation and upgrading of swimming pools to be flat to down 10%; ◦ inflationary product cost increases, which generally pass through to customers of approximately 2% to 3%; and ◦ a 1% benefit from expansion of the installed base of in-ground swimming pools. • We project gross margin for the full year of 2024 to be around 30.0%, with our highest margin in the second quarter of the year.
We may declare and pay quarterly dividends so long as (i) the amount per share of such dividends is not greater than the most recently publicly announced amount dividends per share and (ii) our Average Total Leverage Ratio is less than 3.25 to 1.00 both immediately before and after giving pro forma effect to such dividends.
We may declare and pay quarterly dividends so long as (i) the amount per share of such dividends is not greater than the most recently publicly announced dividends per share and (ii) our Average Total Leverage Ratio is less than 3.25 to 1.00 both immediately before and after giving pro forma effect to such dividends.
The forward-looking statements in this Current Trends and Outlook section are subject to significant risks and uncertainties, including the sensitivity of our business to weather conditions; changes in the economy, consumer discretionary spending, the housing market, interest or inflation rates; our ability to maintain favorable relationships with suppliers and manufacturers; the extent to which home-centric trends experienced during the height of the pandemic will moderate or reverse; competition from other leisure product alternatives or mass merchants; our ability to continue to execute our growth strategies; changes in the regulatory environment; new or additional taxes, duties or tariffs; excess tax benefits or deficiencies recognized under ASU 2016-09 and other risks detailed in Item 1A of this Form 10-K.
The forward-looking statements in this Current Trends and Outlook section and elsewhere in this document are subject to significant risks and uncertainties, including the sensitivity of our business to weather conditions; changes in the economy, consumer discretionary spending, the housing market, interest or inflation rates; our ability to maintain favorable relationships with suppliers and manufacturers; the extent to which home-centric trends experienced during the height of the pandemic will moderate or reverse; competition from other leisure product alternatives or mass merchants; our ability to continue to execute our growth strategies; changes in the regulatory environment; new or additional taxes, duties or tariffs; excess tax benefits or deficiencies recognized under ASU 2016-09 and other risks detailed in Item 1A of this Form 10-K.
Changes in our purchasing mix also impact our estimates, as certain program rates can vary depending on our volume of purchases from specific vendors. We continually revise these estimates throughout the year to reflect actual purchase levels and identifiable trends.
Changes in our purchasing mix also impact our estimates, as certain program rates can vary depending on our volume of purchases from specific vendors. 33 We continually revise these estimates throughout the year to reflect actual purchase levels and identifiable trends.
To facilitate a sensitivity analysis, we reduced our consolidated fair value estimate to reflect more conservative discounted cash flow assumptions, the sensitivity of a 50 basis point increase in our estimated weighted average cost of capital or a 50 basis point decrease in the estimated perpetuity growth rate.
To facilitate a sensitivity analysis, we reduced our consolidated fair value estimate to reflect more conservative discounted cash flow assumptions, the sensitivity of a 150 basis point increase in our estimated weighted average cost of capital or a 50 basis point decrease in the estimated perpetuity growth rate.
In October 2022, we performed our annual goodwill impairment test and recorded goodwill impairment of $0.6 million related to the closure of a Horizon reporting unit in that period. In October 2021 and 2020, we performed our annual goodwill impairment test and did not recognize any goodwill impairment at the reporting unit level.
In October 2022, we performed our annual goodwill impairment test and recorded goodwill impairment of $0.6 million related to the closure of a Horizon reporting unit in that period. In October 2021, we performed our annual goodwill impairment test and did not recognize any goodwill impairment at the reporting unit level.
We issue inventory purchase orders in the normal course of business, which represent authorizations to purchase that are cancellable by their terms. We do not consider purchase orders to be firm inventory commitments; therefore, they are excluded from the table above.
We issue inventory purchase orders in the normal course of business, which represent authorizations to purchase that are cancellable by their terms. We do not consider our cancellable purchase orders to be firm inventory commitments; therefore, they are excluded from the table above.
Our specific priorities for the use of cash are as follows: • capital expenditures primarily for maintenance and growth of our sales center network, technology-related investments and fleet vehicles; • inventory and other operating expenses; • strategic acquisitions executed opportunistically; • payment of cash dividends as and when declared by our Board; • repayment of debt to maintain an average total target leverage ratio (as defined below) between 1.5 and 2.0; and 40 • repurchases of our common stock under our Board authorized share repurchase program.
Our specific priorities for the use of cash are as follows: • capital expenditures primarily for maintenance and growth of our sales center network, technology-related investments and fleet vehicles; • inventory and other operating expenses; • strategic acquisitions executed opportunistically; • payment of cash dividends as and when declared by our Board; • repayment of debt to maintain an average total target leverage ratio (as defined below) between 1.5 and 2.0; and • discretionary repurchases of our common stock under our Board authorized share repurchase program.
At the same time, we continuously strive to better manage our slower moving classes of inventory, which are not as critical to our customers and thus, inherently turn at slower rates. 29 We classify products at the sales center level based on sales at each location over the expected sellable period, which is the previous 12 months for most products, except for special order non-stock items that lack a SKU in our system and products with less than 12 months of usage.
At the same time, we continuously strive to better manage our slower moving classes of inventory, which are not as critical to our customers and thus, inherently turn at slower rates. 32 We classify products at the sales center level based on sales at each location over the expected sellable period, which is the previous 12 months for most products, except for special order non-stock items that lack a SKU in our system and products with less than 12 months of usage.
We believe we will remain in compliance with all covenants and financial ratio requirements throughout 2023. For additional information regarding our debt arrangements, see Note 5 of “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements,” included in Item 8 of this Form 10-K. Future Obligations We have certain fixed contractual obligations and commitments that include future estimated payments for general operating purposes.
We believe we will remain in compliance with all covenants and financial ratio requirements throughout 2024. For additional information regarding our debt arrangements, see Note 5 of “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements,” included in Item 8 of this Form 10-K. Future Obligations We have certain fixed contractual obligations and commitments that include future estimated payments for general operating purposes.
The following table presents certain unaudited quarterly data for 2022 and 2021. We have included income statement and balance sheet data for the most recent eight quarters to allow for a meaningful comparison of the seasonal fluctuations in these amounts. In our opinion, this information reflects all normal and recurring adjustments considered necessary for a fair presentation of this data.
The following table presents certain unaudited quarterly data for 2023 and 2022. We have included income statement and balance sheet data for the most recent eight quarters to allow for a meaningful comparison of the seasonal fluctuations in these amounts. In our opinion, this information reflects all normal and recurring adjustments considered necessary for a fair presentation of this data.
Changes in our business needs, fluctuating interest rates and other factors may result in actual payments differing from our estimates. We cannot provide certainty regarding the timing and amounts of these payments. The following table summarizes our obligations as of December 31, 2022 that are expected to impact liquidity and cash flow in future periods.
Changes in our business needs, fluctuating interest rates and other factors may result in actual payments differing from our estimates. We cannot provide certainty regarding the timing and amounts of these payments. The following table summarizes our obligations as of December 31, 2023 that are expected to impact liquidity and cash flow in future periods.
Determining the amount of unrecognized deferred tax liability on these undistributed earnings and cash balances is not practicable due to the complexity of tax laws and regulations and the varying circumstances, tax treatments and timing of any future repatriation. We operate in 40 states, 1 United States territory and 11 foreign countries.
Determining the amount of unrecognized deferred tax liability on these undistributed earnings and cash balances is not practicable due to the complexity of tax laws and regulations and the varying circumstances, tax treatments and timing of any future repatriation. We operate in 41 states, 1 United States territory and 11 foreign countries.
For more information, see Note 5 of “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” included in Item 8 of this Form 10-K. Compliance and Future Availability As of December 31, 2022, we were in compliance with all covenants and financial ratio requirements under our Credit Facility, our Term Facility and our Receivables Facility.
For more information, see Note 5 of “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” included in Item 8 of this Form 10-K. Compliance and Future Availability As of December 31, 2023, we were in compliance with all covenants and financial ratio requirements under our Credit Facility, our Term Facility and our Receivables Facility.
We also provide an additional 5% reserve for excess lower sales velocity inventory and an additional 45% reserve for excess inventory with no sales for the past 12 months. We determine excess inventory, which is defined as the amount of inventory on hand in excess of the previous 12 months’ usage, on a company-wide basis.
We also consider an additional 5% reserve for excess lower sales velocity inventory and an additional 45% reserve for excess inventory with no sales for the past 12 months. We determine excess inventory, which is defined as the amount of inventory on hand in excess of the previous 12 months’ usage, on a company-wide basis.
We calculated estimates of future interest payments based on the December 31, 2022 outstanding debt balances, using the fixed rates under our interest rate swap agreements for the applicable notional amounts and the weighted average effective interest rates as of December 31, 2022 for the remaining outstanding balances not covered by our swap contracts.
We calculated estimates of future interest payments based on the December 31, 2023 outstanding debt balances, using the fixed rates under our interest rate swap agreements for the applicable notional amounts and the weighted average effective interest rates as of December 31, 2023 for the remaining outstanding balances not covered by our swap contracts.
We also exclude consolidated sales centers when we do not expect to maintain the majority of the existing business and existing sales centers that are consolidated with acquired sales centers. We generally allocate corporate overhead expenses to excluded sales centers on the basis of their net sales as a percentage of total net sales.
We also exclude consolidated sales centers when we do not expect to maintain the majority of the existing business and existing sales centers that we consolidate with acquired sales centers. We generally allocate corporate overhead expenses to excluded sales centers on the basis of their net sales as a percentage of total net sales.
Weather Impacts on Fiscal Year 2021 to Fiscal Year 2020 Comparisons For a detailed discussion of Weather Impacts on Fiscal Year 2021 compared to Fiscal Year 2020, see the Seasonality and Quarterly Fluctuations section of Management’s Discussion and Analysis included in Part II, Item 7 of our 2021 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Weather Impacts on Fiscal Year 2022 to Fiscal Year 2021 Comparisons For a detailed discussion of Weather Impacts on Fiscal Year 2022 compared to Fiscal Year 2021, see the Seasonality and Quarterly Fluctuations section of Management’s Discussion and Analysis included in Part II, Item 7 of our 2022 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
As of December 31, 2022, we had two interest rate swap contracts in place and one forward-starting interest rate swap contract, each of which has the effect of converting our exposure to variable interest rates on a portion of our variable rate borrowings to fixed interest rates.
As of December 31, 2023, we had two interest rate swap contracts in place and one forward-starting interest rate swap contract, each of which has the effect of converting our exposure to variable interest rates on a portion of our variable rate borrowings to fixed interest rates.
These write-offs are charged against our allowance for doubtful accounts. In the past five years, write-offs have averaged approximately 0.08% of net sales annually. Write-offs as a percentage of net sales approximated 0.08% in 2022, 0.06% in 2021 and 0.09% in 2020. We expect that write-offs will range from 0.05% to 0.10% of net sales in 2023.
These write-offs are charged against our allowance for doubtful accounts. In the past five years, write-offs have averaged approximately 0.09% of net sales annually. Write-offs as a percentage of net sales approximated 0.12% in 2023, 0.08% in 2022 and 0.06% in 2021. We expect that write-offs will range from 0.05% to 0.10% of net sales in 2024.
We may recognize additional tax benefits related to stock option exercises in 2023 from grants that expire in years after 2023, for which we have not included any expected benefits in our guidance.
We may recognize additional tax benefits related to stock option exercises in 2024 from grants that expire in years after 2024, for which we have not included any expected benefits in our guidance.
As of December 31, 2022, U.S. income taxes were not provided on the earnings or cash balances of our foreign subsidiaries, outside of the provisions of the transition tax from U.S. tax reform.
As of December 31, 2023, U.S. income taxes were not provided on the earnings or cash balances of our foreign subsidiaries, outside of the provisions of the transition tax from U.S. tax reform.
The term loans require quarterly amortization payments beginning in September 2023 aggregating to 20% of the original principal amount of the loan during the third, fourth and fifth years of the loan, with all remaining principal due on the Credit Facility maturity date of September 25, 2026.
The term loan requires quarterly amortization payments during the third, fourth and fifth years of the loan, beginning in September 2023 aggregating to 20% of the original principal amount of the loan, with all remaining principal due on the Credit Facility maturity date of September 25, 2026.
Our discussion of consolidated operating results includes the operating results from acquisitions in 2022, 2021 and 2020. We have included the results of operations in our consolidated results since the respective acquisition dates.
Our discussion of consolidated operating results includes the operating results from acquisitions in 2023, 2022 and 2021. We have included the results of operations in our consolidated results since the respective acquisition dates.
After 15 months of operations, we include acquired, consolidated and new market sales centers in the base business calculation including the comparative prior year period.
After 15 months, we include acquired, consolidated and new market sales centers in the base business calculation including the comparative prior year period.
The reserve is intended to reflect the value of inventory at net realizable value. We provide a reserve of 5% for inventory with lower sales velocity, inventory with no sales for the past 12 months and non-stock inventory as determined at the sales center level.
The reserve is intended to reflect the value of inventory at net realizable value. We evaluate a potential reserve for 5% for inventory with lower sales velocity, inventory with no sales for the past 12 months and non-stock inventory as determined at the sales center level.
We also plan to broaden our geographic presence by opening about 10 new sales centers in 2023 and by making selective acquisitions when appropriate opportunities arise. We base our assumptions on normal weather conditions and do not incorporate alternative weather predictions into our guidance.
We also plan to broaden our geographic presence by opening about 10 or more new sales centers in 2024 and by making selective acquisitions when appropriate opportunities arise. We base our assumptions on normal weather conditions and do not incorporate alternative weather predictions into our guidance.
In 2023, we expect our effective tax rate will be approximately 25.3% to 25.5%, without the impact of ASU 2016-09. Our effective tax rate is dependent upon our results of operations and may change if actual results are different from our current expectations.
In 2024, we expect our effective tax rate will be approximately 25.3% without the impact of ASU 2016-09. Our effective tax rate is dependent upon our results of operations and may change if actual results are different from our current expectations.
Financial Covenants Financial covenants of the Credit Facility and the Term Facility include maintenance of a maximum average total leverage ratio and a minimum fixed charge coverage ratio, which are our most restrictive financial covenants. As of December 31, 2022, the calculations of these two covenants are detailed below: • Maximum Average Total Leverage Ratio .
Financial Covenants Financial covenants of the Credit Facility, Term Facility and Receivables Facility include maintenance of a maximum average total leverage ratio and a minimum fixed charge coverage ratio, which are our most restrictive financial covenants. As of December 31, 2023, the calculations of these two covenants are detailed below: 44 • Maximum Average Total Leverage Ratio .
Recent Accounting Pronouncements See Note 1 of “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements,” included in Item 8 of this Form 10-K for details. 33 RESULTS OF OPERATIONS The table below summarizes information derived from our Consolidated Statements of Income expressed as a percentage of net sales for the past three fiscal years: Year Ended December 31, 2022 2021 2020 Net sales 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % Cost of sales 68.7 69.5 71.3 Gross profit 31.3 30.5 28.7 Operating expenses 14.7 14.8 16.9 Operating income 16.6 15.7 11.8 Interest and other non-operating expenses, net 0.7 0.2 0.3 Income before income taxes and equity in earnings 15.9 % 15.6 % 11.5 % Note: Due to rounding, percentages may not add to operating income or income before income taxes and equity in earnings.
Recent Accounting Pronouncements See Note 1 of “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements,” included in Item 8 of this Form 10-K for details. 36 RESULTS OF OPERATIONS The table below summarizes information derived from our Consolidated Statements of Income expressed as a percentage of net sales for the past three fiscal years: Year Ended December 31, 2023 2022 2021 Net sales 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % Cost of sales 70.0 68.7 69.5 Gross profit 30.0 31.3 30.5 Operating expenses 16.5 14.7 14.8 Operating income 13.5 16.6 15.7 Interest and other non-operating expenses, net 1.1 0.7 0.2 Income before income taxes and equity in earnings 12.4 % 15.9 % 15.6 % Note: Due to rounding, percentages may not add to operating income or income before income taxes and equity in earnings.
The estimated impact related to ASU 2016-09 is subject to several assumptions which can vary significantly, including our estimated share price and the period that our employees will exercise vested stock options. We recorded a $10.8 million benefit in our provision for income taxes for the year ended December 31, 2022 related to ASU 2016-09.
The estimated impact related to ASU 2016-09 is subject to several assumptions which can vary significantly, including our estimated share price and the period that our employees will exercise vested stock options. We recorded a $6.7 million benefit in our provision for income taxes for the year ended December 31, 2023 related to ASU 2016-09.
Upon payment of the receivables by customers, rather than remitting to the financial institutions the amounts collected, we retain such collections as proceeds for the sale of new receivables until payments become due. At December 31, 2022, there was $199.5 million outstanding under the Receivables Facility at a weighted average effective interest rate of 5.2%, excluding commitment fees.
Upon payment of the receivables by customers, rather than remitting to the financial institutions the amounts collected, we retain such collections as proceeds for the sale of new receivables until payments become due. At December 31, 2023, there was $191.7 million outstanding under the Receivables Facility at a weighted average effective interest rate of 6.2%, excluding commitment fees.
If the balance of the accounts receivable reserve increased or decreased by 20% at December 31, 2022, pretax income would change by approximately $1.9 million and earnings per share would change by approximately $0.04 per diluted share (based on the number of weighted average diluted shares outstanding for the year ended December 31, 2022).
If the balance of the accounts receivable reserve increased or decreased by 20% at December 31, 2023, pretax income would change by approximately $2.3 million and earnings per share would change by approximately $0.04 per diluted share (based on the number of weighted average diluted shares outstanding for the year ended December 31, 2023).
If the balance of our inventory reserve increased or decreased by 20% at December 31, 2022, pretax income would change by approximately $4.2 million and earnings per share would change by approximately $0.08 per diluted share (based on the number of weighted average diluted shares outstanding for the year ended December 31, 2022).
If the balance of our inventory reserve increased or decreased by 20% at December 31, 2023, pretax income would change by approximately $4.7 million and earnings per share would change by approximately $0.09 per diluted share (based on the number of weighted average diluted shares outstanding for the year ended December 31, 2023).
(Unaudited) Year Ended December 31, 2022 2021 Diluted EPS $ 18.70 $ 15.97 Less: ASU 2016-09 tax benefit 0.27 0.74 Adjusted diluted EPS $ 18.43 $ 15.23 Fiscal Year 2021 compared to Fiscal Year 2020 For a detailed discussion of the Results of Operations in Fiscal Year 2021 compared to Fiscal Year 2020, see the Results of Operations section of Management’s Discussion and Analysis included in Part II, Item 7 of our 2021 Annual Report on Form 10-K. 38 Seasonality and Quarterly Fluctuations For discussion regarding the effects seasonality and weather have on our business, see Item 1, “Business,” of this Form 10-K.
(Unaudited) Year Ended December 31, 2023 2022 Diluted EPS $ 13.35 $ 18.70 Less: ASU 2016-09 tax benefit 0.17 0.27 Adjusted diluted EPS $ 13.18 $ 18.43 Fiscal Year 2022 compared to Fiscal Year 2021 For a detailed discussion of the Results of Operations in Fiscal Year 2022 compared to Fiscal Year 2021, see the Results of Operations section of Management’s Discussion and Analysis included in Part II, Item 7 of our 2022 Annual Report on Form 10-K. 40 Seasonality and Quarterly Fluctuations For discussion regarding the effects seasonality and weather have on our business, see Item 1, “Business,” of this Form 10-K.
The weighted average effective interest rate for the Credit Facility as of December 31, 2022 was approximately 4.4%, excluding commitment fees. Term Facility Our Term Facility provides for $185.0 million in borrowing capacity and matures on December 30, 2026.
The weighted average effective interest rate for the Credit Facility as of December 31, 2023 was approximately 4.7%, excluding commitment fees and including the impact of our interest rate swaps. Term Facility Our Term Facility provides for $185.0 million in borrowing capacity and matures on December 30, 2026.
We recorded a $10.8 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, tax benefit from Accounting Standards Update (ASU) 2016-09, Improvements to Employee Share-Based Payment Accounting, for the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to a tax benefit of $30.0 million, or $0.74 per diluted share, realized in 2021.
We recorded a $6.7 million, or $0.17 per diluted share, tax benefit from Accounting Standards Update (ASU) 2016-09, Improvements to Employee Share-Based Payment Accounting, for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to a tax benefit of $10.8 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, realized in 2022.
We estimate that we have approximately $1.1 million in unrealized excess tax benefits related to stock options that expire and restricted awards that vest in the first quarter of 2023.
We estimate that we have approximately $3.8 million in unrealized excess tax benefits related to stock options that expire and restricted awards that vest in the first quarter of 2024.
Income Taxes Our effective income tax rate was 24.0% at December 31, 2022 and 21.1% at December 31, 2021. We recorded a $10.8 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, benefit from ASU 2016-09 for the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to a benefit of $30.0 million, or $0.74 per diluted share, realized in 2021.
Income Taxes Our effective income tax rate was 24.0% at December 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022. We recorded a $6.7 million, or $0.17 per diluted share, benefit from ASU 2016-09 for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to a benefit of $10.8 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, realized in 2022.
As of December 31, 2022, our average total leverage ratio equaled 1.37 (compared to 0.77 as of December 31, 2021) and the TTM average total indebtedness amount used in this calculation was $1.5 billion. 42 • Minimum Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio .
As of December 31, 2023, our average total leverage ratio equaled 1.39 (compared to 1.37 as of December 31, 2022) and the TTM average total indebtedness amount used in this calculation was $1.1 billion. • Minimum Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio .
We also evaluate whether the calculated reserve provides sufficient coverage of total inventory with no sales for the past 12 months. We have not changed our methodology from prior years.
We also evaluate whether the calculated reserve provides sufficient coverage of total inventory with no sales for the past 12 months. We record reserves as necessary based on our evaluations. We have not changed our methodology from prior years.
These estimates can significantly affect the outcome of our impairment test. We also review for potential impairment indicators at the reporting unit level based on an evaluation of recent historical operating trends, current and projected local market conditions and other relevant factors as appropriate.
We also review for potential impairment indicators at the reporting unit level based on an evaluation of recent historical operating trends, current and projected local market conditions and other relevant factors as appropriate.
Sales to specialty retailers that sell swimming pool supplies and customers who service large commercial installations are included in the appropriate existing product categories, and growth in these areas is reflected in the discussion above. In 2022, sales to base business retail customers increased 9% compared to 2021 and represented approximately 11% of our consolidated net sales.
Sales to specialty retailers that sell swimming pool supplies and customers who service large commercial installations are included in the appropriate existing product categories, and growth in these areas is reflected in the discussion above. In 2023, sales to retail customers decreased 10% compared to 2022 and represented approximately 14% of our consolidated net sales.
Our working capital obligations fluctuate during the year, driven primarily by seasonality and the timing of inventory purchases. Our primary sources of working capital are cash from operations supplemented by bank borrowings, which have historically been sufficient to support our growth and finance acquisitions. We have funded our capital expenditures and share repurchases in substantially the same manner.
Our working capital obligations fluctuate during the year, driven primarily by seasonality and the timing of inventory purchases. Our primary sources of working capital are cash from operations supplemented by bank borrowings, which have historically been sufficient to support our growth and finance acquisitions.
Our reserve for inventory obsolescence was $21.2 million at December 31, 2022 compared to $15.2 million at December 31, 2021. Our inventory turns, as calculated on a trailing four quarters basis, were 2.6 times at December 31, 2022 and 3.4 times at December 31, 2021.
Our reserve for inventory obsolescence was $23.5 million at December 31, 2023 compared to $21.2 million at December 31, 2022. Our inventory turns, as calculated on a trailing four quarters basis, were 2.7 times at December 31, 2023 and 2.6 times at December 31, 2022.
We prioritize our use of cash based on investing in our business, maintaining a prudent capital structure, including a modest amount of debt, and returning cash to our shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
We have funded our capital expenditures and share repurchases in substantially the same manner. 42 We prioritize our use of cash based on investing in our business, maintaining a prudent capital structure, including a modest amount of debt, and returning cash to our shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
In view of current trends and economic concerns, we established our outlook for 2023 based on reasonable expectations for industry demand, pricing and inflationary conditions, focused expense management and ongoing leverage of existing investments in our business and continuous process improvements.
In view of current trends, we established our outlook for 2024 based on reasonable expectations for industry demand, pricing and inflationary conditions, focused expense management, increased investment in our digital transformation initiatives and ongoing leverage of existing investments in our business and continuous process improvements.
Operating Expenses (in millions) Year Ended December 31, 2022 2021 Change Selling and administrative expenses $ 907.6 $ 784.3 $ 123.3 16% Operating expenses as a percentage of net sales 14.7 % 14.8 % Operating expenses increased 16%, or $123.3 million, to $907.6 million in 2022, up from $784.3 million in 2021.
Operating Expenses (in millions) Year Ended December 31, 2023 2022 Change Selling and administrative expenses $ 913.5 $ 907.6 $ 5.9 0.6% Operating expenses as a percentage of net sales 16.5 % 14.7 % Operating expenses increased 0.6%, or $5.8 million, to $913.5 million in 2023, up from $907.6 million in 2022.
We project that 2023 earnings will be in the range of $16.03 to $17.03 per diluted share, including an estimated $0.03 benefit from ASU 2016-09 during the first quarter of 2023.
We project that 2024 earnings will be in the range of $13.10 to $14.10 per diluted share, including an estimated $0.10 benefit from ASU 2016-09 during the first quarter of 2024.
We intend to continue to use the Credit Facility for general corporate purposes, for future share repurchases and to fund future growth initiatives. At December 31, 2022, there was $1.0 billion outstanding, including a $500.0 million term loan, with a $4.8 million standby letter of credit outstanding and $225.5 million available for borrowing under the Credit Facility.
We intend to continue to use the Credit Facility for general corporate purposes, for future share repurchases and to fund future growth initiatives. At December 31, 2023, there was $740.0 million outstanding, including a $487.5 million term loan, with a $16.0 million standby letter of credit outstanding and $481.5 million available for borrowing under the Credit Facility.
We record SPIP accruals based on our total expected EPS for the current fiscal year and earnings growth estimates for the succeeding two years.
We record SPIP accruals based on our total expected EPS for the current fiscal year and earnings growth estimates for the succeeding two years. We base our current fiscal year estimates on the same assumptions used for our annual bonus calculation.
Earnings per share increased 17% to $18.70 per diluted share compared to $15.97 per diluted share in 2021. Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures The non-GAAP measures described below should be considered in the context of all of our other disclosures in this Form 10-K.
Earnings per share decreased 29% to $13.35 per diluted share compared to $18.70 per diluted share in 2022. 39 Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures The non-GAAP measures described below should be considered in the context of all of our other disclosures in this Form 10-K.
Beginning in the second quarter of 2020, we experienced unprecedented demand as families spent more time at home and sought out opportunities to create or expand home-based outdoor living and entertainment spaces. This trend has had a positive impact on our financial performance over the past couple of years.
COVID-19 Pandemic and Other Economic Trends Beginning in the second quarter of 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic, we experienced unprecedented demand as families spent more time at home and sought opportunities to create or expand home-based outdoor living and entertainment spaces. This trend had a positive impact on our financial performance during 2020 through 2022.
The most significant goodwill balance for a reporting unit was our Porpoise reporting unit with $403.5 million of goodwill. Other than our Porpoise reporting unit, the next most significant goodwill balance for a reporting unit was $12.1 million and the average goodwill balance per reporting unit was $1.2 million.
Our most significant goodwill balance of $403.5 million was related to our Porpoise Pool & Patio reporting unit and the next largest goodwill balance for a reporting unit was $12.1 million. The average goodwill balance per reporting unit was $2.8 million.
If market conditions were to change, vendors may change the terms of some or all of these programs. Although such changes would not affect the amounts we have recorded related to products already purchased, they may lower or raise our cost for products purchased and sold in future periods.
Although such changes would not affect the amounts we have recorded related to products already purchased, they may lower or raise our cost for products purchased and sold in future periods.
Our compensation packages include bonus plans that are specific to groups of eligible participants and their levels and areas of responsibility. The majority of our bonus plans consist of annual cash payments that are based primarily on objective performance criteria. We calculate bonuses based on the achievement of certain key measurable financial and operational results, including operating income.
Our compensation packages include bonus plans that are specific to groups of eligible participants and their levels and areas of responsibility. The majority of our bonus plans consist of annual cash payments that are based primarily on objective performance criteria.
In response, we proactively made significant investments in inventory in the last half of 2021 and early 2022 that enabled us to continue to meet strong customer demand and position ourselves to provide exceptional customer service.
In response, we proactively made significant investments in inventory in the last half of 2021 and early 2022 that enabled us to continue to meet strong customer demand and position ourselves to provide exceptional customer service. While we continued to be challenged by supply chain constraints through early 2022, supply chain dynamics improved beginning in the second quarter of 2022.
The table below summarizes the changes in our sales centers during 2022: December 31, 2021 410 Acquired location 1 New locations 10 Closed location (1) December 31, 2022 420 For information about our recent acquisitions, see Note 2 of “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements,” included in Item 8 of this Form 10-K. 35 Net Sales (in millions) Year Ended December 31, 2022 2021 Change Net sales $ 6,179.7 $ 5,295.6 $ 884.1 17% Net sales increased 17% compared to 2021, with 12% of this increase resulting from base business sales growth.
The table below summarizes the changes in our sales centers during 2023: December 31, 2022 420 Acquired location 5 New locations 14 December 31, 2023 439 For information about our recent acquisitions, see Note 2 of “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements,” included in Item 8 of this Form 10-K. 37 Net Sales (in millions) Year Ended December 31, 2023 2022 Change Net sales $ 5,541.6 $ 6,179.7 $ (638.1) (10)% Following sales growth of 17% in 2022, 35% in 2021 and 23% in 2020 (all compared to the prior year periods), our net sales in 2023 declined 10% compared to 2022.
Total net receivables, including pledged receivables, decreased 7% compared to December 31, 2021, primarily driven by slower December sales compared to last year. Our allowance for doubtful accounts was $9.5 million at December 31, 2022 and $5.9 million at December 31, 2021.
Total net receivables, including pledged receivables, decreased 2% compared to December 31, 2022, primarily due to lower sales in 2023. Our allowance for doubtful accounts was $11.7 million at December 31, 2023 and $9.5 million at December 31, 2022.
As of December 31, 2022, our fixed charge ratio equaled 9.57 (compared to 11.76 as of December 31, 2021) and TTM Rental Expense was $121.3 million.
As of December 31, 2023, our fixed charge ratio equaled 5.94 (compared to 9.57 as of December 31, 2022) and TTM Rental Expense was $92.0 million.
Without the benefits from ASU 2016-09, our effective tax rate was 25.1% and 24.7% for the years ended 2022 and 2021, respectively. Net Income and Earnings Per Share Net income increased 15% to $748.5 million in 2022 compared to $650.6 million in 2021.
Without the benefits from ASU 2016-09, our effective tax rate was 25.0% for the year ended 2023 and 25.1% for the year ended 2022. Net Income and Earnings Per Share Net income decreased 30% to $523.2 million in 2023 compared to $748.5 million in 2022.
Also see “Cautionary Statement for Purposes of the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995” prior to the heading “Risk Factors” in Item 1A. COVID-19 Pandemic and Other Economic Trends We continue to monitor the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and its aftermath.
Also see “Cautionary Statement for Purposes of the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995” prior to the heading “Risk Factors” in Item 1A.
Our quarterly performance-based compensation expense and accrual balances may vary relative to actual annual bonus expense and payouts due to the following: • differences between estimated and actual performance; • our projections related to achievement of multiple-year performance objectives for our SPIP; and • the discretionary components of the bonus plans.
Our quarterly performance-based compensation expense and accrual balances may vary relative to actual annual bonus expense and payouts due to the following differences between estimated and actual performance and the discretionary components of the bonus plans. We generally make bonus payments at the end of February following the most recently completed fiscal year.
Under this facility, we can borrow up to $350.0 million between April through August and from $210.0 million to $340.0 million during the remaining months of the year. The Receivables Facility matures on November 1, 2024.
Receivables Securitization Facility Our two-year accounts receivable securitization facility (the Receivables Facility) offers us a lower-cost form of financing. Under this facility, we can borrow up to $350.0 million between April through August and from $210.0 million to $340.0 million during the remaining months of the year.
The fair value estimates used in our impairment test is determined using discounted cash flow models, which require the use of significant unobservable inputs, representative of a Level 3 fair value measurement. To estimate the fair value of our reporting units, we project future cash flows using management’s assumptions for sales growth rates, operating margins and discount 32 rates.
The fair value estimates used in our impairment test is determined using discounted cash flow models, which require the use of significant unobservable inputs, representative of a Level 3 fair value measurement.
Future Sources and Uses of Cash To supplement cash from operations as our primary source of working capital, we will continue to utilize our three major credit facilities, which are the Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Facility (the Credit Facility), the Term Facility (the Term Facility) and the Receivables Securitization Facility (the Receivables Facility).
For a discussion of our sources and uses of cash in 2021, see the Liquidity and Capital Resources – Sources and Uses of Cash section of Management’s Discussion and Analysis included in Part II, Item 7 of our 2022 Annual Report on Form 10-K. 43 Future Sources and Uses of Cash To supplement cash from operations as our primary source of working capital, we will continue to utilize our three major credit facilities, which are the Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Facility (the Credit Facility), the Term Facility (the Term Facility) and the Receivables Securitization Facility (the Receivables Facility).
We classify the entire outstanding balance as Long-term debt on our Consolidated Balance Sheets as we intend and have the ability to refinance the obligations on a long-term basis.
Our Receivables Facility matures November 1, 2024 and is included in the table above according to its stated maturity date. On our Consolidated Balance Sheets, we classify the entire outstanding balance of the Receivables Facility as Long-term debt as we intend and have the ability to refinance the obligations on a long-term basis.
We believe we have adequate availability of capital to fund present operations and the current capacity to finance any working capital needs that may arise. We continually evaluate potential acquisitions and hold discussions with acquisition candidates. If suitable acquisition opportunities arise that would require financing, we believe that we have the ability to finance any such transactions.
Based on management’s current plans, we project capital expenditures for 2024 will average 1% to 1.5% of net sales. We believe we have adequate availability of capital to fund present operations and the current capacity to finance any working capital needs that may arise. We continually evaluate potential acquisitions and hold discussions with acquisition candidates.
Sources and Uses of Cash The following table summarizes our cash flows (in thousands): Year Ended December 31, 2022 2021 Operating activities $ 484,854 $ 313,490 Investing activities (50,870) (849,614) Financing activities (411,658) 526,131 Cash provided by operations of $484.9 million for 2022 increased $171.4 million compared to 2021, primarily driven by an increase in net income and changes in working capital.
Sources and Uses of Cash The following table summarizes our cash flows (in thousands): Year Ended December 31, 2023 2022 Operating activities $ 888,229 $ 484,854 Investing activities (71,597) (50,870) Financing activities (798,132) (411,658) Cash provided by operations of $888.2 million for 2023 increased $403.4 million compared to 2022, primarily driven by positive changes in working capital, particularly as we sold through our prior year strategic inventory purchases, partially offset by lower net income.
Goodwill represents the excess of the amount we paid to acquire a company over the estimated fair value of tangible assets and identifiable intangible assets acquired, less liabilities assumed. We perform a goodwill impairment test in the fourth quarter of each year or on a more frequent basis if events or changes in circumstances occur that indicate potential impairment.
We perform a goodwill impairment test in the fourth quarter of each year or on a more frequent basis if events or changes in circumstances occur that indicate potential impairment.
Despite the recent decline in residential construction activities, we believe that we are well positioned to benefit from the inherent long-term growth opportunities in our industry fueled by favorable population migration trends, strong housing demand dynamics, increased interest in backyards and outdoor living and new product developments.
We believe that we are well positioned to benefit from the inherent long-term growth opportunities in our industry fueled by favorable population migration trends, strong housing demand dynamics and product developments and technological advancements as consumers focus on more environmentally sustainable and energy-efficient products.
Weather Impacts on Fiscal Year 2022 to Fiscal Year 2021 Comparisons Overall, weather conditions in the first quarter of 2022 were less favorable than weather conditions in the first quarter of 2021. Sales benefited from above-average temperatures along much of the west and the east coast, although Texas experienced cooler-than-normal temperatures.
Comparatively, in the first quarter of 2022, overall weather conditions were generally favorable, and sales benefited from above-average temperatures along much of the west and the east coast, although Texas experienced cooler-than-normal temperatures. Overall, weather conditions unfavorably impacted sales by an estimated $30.0 million in the second quarter of 2023, particularly at the beginning of the second quarter.
The extent to which contributory effects from the COVID-19 pandemic and the evolving macroeconomic environment will continue to impact our business, financial condition and results of operations remains uncertain. 28 CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES Critical accounting estimates are those estimates made in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles that involve a significant level of estimation uncertainty and have had, or are reasonably likely to have, a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations.
In 2023, our inventory balances normalized with seasonal trends resulting in a 14% decrease compared to 2022. 31 CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES Critical accounting estimates are those estimates made in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles that involve a significant level of estimation uncertainty and have had, or are reasonably likely to have, a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations.
To the extent the carrying value of a reporting unit is greater than its estimated fair value, we record a goodwill impairment charge for the difference, up to the carrying value of the goodwill. We recognize any impairment loss in operating income.
If the carrying value of the reporting unit exceeds the fair value, we record a goodwill impairment charge for the difference, up to the carrying value of the goodwill.
For additional details regarding these facilities, see the summary descriptions below and more complete descriptions in Note 5 of our “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements,” included in Item 8 of this Form 10-K. 41 Credit Facility Our Credit Facility, as amended through December 30, 2021, provides for $1.25 billion in borrowing capacity consisting of a $750.0 million five-year unsecured revolving credit facility and a $500.0 million term loan facility.
For additional details regarding these facilities, see the summary descriptions below and more complete descriptions in Note 5 of our “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements,” included in Item 8 of this Form 10-K.
These adjustments tend to have a greater impact on gross margin in the fourth quarter since it is our seasonally slowest quarter and because the majority of our vendor arrangements are based on calendar year periods. We update our estimates for these arrangements at year end to reflect actual annual purchase or sales levels.
As a result, our estimated quarterly vendor program benefits accrual may include cumulative catch-up adjustments to reflect any changes in our estimates between reporting periods. These adjustments have a greater impact on gross margin in the fourth quarter since it is our seasonally slowest quarter and because the majority of our vendor arrangements are based on calendar year periods.
Management also establishes specific business improvement objectives for both our operating units and 31 corporate employees. The Compensation Committee approves objectives for annual bonus plans involving executive management. We also utilize our medium-term (three-year) Strategic Plan Incentive Program (SPIP) to provide senior management with an additional cash-based, pay-for-performance award based on the achievement of specified earnings growth objectives.
We have also utilized our medium-term (three-year) Strategic Plan Incentive Program (SPIP) to provide senior management with an additional cash-based, pay-for-performance award based on the achievement of specified earnings growth objectives. Payouts through the SPIP are based on three-year compound annual growth rates (CAGRs) of our diluted EPS.
The credit facility includes a $750.0 million revolving credit facility and sublimits for the issuance of swingline loans and standby letters of credit.
Credit Facility Our Credit Facility provides for $1.25 billion in borrowing capacity consisting of a $750.0 million five-year unsecured revolving credit facility and a $500.0 million term loan facility. The Credit Facility also includes sublimits for the issuance of swingline loans and standby letters of credit.
(Unaudited) QUARTER (in thousands) 2022 2021 First Second Third Fourth First Second Third Fourth Statement of Income Data Net sales $ 1,412,650 $ 2,055,818 $ 1,615,339 $ 1,095,920 $ 1,060,745 $ 1,787,833 $ 1,411,448 $ 1,035,557 Gross profit 447,189 666,804 503,687 315,731 301,131 551,685 441,899 322,376 Operating income 235,723 418,888 263,877 107,295 129,031 338,586 237,276 127,891 Net income 179,261 307,283 190,055 71,863 98,655 259,695 184,665 107,609 Net sales as a % of annual net sales 23 % 33 % 26 % 18 % 20 % 34 % 27 % 20 % Gross profit as a % of annual gross profit 23 % 34 % 26 % 16 % 19 % 34 % 27 % 20 % Operating income as a % of annual operating income 23 % 41 % 26 % 10 % 15 % 41 % 28 % 15 % Balance Sheet Data Total receivables, net $ 679,927 $ 756,585 $ 549,796 $ 351,448 $ 487,602 $ 585,566 $ 476,150 $ 376,571 Product inventories, net 1,641,155 1,579,101 1,539,572 1,591,060 977,228 894,654 1,043,407 1,339,100 Accounts payable 685,946 604,225 442,226 406,667 634,998 439,453 414,156 398,697 Total debt 1,505,073 1,595,398 1,512,545 1,386,803 433,171 423,116 362,819 1,183,350 Note: Due to rounding, the sum of quarterly percentage amounts may not equal 100%.
(Unaudited) QUARTER (in thousands) 2023 2022 First Second Third Fourth First Second Third Fourth Statement of Income Data Net sales $ 1,206,774 $ 1,857,363 $ 1,474,407 $ 1,003,050 $ 1,412,650 $ 2,055,818 $ 1,615,339 $ 1,095,920 Gross profit 369,755 567,783 428,731 293,775 447,189 666,804 503,687 315,731 Operating income 145,771 327,009 194,443 79,344 235,723 418,888 263,877 107,295 Net income 101,699 232,250 137,843 51,437 179,261 307,283 190,055 71,863 Net sales as a % of annual net sales 22 % 34 % 27 % 18 % 23 % 33 % 26 % 18 % Gross profit as a % of annual gross profit 22 % 34 % 26 % 18 % 23 % 34 % 26 % 16 % Operating income as a % of annual operating income 20 % 44 % 26 % 11 % 23 % 41 % 26 % 10 % Balance Sheet Data Total receivables, net $ 564,171 $ 630,950 $ 461,582 $ 342,910 $ 679,927 $ 756,585 $ 549,796 $ 351,448 Product inventories, net 1,686,683 1,392,886 1,259,308 1,365,466 1,641,155 1,579,101 1,539,572 1,591,060 Accounts payable 739,749 485,099 429,436 508,672 685,946 604,225 442,226 406,667 Total debt 1,365,750 1,184,586 1,033,897 1,053,320 1,505,073 1,595,398 1,512,545 1,386,803 Note: Due to rounding, the sum of quarterly percentage amounts may not equal 100%.
Our capital spending primarily relates to leasehold improvements, delivery and service vehicles and information technology. We focus our capital expenditure plans based on the needs of our sales centers. Historically, our capital expenditures have averaged roughly 1.0% of net sales. Capital expenditures were 0.7% of net sales in 2022 and 2021 and 0.6% of net sales in 2020.
Our capital spending primarily relates to leasehold improvements, delivery and service vehicles and information technology. We focus our capital expenditure plans based on the needs of our sales centers. In recent years, we have increased our investment in technology and automation enabling us to operate more efficiently and better serve our customers.