Biggest changeSummary results of operations - Consolidated Change Years Ended December 31, Favorable (Unfavorable) ($ in thousands, except per-share amounts) 2023 2022 2021 2023 vs. 2022 2022 vs. 2021 Revenues Net premiums earned $ 919,578 $ 981,131 $ 1,037,183 $ (61,553) $ (56,052) Services revenue 46,092 92,216 125,825 (46,124) (33,609) Net investment income 258,430 195,658 147,909 62,772 47,749 Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments 10,241 (80,733) 15,603 90,974 (96,336) Other income 6,247 2,454 3,412 3,793 (958) Total revenues 1,240,588 1,190,726 1,329,932 49,862 (139,206) Expenses Provision for losses (42,526) (338,239) 20,877 (295,713) 359,116 Policy acquisition costs 24,578 23,918 29,029 (660) 5,111 Cost of services 38,491 82,358 103,714 43,867 21,356 Other operating expenses 347,578 381,148 323,686 33,570 (57,462) Interest expense 89,695 84,454 84,344 (5,241) (110) Impairment of goodwill 9,802 — — (9,802) — Amortization of other acquired intangible assets 5,483 4,308 3,450 (1,175) (858) Total expenses 473,101 237,947 565,100 (235,154) 327,153 Pretax income 767,487 952,779 764,832 (185,292) 187,947 Income tax provision 164,368 209,845 164,161 45,477 (45,684) Net income $ 603,119 $ 742,934 $ 600,671 $ (139,815) $ 142,263 Diluted net income per share $ 3.77 $ 4.35 $ 3.16 $ (0.58) $ 1.19 Return on equity 14.5 % 18.2 % 14.1 % (3.7) % 4.1 % Non-GAAP Financial Measures (1) Adjusted pretax operating income $ 786,427 $ 1,052,717 $ 757,749 $ (266,290) $ 294,968 Adjusted diluted net operating income per share $ 3.88 $ 4.87 $ 3.15 $ (0.99) $ 1.72 Adjusted net operating return on equity 14.9 % 20.3 % 14.0 % (5.4) % 6.3 % (1) See “Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.
Biggest changeSummary results of operations - Consolidated Years Ended December 31, Change Favorable (Unfavorable) ($ in thousands, except per-share amounts) 2024 2023 2022 2024 vs. 2023 2023 vs. 2022 Revenues Net premiums earned $ 951,283 $ 919,578 $ 981,131 $ 31,705 $ (61,553 ) Services revenue 50,270 46,092 92,216 4,178 (46,124 ) Net investment income 292,693 258,430 195,658 34,263 62,772 Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (10,114 ) 10,241 (80,733 ) (20,355 ) 90,974 Income (loss) on consolidated VIEs (2 ) — — (2 ) — Other income 6,153 6,247 2,454 (94 ) 3,793 Total revenues 1,290,283 1,240,588 1,190,726 49,695 49,862 Expenses Provision for losses (2,514 ) (42,526 ) (338,239 ) (40,012 ) (295,713 ) Policy acquisition costs 27,316 24,578 23,918 (2,738 ) (660 ) Cost of services 38,271 38,491 82,358 220 43,867 Other operating expenses 347,906 347,578 381,148 (328 ) 33,570 Interest expense 108,014 89,695 84,454 (18,319 ) (5,241 ) Impairment of goodwill — 9,802 — 9,802 (9,802 ) Amortization of other acquired intangible assets — 5,483 4,308 5,483 (1,175 ) Total expenses 518,993 473,101 237,947 (45,892 ) (235,154 ) Pretax income 771,290 767,487 952,779 3,803 (185,292 ) Income tax provision 166,850 164,368 209,845 (2,482 ) 45,477 Net income $ 604,440 $ 603,119 $ 742,934 $ 1,321 $ (139,815 ) Diluted net income per share $ 3.92 $ 3.77 $ 4.35 $ 0.15 $ (0.58 ) Return on equity 13.4 % 14.5 % 18.2 % (1.1 )% (3.7 )% Non-GAAP Financial Measures (1) Adjusted pretax operating income $ 803,005 $ 786,427 $ 1,052,717 $ 16,578 $ (266,290 ) Adjusted diluted net operating income per share $ 4.11 $ 3.88 $ 4.87 $ 0.23 $ (0.99 ) Adjusted net operating return on equity 14.1 % 14.9 % 20.3 % (0.8 )% (5.4 )% (1) See “Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.
See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—Insurance and Risk in Force;” ■ The average loan size (relatively higher priced properties with larger average loan amounts may result in higher incurred losses); ■ The percentage of coverage on insured loans (higher percentages of insurance coverage generally correlate with higher incurred losses) and the presence of structural mitigants such as deductibles or stop losses; ■ Changes in housing values (declines in housing values generally make it more difficult for borrowers to sell a home to avoid default or for the property to be sold to mitigate a claim, and also may negatively affect a borrower’s willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the home value is less than the mortgage balance; conversely, increases in housing values tend to reduce the level of defaults as well as make it more likely that foreclosures will result in the loan being satisfied); ■ The distribution of claims over the life cycle of a portfolio (historically, claims are relatively low during the first two years after a loan is originated and then increase over a period of several years before declining; however, several factors can impact and change this cycle, including the economic environment, the quality of the underwriting of the loan, characteristics of the mortgage loan, the credit profile of the borrower, housing prices and unemployment rates); and ■ Our ability to mitigate potential losses through Rescissions, Claim Denials, cancellations and Claim Curtailments on claims submitted to us.
See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio Metrics—Insurance and Risk in Force;” ▪ The average loan size (relatively higher priced properties with larger average loan amounts may result in higher incurred losses); ▪ The percentage of coverage on insured loans (higher percentages of insurance coverage generally correlate with higher incurred losses) and the presence of structural mitigants such as deductibles or stop losses; ▪ Changes in housing values (declines in housing values generally make it more difficult for borrowers to sell a home to avoid default or for the property to be sold to mitigate a claim, and also may negatively affect a borrower’s willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the home value is less than the mortgage balance; conversely, increases in housing values tend to reduce the level of defaults as well as make it more likely that foreclosures will result in the loan being satisfied); ▪ The distribution of claims over the life cycle of a portfolio (historically, claims are relatively low during the first two years after a loan is originated and then increase over a period of several years before declining; however, several factors can impact and change this cycle, including the economic environment, the quality of the underwriting of the loan, characteristics of the mortgage loan, the credit profile of the borrower, housing prices and unemployment rates); and ▪ Our ability to mitigate potential losses through Rescissions, Claim Denials, cancellations and Claim Curtailments on claims submitted to us.
Other factors influencing incurred losses include: ■ The mix of credit characteristics in our total direct RIF (e.g., loans with higher risk characteristics, or loans with layered risk that combine multiple higher-risk attributes within the same loan, generally result in more delinquencies and claims).
Factors influencing incurred losses include: ▪ The mix of credit characteristics in our total direct RIF (e.g., loans with higher risk characteristics, or loans with layered risk that combine multiple higher-risk attributes within the same loan, generally result in more delinquencies and claims).
(2) Includes the impact of changes in the profit commission retained by the Company due to changes in loss reserves. See “Expenses— Provision for Losses ” below for additional information on the favorable reserve development, particularly in 2022.
(2) Includes the impact of changes in the profit commission retained by the Company due to changes in loss reserves. See “Expenses— Provision for Losses ” below for additional information on our favorable reserve development, particularly in 2022.
Our provision for losses during 2023 and 2022 was positively impacted by favorable reserve development on prior year defaults, primarily as a result of more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated.
Our provision for losses during 2024, 2023 and 2022 was positively impacted by favorable reserve development on prior year defaults, primarily as a result of more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated.
This balance includes a $750 million benefit from U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, which mortgage guaranty insurers such as Radian Guaranty may purchase in order to be eligible for a tax deduction, subject to certain limitations, related to amounts required to be set aside in statutory contingency reserves.
This balance includes a $921 million benefit from U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, which mortgage guaranty insurers such as Radian Guaranty may purchase in order to be eligible for a tax deduction, subject to certain limitations, related to amounts required to be set aside in statutory contingency reserves.
Based on current NIW pricing and the impact of higher Persistency Rates we have been experiencing, we currently expect our in force portfolio premium yield in 2024 to remain stable; however, due to the potential impacts of Single Premium Policy cancellations and reinsurance, among other things, the net premium yield may continue to fluctuate from period to period.
Based on current NIW pricing and the impact of higher Persistency Rates we have been experiencing, we currently expect our in force portfolio premium yield in 2025 to remain stable; however, due to the potential impacts of Single Premium Policy cancellations and reinsurance, among other things, the net premium yield may continue to fluctuate from period to period.
Therefore, Claim Severity generally increases the longer that a loan is in default. We considered the sensitivity of first-lien loss reserve estimates at December 31, 2023, by assessing the potential changes resulting from a parallel shift in Claim Severity and Default to Claim Rate estimates for primary loans, excluding any potential benefits from reinsurance.
Therefore, Claim Severity generally increases the longer that a loan is in default. We considered the sensitivity of first-lien loss reserve estimates at December 31, 2024, by assessing the potential changes resulting from a parallel shift in Claim Severity and Default to Claim Rate estimates for primary loans, excluding any potential benefits from reinsurance.
(6) Calculated by dividing net premiums earned by average primary IIF. The calculation for all periods presented incorporates the impact of profit commission adjustments related to our reinsurance programs. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. (7) The average of beginning and ending balances of primary IIF, for each period presented.
(5) Calculated by dividing net premiums earned by average primary IIF. The calculation for all periods presented incorporates the impact of profit commission adjustments related to our reinsurance programs. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. (6) The average of beginning and ending balances of primary IIF, for each period presented.
Our actual portfolio returns will depend on a number of factors, including economic conditions, the mix of NIW that we are able to write, our pricing, the amount of reinsurance we use and the level of capital we hold, including amounts that may be in excess of minimum PMIERs financial and statutory capital requirements.
Our actual portfolio returns will depend on a number of factors, including the success of our pricing strategy, economic conditions, the mix of NIW that we are able to write, our pricing, the amount of reinsurance we use and the level of capital we hold, including amounts that may be in excess of minimum PMIERs financial and statutory capital requirements.
Subject to certain limitations, borrowings under the credit facility may be used for working capital and general corporate purposes, including, without limitation, capital contributions to our insurance and other subsidiaries as well as growth initiatives. At December 31, 2023, the full $275 million remains undrawn and available under the facility.
Subject to certain limitations, borrowings under the credit facility may be used for working capital and general corporate purposes, including, without limitation, capital contributions to our insurance and other subsidiaries as well as growth initiatives. At December 31, 2024, the full $275 million remains undrawn and available under the facility.
(2) Includes payments to commute mortgage insurance coverage on certain performing and non-performing loans. (3) Calculated excluding the impact of: (i) LAE; (ii) commutations and settlements; and (iii) claims resolved without payment, including claims subsequently withdrawn by the servicer. (4) Before reinsurance recoveries. Cost of Services.
(2) Includes payments to commute mortgage insurance coverage on certain performing and non-performing loans. (3) Calculated excluding the impact of: (i) LAE; (ii) commutations and settlements; and (iii) claims resolved without payment, including claims subsequently withdrawn by the servicer. (4) Before reinsurance recoveries.
Critical Accounting Estimates SEC guidance defines Critical Accounting Estimates as those estimates made in accordance with GAAP that involve a significant level of estimation uncertainty and have had or are reasonably likely to have a material impact on the financial condition or results of operations of the registrant.
Critical Ac counting Estimates SEC guidance defines Critical Accounting Estimates as those estimates made in accordance with GAAP that involve a significant level of estimation uncertainty and have had or are reasonably likely to have a material impact on the financial condition or results of operations of the registrant.
Corporate Expenses and Interest Expense. Radian Group has expense-sharing arrangements in place with its principal operating subsidiaries that require those subsidiaries to pay their allocated share of certain holding-company-level expenses, including interest payments on Radian Group’s outstanding debt obligations.
Radian Group has expense-sharing arrangements in place with its principal operating subsidiaries that require those subsidiaries to pay their allocated share of certain holding-company-level expenses, including interest payments on Radian Group’s outstanding debt obligations.
Increasing yields from higher interest rates were the primary driver of the increases in net investment income for 2023 compared to 2022. The following table provides information related to our Mortgage Insurance subsidiaries’ investment balances and investment yields for the periods indicated.
Increasing yields from higher interest rates and higher investment balances were the primary driver of the increases in net investment income for 2024 compared to 2023. The following table provides information related to our Mortgage Insurance subsidiaries’ investment balances and investment yields for the periods indicated.
Risk Factors,” including “ Our sources of liquidity may be insufficient to fund our obligations .” and “ Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity .” See also “Overview—Current Operating Environment” and Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Risk Factors,” including “ Our sources of liquidity may be insufficient to fund our obligations .” and “ Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity .” See also “Overview of Business Operating Environment” above and Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.
Business—Mortgage Insurance—Pricing—Primary Mortgage Insurance Premiums.” As discussed above, the ultimate profitability of Single Premium Policies may be higher or lower than expected due to the impact of prepayment speeds. See “IIF and Related Drivers” above. Monthly Premium Policies typically provide a level monthly premium for the first 10 years of the policy, followed by a lower level monthly premium thereafter.
Business—Mortgage Insurance—Pricing—Primary Mortgage Insurance Premiums.” As discussed above, the ultimate profitability of Single Premium Policies may be higher or lower than expected due to the impact of prepayment speeds. See “IIF and Persistency” above. Monthly Premium Policies typically provide a level monthly premium for the first 10 years of the policy, followed by a lower level monthly premium thereafter.
This section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K generally discusses our consolidated results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, and a year-over-year comparison between 2023 and 2022.
This section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K generally discusses our consolidated results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023, and a year-over-year comparison between 2024 and 2023.
Cumulative incurred loss ratio by vintage (1) Vintage Dec 2014 Dec 2015 Dec 2016 Dec 2017 Dec 2018 Dec 2019 Dec 2020 (2) Dec 2021 (2) Dec 2022 Dec 2023 2014 2.7% 4.1% 4.9% 5.0% 5.1% 5.2% 6.9% 6.8% 4.5% 3.9% 2015 2.1% 4.8% 5.2% 5.0% 4.7% 7.4% 6.8% 3.8% 2.9% 2016 2.9% 5.0% 4.8% 4.7% 9.7% 8.0% 3.7% 2.7% 2017 4.7% 5.1% 6.1% 14.3% 11.9% 5.1% 3.7% 2018 3.0% 6.4% 22.8% 19.0% 7.2% 4.9% 2019 2.8% 35.6% 23.5% 6.8% 4.6% 2020 25.6% 14.9% 6.0% 3.8% 2021 7.9% 10.9% 9.1% 2022 9.4% 15.2% 2023 7.1% (1) Represents inception-to-date losses incurred as a percentage of net premiums earned.
Cumulative incurred loss ratio by vintage (1) Vintage Dec 2015 Dec 2016 Dec 2017 Dec 2018 Dec 2019 Dec 2020 (2) Dec 2021 (2) Dec 2022 Dec 2023 Dec 2024 2015 2.1% 4.8% 5.2% 5.0% 4.7% 7.4% 6.8% 3.8% 2.9% 2.4% 2016 2.9% 5.0% 4.8% 4.7% 9.7% 8.0% 3.7% 2.7% 2.1% 2017 4.7% 5.1% 6.1% 14.3% 11.9% 5.1% 3.7% 2.9% 2018 3.0% 6.4% 22.8% 19.0% 7.2% 4.9% 3.9% 2019 2.8% 35.6% 23.5% 6.8% 4.6% 3.5% 2020 25.6% 14.9% 6.0% 3.8% 3.1% 2021 7.9% 10.9% 9.1% 8.0% 2022 9.4% 15.2% 17.0% 2023 7.1% 12.6% 2024 6.9% (1) Represents inception-to-date losses incurred as a percentage of net premiums earned.
Therefore, with respect to deferred tax assets relating to these state and local NOLs and other state timing adjustments, we retained a valuation allowance of $63 million and $70 million at December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. Estimated factors in this assessment include, but are not limited to, forecasts of future income and actual and planned business and operational changes.
Therefore, with respect to deferred tax assets relating to these state and local NOLs and other state timing adjustments, we retained a valuation allowance of $67 million and $63 million at December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively. Estimated factors in this assessment include, but are not limited to, forecasts of future income and actual and planned business and operational changes.
As of December 31, 2023, Radian Guaranty maintained claims paying resources of $6.1 billion on a statutory basis, which consist of contingency reserves, statutory policyholders’ surplus, premiums received but not yet earned and loss reserves. In addition, our reinsurance programs are designed to provide additional claims-paying resources during times of economic stress and elevated losses.
As of December 31, 2024, Radian Guaranty maintained claims paying resources of $6.2 billion on a statutory basis, which consist of contingency reserves, statutory policyholders’ surplus, premiums received but not yet earned and loss reserves. In addition, our reinsurance programs are designed to provide additional claims-paying resources during times of economic stress and elevated losses.
Losses Incurred losses represent the estimated future claim payments on newly defaulted insured loans as well as any change in our claim estimates for existing defaults, including changes in our estimates with respect to the frequency, magnitude and timing of anticipated losses on defaulted loans.
Losses Incurred losses reduce our pretax income and represent the estimated future claim payments on newly defaulted insured loans as well as any change in our claim estimates for existing defaults, including changes in our estimates with respect to the frequency, magnitude and timing of anticipated losses on defaulted loans.
Factors considered in our assessment for impairment include the extent to which the amortized cost basis is greater than fair value and the reasons for the decline in value. As of December 31, 2023, our gross unrealized losses on available for sale securities were $444 million, which can fluctuate materially over time based on changes in market conditions.
Factors considered in our assessment for impairment include the extent to which the amortized cost basis is greater than fair value and the reasons for the decline in value. As of December 31, 2024, our gross unrealized losses on available for sale securities were $460 million, which can fluctuate materially over time based on changes in market conditions.
Current Operating Environment As a mortgage and real estate company, our business results are subject to macroeconomic conditions and specific events that impact the housing, housing finance and residential real estate markets and the credit performance of our mortgage insurance portfolio, as well as seasonal fluctuations impacting mortgage and real estate markets.
As a mortgage and real estate company, our business results are subject to seasonal fluctuations impacting mortgage and real estate markets, as well as macroeconomic conditions and specific events that impact the housing, housing finance and residential real estate markets and the credit performance of our mortgage insurance portfolio.
(3) Represents the profit commission on the Single Premium QSR Program and 2022 and 2023 QSR Agreements, excluding the impact of Single Premium Policy cancellations. (4) Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue and excluding revenue from cancellations, by average primary IIF. (5) Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue, by average primary IIF.
(2) Represents the profit commission on the Single Premium QSR Program and 2022, 2023 and 2024 QSR Agreements, excluding the impact of Single Premium Policy cancellations. (3) Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue and excluding revenue from cancellations, by average primary IIF. (4) Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue, by average primary IIF.
See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details about our Default to Claim Rate assumptions. Our aggregate weighted-average net Default to Claim Rate assumption for our primary defaulted loans used in estimating our reserve for losses, which is net of estimated Claim Denials and Rescissions, was 25% and 30%, at December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively.
See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details about our Default to Claim Rate assumptions. Our aggregate weighted-average net Default to Claim Rate assumption for our primary defaulted loans used in estimating our reserve for losses, which is net of estimated Claim Denials and Rescissions, was 23% and 25%, at December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations The following analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with our Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto included in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Item 7. Management ’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations The following analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with our Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto included in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
As described above, premiums on our mortgage insurance products are generally paid either on an installment basis, pursuant to Monthly Premium Policies, or in a single payment at the time of loan origination, pursuant to Single Premium Policies. See “Item 1.
Premiums on our mortgage insurance products are generally paid either on an installment basis, pursuant to Monthly Premium Policies, or in a single payment at the time of loan origination, pursuant to Single Premium Policies. See “Item 1.
Our estimate for the single premium earnings pattern is updated periodically and subject to change given uncertainty as to the underlying loss development and duration of risk. There were no significant changes to our single premium earnings pattern estimate in 2023 and 2022.
Our estimate for the single premium earnings pattern is updated periodically and subject to change given uncertainty as to the underlying loss development and duration of risk. There were no changes to our single premium earnings pattern estimate in 2024 and 2023.
This decrease was primarily due to a shift in the mix of defaults as of December 31, 2023, given the larger proportion of loans with fewer missed payments, as well as reduced claim rate assumptions for prior period defaults due to more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated.
This decrease was primarily due to a shift in the mix of defaults as of December 31, 2024, given the larger proportion of more recent defaults and loans with fewer missed payments, as well as reduced claim rate assumptions for prior period defaults due to more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated.
For example, assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in primary Claim Severity (which we estimate to be 98% of defaulted risk exposure at December 31, 2023), we estimated that our loss reserves would change by approximately $4 million at December 31, 2023.
For example, assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in primary Claim Severity (which we estimate to be 89% of defaulted risk exposure at December 31, 2024), we estimated that our loss reserves would change by approximately $4 million at December 31, 2024.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations The table below provides additional information about the components of mortgage insurance net premiums earned for the periods indicat ed, including the effects of our reinsurance programs.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations The table below provides additional information about the components of mortgage insurance net premiums earned for the periods indicated, including the effects of our reinsurance programs.
Business—Mortgage Insurance—Defaults and Claims”), which make the timing of paid claims difficult to predict. 85 Table of Contents Glossary Part II. Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations The following table shows net claims paid by product and the average claim paid by product for the periods indicated.
Business—Mortgage Insurance—Defaults and Claims”), which make the timing of paid claims difficult to predict. 91 Part II. Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations The following table shows net claims paid by product and the average claim paid by product for the periods indicated.
Liquidity Analysis—Holding Company Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. At December 31, 2023, Radian Group had available, either directly or through unregulated subsidiaries, unrestricted cash and liquid investments of $992 million.
Liquidity Analysis—Holding Company Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. At December 31, 2024, Radian Group had available, either directly or through unregulated subsidiaries, unrestricted cash and liquid investments of $885 million.
We have distributed risk through traditional quota share and excess-of-loss reinsurance arrangements, as well as to investors through the capital markets using mortgage insurance-linked notes transactions. See “IIF and Related Drivers” above. When we enter into a quota share reinsurance agreement, the reinsurer receives a premium and, in exchange, agrees to insure an agreed upon portion of incurred losses.
We have distributed risk through traditional quota share and excess-of-loss reinsurance arrangements, as well as to investors through the capital markets using mortgage insurance-linked notes transactions. When we enter into a quota share reinsurance agreement, the reinsurer receives a premium and, in exchange, agrees to insure an agreed upon portion of incurred losses.
The primary risks in our investment portfolio are interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk, namely the fair value sensitivity of our fixed income securities to changes in interest rates and credit spreads, respectively.
The primary risks in our investment portfolio are interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk, namely the fair value sensitivity of our fixed income securities and residential mortgage loans to changes in interest rates and credit spreads, respectively.
Although it is difficult to project future volumes, recent industry projections for 2024 estimate total mortgage originations of approximately $2.0 trillion, which would represent an increase in the total annual mortgage origination market of approximately 27% as compared to 2023.
Although it is difficult to project future volumes, recent industry projections for 2025 estimate total mortgage originations of approximately $2.0 trillion, which would represent an increase in the total annual mortgage origination market of approximately 14% as compared to 2024.
Key assumptions supporting our estimate of this net premium receivable, which equaled $36 million and $32 million as of December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively, include a collection rate and average life. During both 2023 and 2022, we made no changes to these assumptions.
Key assumptions supporting our estimate of this net premium receivable, which equaled $38 million and $36 million as of December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively, include a collection rate and average life. During both 2024 and 2023, we made no changes to these assumptions.
Reconciliation of return on equity to adjusted net operating return on equity Years Ended December 31, 2023 2022 2021 Return on equity (1) 14.5 % 18.2 % 14.1 % Less: impact of reconciling income (expense) items (2) Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments 0.2 (2.0) 0.4 Impairment of goodwill (0.2) — — Amortization of other acquired intangible assets (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items (0.3) (0.4) (0.1) Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (3) 0.1 0.5 — Difference between statutory and effective tax rate (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) Impact of reconciling income (expense) items (0.4) (2.1) 0.1 Adjusted net operating return on equity (3) 14.9 % 20.3 % 14.0 % (1) Calculated by dividing net income by average stockholders’ equity.
Reconciliation of return on equity to adjusted net operating return on equity Years Ended December 31, 2024 2023 2022 Return on equity (1) 13.4 % 14.5 % 18.2 % Less: impact of reconciling income (expense) items (2) Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (0.1 )% 0.2 % (2.0 )% Amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets — % (0.3 )% (0.1 )% Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items (0.6 )% (0.3 )% (0.4 )% Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (3) 0.1 % 0.1 % 0.5 % Difference between statutory and effective tax rates (0.1 )% (0.1 )% (0.1 )% Impact of reconciling income (expense) items (0.7 )% (0.4 )% (2.1 )% Adjusted net operating return on equity (3) 14.1 % 14.9 % 20.3 % (1) Calculated by dividing net income by average stockholders’ equity.
Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI 2.2 1.5 2.3 1.5 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 2.1 1.1 2.1 0.9 Total 32.0 % 34.3 % 31.0 % 35.4 % (1) CBSAs are metropolitan areas and may include a portion of adjoining states as noted above.
Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI 2.2 % 1.8 % 2.2 % 1.5 % Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 2.2 % 1.0 % 2.1 % 1.1 % Total 32.3 % 35.0 % 32.0 % 34.3 % (1) CBSAs are metropolitan areas and may include a portion of adjoining states as noted above.
(3) Does not include the benefit from ceding commissions from the reinsurance agreements in our QSR Program, which is primarily included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statements of operations. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. Services Revenue.
(3) Does not include the benefit from ceding commissions from the reinsurance agreements in our QSR Program, which is primarily included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statements of operations. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. Net Investment Income.
Dividends and Dividend Equivalents. Throughout 2023 and 2022, our quarterly dividend was $0.225 and $0.20 per share, respectively. In February 2024, Radian Group’s board of directors authorized an increase to our quarterly dividend from $0.225 to $0.245 per share.
Dividends and Dividend Equivalents. Throughout 2024 and 2023, our quarterly dividend was $0.245 and $0.225 per share, respectively. In February 2025, Radian Group’s board of directors authorized an increase to our quarterly dividend from $0.245 to $0.255 per share.
See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. Radian Guaranty’s Risk-to-capital as of December 31, 2023, was 10.4 to 1. Radian Guaranty is not expected to need additional capital to satisfy state insurance regulatory requirements in their current form. At December 31, 2023, Radian Guaranty had statutory policyholders’ surplus of $620 million.
See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. Radian Guaranty’s Risk-to-capital as of December 31, 2024, was 10.2 to 1. Radian Guaranty is not expected to need additional capital to satisfy state insurance regulatory requirements in their current form. At December 31, 2024, Radian Guaranty had statutory policyholders’ surplus of $723 million.
See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for more information. Radian Guaranty currently is an approved mortgage insurer under the PMIERs. Private mortgage insurers, including Radian Guaranty, are required to comply with the PMIERs to remain approved insurers of loans purchased by the GSEs.
See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information. Radian Guaranty currently is an approved mortgage insurer under the PMIERs. Private mortgage insurers, including Radian Guaranty, are required to comply with the PMIERs to remain approved insurers of loans purchased by the GSEs.
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP consolidated pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments, except for certain investments and other financial instruments attributable to our reportable segments and All Other activities; (ii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iii) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, if any, such as gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business, acquisition-related income and expenses and gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt.
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP consolidated pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments, except for those investments and other financial instruments attributable to our Mortgage Conduit business; (ii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iii) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, if any, such as gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business, acquisition-related income and expenses and gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt.
During 2023 and 2022, the Company repurchased 5.3 million shares and 19.5 million shares of Radian Group common stock, respectively, under programs authorized by Radian Group’s board of directors, at a total cost of $133 million and $400 million, respectively, including commissions. See Note 14 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details on our share repurchase programs.
During 2024 and 2023, the Company repurchased 7.0 million shares and 5.3 million shares of Radian Group common stock, respectively, under programs authorized by Radian Group’s board of directors, at a total cost of $224 million and $133 million, respectively, including commissions. See Note 14 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details on our share repurchase programs.
For direct Single Premium Policies, NIW includes policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).
For direct Single Premium Policies, NIW includes policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated). 77 Part II. Item 7.
Mortgage originations are based upon the average of originations reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae in their most recent published industry reports. (2) Excluding originations under HARP.
Mortgage originations are based upon the average of originations reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae in their most recent published industry reports.
(as measured by our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF as of December 31, 2023).
(as measured by our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF as of December 31, 2024).
We also regularly consider various measures to improve our capital and liquidity positions, as well as to strengthen our balance sheet, improve Radian Group’s debt maturity profile and maintain adequate liquidity for our operations. Among other things, these measures may include borrowing agreements or arrangements, such as securities or other master repurchase agreements and revolving credit facilities.
We also regularly consider various measures to improve our capital and liquidity positions, as well as to strengthen our balance sheet, improve Radian Group’s debt maturity profile and maintain adequate liquidity for our operations. Among other things, these measures may include borrowing agreements or arrangements, such as securities or other master repurchase agreements and revolving 98 Part II. Item 7.
Conversely, the higher interest rate environment also has benefited our financial performance through higher Persistency Rates, which has resulted in continued growth in our IIF despite lower NIW, as well as through the recognition of higher net investment income.
At the same time, the higher interest rate environment has benefited our financial performance through higher Persistency Rates, which has resulted in continued growth in our IIF despite lower NIW, as well as through the recognition of higher net investment income.
These favorable observed trends resulted in reductions in our Default to Claim Rate and other reserve adjustments for prior year default notices. See Notes 1 and 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for additional information. Our primary default rate at both December 31, 2023 and 2022, was 2.2%.
These favorable observed trends resulted in reductions in our Default to Claim Rate and other reserve adjustments for prior year default notices. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for additional information. Our primary default rate at December 31, 2024, was 2.4% compared to 2.2% at December 31, 2023.
Corporate expenses and interest expense on Radian Group’s debt obligations allocated under these arrangements during 2023 of $164 million and $83 million, respectively, were substantially all reimbursed by its subsidiaries. We expect substantially all of our holding company expenses to continue to be reimbursed by our subsidiaries under our expense-sharing arrangements.
Corporate expenses and interest expense on Radian Group’s debt obligations allocated under these arrangements during 2024 of $169 million and $81 million, respectively, were substantially all reimbursed by its subsidiaries. We expect substantially all of our holding company expenses to continue to be reimbursed by our subsidiaries under our expense-sharing arrangements.
(2) Net of any previous Rescission and Claim Denials that were reinstated during the period. Such reinstated Rescissions and Claim Denials may ultimately result in a paid claim. 84 Table of Contents Glossary Part II. Item 7.
(2) Net of any previous Rescission and Claim Denials that were reinstated during the period. Such reinstated Rescissions and Claim Denials may ultimately result in a paid claim. 90 Part II. Item 7.
In addition to available cash and marketable securities, Radian Group’s principal sources of cash to fund future liquidity needs include: (i) payments made to Radian Group by its subsidiaries under expense- and tax-sharing arrangements; (ii) net investment income earned on its cash and marketable securities; and (iii) to the extent available, dividends or other distributions from its subsidiaries.
In addition to available cash and marketable securities, including net investment income earned on such investments, Radian Group’s principal sources of cash to fund future liquidity needs include: (i) payments made to Radian Group by its subsidiaries under expense- and tax-sharing arrangements and (ii) to the extent available, dividends or other distributions from its subsidiaries. 96 Part II. Item 7.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas - RIF December 31, 2023 2022 Top 10 CBSAs (1) RIF Reserve for Losses RIF Reserve for Losses New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA 5.3 % 10.7 % 5.5 % 12.2 % Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI 4.6 5.6 4.3 5.7 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 4.3 3.1 4.0 3.4 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 3.4 3.0 3.1 2.7 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX 2.9 3.2 2.7 3.0 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.5 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.6 Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO 2.2 1.0 1.9 0.9 Minneapolis-St.
Top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas - RIF December 31, 2024 2023 Top 10 CBSAs (1) RIF Reserve for Losses RIF Reserve for Losses New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA 5.0 % 8.9 % 5.3 % 10.7 % Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI 4.7 % 5.5 % 4.6 % 5.6 % Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 4.4 % 3.5 % 4.3 % 3.1 % Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 3.4 % 3.9 % 3.4 % 3.0 % Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX 3.0 % 4.3 % 2.9 % 3.2 % Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD 2.7 % 2.4 % 2.7 % 2.6 % Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO 2.4 % 1.5 % 2.2 % 1.0 % Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 2.3 % 2.2 % 2.3 % 2.5 % Minneapolis-St.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing adjusted pretax operating income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding.
Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing adjusted pretax operating income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding.
At December 31, 2023, Radian Guaranty’s Available Assets under the PMIERs financial requirements totaled $5.9 billion, resulting in a PMIERs Cushion of $2.3 billion, or 62%, over its Minimum Required Assets. Those amounts compare to Available Assets and a PMIERs cushion of $5.6 billion and $1.7 billion, respectively, at December 31, 2022.
At December 31, 2024, Radian Guaranty’s Available Assets under the PMIERs financial requirements totaled $6.0 billion, resulting in a PMIERs Cushion of $2.2 billion, or 56%, over its Minimum Required Assets. Those amounts compare to Available Assets and a PMIERs Cushion of $5.9 billion and $2.3 billion, respectively, at December 31, 2023.
(2) Amounts primarily relate to impairments of other long-lived assets that are included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statements of operations. See Note 9 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
(2) Related primarily to impairments of other long-lived assets that are included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statements of operations. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
The following table provides a reconciliation of diluted net income (loss) per share to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share.
The following table provides a reconciliation of diluted net income (loss) per share to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share. 85 Part II. Item 7.
See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. Our All Other results include income from investments held at Radian Group, which have benefited from rising interest rates over the past year as well as from rising balances resulting from distributions by Radian Guaranty. 88 Table of Contents Glossary Part II. Item 7.
See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. Our All Other results include income from investments held at Radian Group, which have benefited from rising interest rates over the past year as well as from rising balances resulting from distributions by Radian Guaranty.
Based on the current composition of our mortgage insurance portfolio, with Monthly Premium Policies comprising a larger proportion of our total portfolio than Single Premium Policies, an increase in IIF generally has a corresponding positive impact on premiums earned, while a decrease in IIF generally has a corresponding negative impact on premiums earned. 67 Table of Contents Glossary Part II.
Based on the current composition of our mortgage insurance portfolio, with Monthly Premium Policies comprising a larger proportion of our total portfolio than Single Premium Policies, an increase in IIF generally has a corresponding positive impact on premiums earned, while a decrease in IIF generally has a corresponding negative impact on premiums earned. Reductions 79 Part II. Item 7.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations The following tables show additional information about homegenius’s other operating expenses for the periods indicated.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations The following tables show additional information about other operating expenses for our Mortgage Insurance segment for the periods indicated.
Reconciliation of diluted net income per share to adjusted diluted net operating income per share Years Ended December 31, 2023 2022 2021 Diluted net income per share $ 3.77 $ 4.35 $ 3.16 Less: per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments 0.06 (0.47) 0.08 Impairment of goodwill (0.06) — — Amortization of other acquired intangible assets (0.03) (0.03) (0.02) Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items (0.08) (0.09) (0.02) Income tax (provision) benefit on other income (expense) items (1) 0.02 0.12 (0.01) Difference between statutory and effective tax rate (0.02) (0.05) (0.02) Per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items (0.11) (0.52) 0.01 Adjusted diluted net operating income per share (1) $ 3.88 $ 4.87 $ 3.15 (1) Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Reconciliation of diluted net income per share to adjusted diluted net operating income per share Years Ended December 31, 2024 2023 2022 Diluted net income per share $ 3.92 $ 3.77 $ 4.35 Less: per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (0.03 ) 0.06 (0.47 ) Amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets — (0.09 ) (0.03 ) Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items (0.17 ) (0.08 ) (0.09 ) Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (1) 0.04 0.02 0.12 Difference between statutory and effective tax rates (0.03 ) (0.02 ) (0.05 ) Per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items (0.19 ) (0.11 ) (0.52 ) Adjusted diluted net operating income per share (1) $ 4.11 $ 3.88 $ 4.87 (1) Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%.
Our in force portfolio premium yield was relatively stable for 2023, as compared to 2022.
Our in force portfolio premium yield was stable for 2024, as compared to 2023.
IIF and RIF Years Ended December 31, ($ in millions) 2023 2022 2021 Primary IIF $ 269,979 $ 260,994 $ 245,972 Primary RIF $ 69,710 $ 66,094 $ 60,913 Average coverage percentage 25.8 % 25.3 % 24.8 % Persistency Rate (12 months ended) 84.0 % 79.6 % 64.3 % Persistency Rate (quarterly, annualized) (1) 85.8 % 84.1 % 71.7 % Primary RIF by premium type Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums 88.9 % 87.1 % 83.9 % Direct single premiums 11.1 % 12.9 % 16.1 % Primary RIF by FICO score (2) >=740 58.5 % 57.4 % 56.9 % 680-739 33.9 % 34.6 % 35.0 % 620-679 7.3 % 7.6 % 7.6 % 0.3 % 0.4 % 0.5 % Primary RIF by LTV 95.01% and above 18.6 % 17.1 % 15.1 % 90.01% to 95.00% 48.2 % 48.4 % 48.9 % 85.01% to 90.00% 27.1 % 27.2 % 27.7 % 85.00% and below 6.1 % 7.3 % 8.3 % (1) The Persistency Rate on a quarterly, annualized basis is calculated based on loan-level detail for the quarter ending as of the date shown.
IIF and RIF As of December 31, ($ in millions) 2024 2023 2022 Primary IIF $ 275,126 $ 269,979 $ 260,994 Primary RIF $ 72,074 $ 69,710 $ 66,094 Average coverage percentage 26.2 % 25.8 % 25.3 % Persistency Rate (12 months ended) 83.6 % 84.0 % 79.6 % Persistency Rate (quarterly, annualized) (1) 82.7 % 85.8 % 84.1 % Primary RIF by premium type Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums 90.0 % 88.9 % 87.1 % Direct single premiums 10.0 % 11.1 % 12.9 % Primary RIF by FICO score (2) >=740 60.1 % 58.5 % 57.4 % 680-739 32.6 % 33.9 % 34.6 % 620-679 7.0 % 7.3 % 7.6 % 0.3 % 0.3 % 0.4 % Primary RIF by LTV (3) 95.01% and above 19.8 % 18.6 % 17.1 % 90.01% to 95.00% 47.9 % 48.2 % 48.4 % 85.01% to 90.00% 27.3 % 27.1 % 27.2 % 85.00% and below 5.0 % 6.1 % 7.3 % (1) The Persistency Rate on a quarterly, annualized basis is calculated based on loan-level detail for the quarter ending as of the date shown.
Top 10 U.S. states - RIF December 31, 2023 2022 Top 10 States RIF Reserve for Losses RIF Reserve for Losses Texas 10.0 % 9.5 % 9.4 % 8.4 % California 8.5 9.3 8.7 9.3 Florida 5.8 8.5 6.3 9.1 Illinois 5.0 6.0 4.7 6.0 New York 4.2 9.4 4.5 10.0 Virginia 4.2 2.2 3.9 2.3 Pennsylvania 3.8 3.5 3.8 3.3 New Jersey 3.7 4.7 3.8 5.3 Maryland 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.6 Washington 3.6 2.2 3.6 1.7 Total 52.5 % 58.8 % 52.2 % 59.0 % The following table shows, as of the dates indicated, the percentage of our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF and the associated percentage of our mortgage insurance reserve for losses (by location of property) for the top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas, referred to as “CBSAs,” in the U.S.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Top 10 U.S. states - RIF December 31, 2024 2023 Top 10 States RIF Reserve for Losses RIF Reserve for Losses Texas 10.3 % 11.8 % 10.0 % 9.5 % California 8.3 % 8.9 % 8.5 % 9.3 % Florida 5.5 % 8.4 % 5.8 % 8.5 % Illinois 5.1 % 5.8 % 5.0 % 6.0 % Virginia 4.4 % 2.5 % 4.2 % 2.2 % Maryland 3.9 % 3.4 % 3.7 % 3.5 % New York 3.9 % 7.1 % 4.2 % 9.4 % Pennsylvania 3.7 % 3.2 % 3.8 % 3.5 % Colorado 3.7 % 2.2 % 3.4 % 1.6 % Washington 3.7 % 1.8 % 3.6 % 2.2 % Total 52.5 % 55.1 % 52.2 % 55.7 % The following table shows, as of the dates indicated, the percentage of our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF and the associated percentage of our mortgage insurance reserve for losses (by location of property) for the top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas, referred to as “CBSAs,” in the U.S.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Cancellations of our insurance policies as a result of prepayments and other reductions of IIF, such as Rescissions of coverage and claims paid, generally have a negative effect on premiums earned over time.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in IIF through cancellations of our insurance policies as a result of prepayments, as well as other insurance policy terminations such as Rescissions of coverage and claims paid, generally have a negative effect on premiums earned over time.
RIF and IIF for direct Single Premium Policies include policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated). 73 Table of Contents Glossary Part II. Item 7.
RIF and IIF for direct Single Premium Policies include policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).
(2) Operating expenses (which consist of policy acquisition costs and other operating expenses), expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. See “Revenues— Net Premiums Earned ” above for additional information on the changes in net premiums earned. 86 Table of Contents Glossary Part II. Item 7.
(2) Operating expenses (which consist of policy acquisition costs and other operating expenses, as well as allocated corporate operating expenses), expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. See “Revenues— Net Premiums Earned ” above for additional information on the changes in net premiums earned. 93 Part II. Item 7.
Assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in our overall primary net Default to Claim Rate (which we estimate to be 25% at December 31, 2023, including our assumptions related to Loss Mitigation Activities), we estimated a $14 million change in our loss reserves at December 31, 2023.
Assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in our overall primary net Default to Claim Rate (which we estimate to be 23% at December 31, 2024, including our assumptions related to Loss Mitigation Activities), we estimated an approximate $15 million change in our loss reserves at December 31, 2024.
Detailed discussions of our consolidated results of operations for the year ended December 31, 2022, including the year-over-year comparisons between 2022 and 2021, that are not included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K can be found in “Item 7.
Detailed discussions of our consolidated results of operations for the year ended December 31, 2023, as well as the results of operations for our one reportable segment, Mortgage Insurance, for the year ended December 31, 2023, including the year-over-year comparisons between 2023 and 2022, that are not included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K can be found in “Item 7.
The level of mortgage prepayments affects the revenue ultimately produced by our mortgage insurance business and is influenced by the mix of business we write. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results — Mortgage Insurance—IIF and Related Drivers” for more information. 82 Table of Contents Glossary Part II. Item 7.
The level of mortgage prepayments affects the revenue ultimately produced by our Mortgage Insurance business and is influenced by the mix of business we write. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results — Mortgage Insurance—IIF and Persistency” for more information. 88 Part II. Item 7.
Under Pennsylvania’s insurance laws, ordinary dividends and other distributions may only be paid out of an insurer’s positive unassigned surplus unless the Pennsylvania Insurance Department approves the payment of dividends or other distributions from another source.
Under Pennsylvania’s insurance laws, ordinary dividends and other distributions may only be paid out of an insurer’s positive unassigned surplus unless the Pennsylvania Insurance Department approves the payment of dividends or other distributions from another source. Radian Guaranty paid ordinary dividends to Radian Group of $675 million during 2024.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Risk Distribution We use third-party reinsurance in our mortgage insurance business to manage capital and risk in an effort to optimize the amounts and types of capital and risk distribution deployed against insured risk.
Risk Distribution We use third-party reinsurance in our Mortgage Insurance business to manage capital and risk in an effort to optimize the amounts and types of capital and risk distribution deployed against insured risk.
Current year new primary defaults increased by 17% for 2023, as compared to 2022, consistent with our expectations regarding the natural seasoning of the portfolio given the increase in our IIF in recent years. Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption for new primary defaults was 8.0% at both December 31, 2023 and 2022.
Current year new primary defaults increased by 15% for 2024, as compared to 2023, consistent with the natural seasoning of the portfolio given the increase in our IIF in recent years. Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption for new primary defaults was 7.5% at December 31, 2024, compared to 8.0% at December 31, 2023.
These Cures have been due primarily to favorable outcomes resulting from mortgage forbearance programs implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic as well as positive trends in home price appreciation, which has also contributed to a higher rate of claims that result in no ultimate loss and that are withdrawn by servicers as a result.
These Cures have been due primarily to favorable outcomes resulting from positive trends in home price appreciation, which has also contributed to a higher rate of claims that result in no ultimate loss and that are withdrawn by servicers as a result.
In addition, enhancements in the mortgage insurance industry since the great financial crisis in 2008, including the implementation of strong capital and operating standards under the PMIERs, the implementation of greater risk-based granularity into our pricing methodologies and the increased use of risk distribution strategies to lower the risk profile and financial volatility of our mortgage insurance portfolio, have increased returns on our NIW, provided capital relief under the PMIERs and have helped position our mortgage insurance business to better withstand the negative effects from macroeconomic stresses discussed above, including those resulting from the higher rates of inflation and higher interest rates, as well as the other risks described in “Item 1A.
In addition, enhancements in the mortgage insurance industry since the great financial crisis in 2008, including the implementation of strong capital and operating standards under the PMIERs, the implementation of greater risk-based granularity into our pricing methodologies and the increased use of risk distribution strategies to lower the risk profile and financial volatility of our mortgage insurance portfolio, have increased returns on our NIW, provided capital relief under the PMIERs and have helped position our Mortgage Insurance business to better withstand the negative effects from macroeconomic stresses.
(3) Total adjusted pretax operating income on a consolidated basis consists of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) for our Mortgage Insurance segment, homegenius segment and All Other activities, as further detailed in Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. 79 Table of Contents Glossary Part II. Item 7.
(3) Total adjusted pretax operating income on a consolidated basis consists of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) for our Mortgage Insurance segment and All Other activities, as further detailed in Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Our mortgage insurance business generally benefits from increases in housing demand, home prices and the volume of home purchases, all of which are influenced by the current market imbalance between a constrained housing supply and strong market demand.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations ▪ Strong Credit Environment and Housing Market – Our Mortgage Insurance business generally benefits from increases in housing demand, home prices and the volume of home purchases, all of which are influenced by the current market imbalance between a constrained housing supply and strong market demand.